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What is latest?

Some Puzzling Features of India's Recent GDP Numbers - 09/01/2016
An analysis of the end-November 2015 data release of the Central Statistics Office raises some issues that must be kept in mind while discussing the state of India's economy. If past trends are anything to go by, economic growth in 2015-16 will not improve in the last quarter as some seem to hope. The movements in the GDP deflators and the very odd behaviour of a gradual decline in the investment rate together indicate that growth in 2015-16 will not end as earlier forecast.

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Surge in Union Government Revenues: Indirect Tax Collection Leads Growth - 12/12/2015
The tax revenues of the union government have surged in the first half of 2015-16, growing much faster than budgeted. Indirect taxes led the rate of growth of tax revenue collections, while direct tax collections grew less than expected. Though higher revenue is welcome, indirect taxes are nonetheless regressive, and higher indirect tax revenue will only accentuate income inequalities in India.

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Are Corporates Overleveraged? - 31/10/2015
There is concern that corporations have borrowed too much, and that therefore bank balance sheets are strained as well. Contrary to this popular view, it is argued here that the company finance data of the corporate sector in general does not suggest that this is so.

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RBI Annual Report 2014–15: In Need of Close Study - 17/10/2015
Any student of current economic affairs should be intrigued by the scant attention paid by the media, professional economists, and commentators, to the Annual Report of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for ­2014–15 which was released on 27 August. The report contains economic and financial sector commentaries as well as details of RBI’s own financial operations.

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Domestic Supply of Pulses Needs Immediate Policy Attention - 28/08/2015
Pulses are an indispensible part of Indian diet but the persistent rise in their prices is making them unaffordable for the poor. The prevailing large gap between demand and supply of pulses is expected to widen further if the domestic production levels are not raised substantially with the necessary policy measures

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Private Corporate Sector in New NAS Series: Need for a Fresh Look - 18/07/2015
Revisiting the MCA-21-based estimates of the size of the private corporate sector in the rebased National Accounts Statistics, it is argued that the use of a single blow-up factor for non-government non-financial public and private limited companies could be leading to an overestimation of gross value added and gross savings. If there has to be a blow-up, it should be done separately, given the distinct characteristics of public and private limited companies.

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GDP Sectoral Growth Rates: What Is Driving Growth? - 28/02/2015
An analysis of the new 2011-12 series of National Accounts Statistics to understand the trends of GDP growth and the sector-wise break-up. Data up to the advance estimates for 2014-15 are explored. The service sector continues to lead growth, manufacturing shows a revival, while agriculture has once again slowed down.

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Release of New Series of National Accounts (Base Year 2011-12) - 02/06/2015
EPWRF is pleased to further update the New Series of National Accounts with the fresh Advance Estimates of National Income for 2014-15 and Quarterly Estimates for all quarters of 2012-13 and 2013-14 and three quarters of 2014-15.

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Investment Revival: Not by Lending Rates Alone - 27/06/2015
An analysis of bank lending rates suggests that reducing the lending rate, while important, may not be as critical to reviving investment as it is made out to be. The three interest rate regimes followed over the last two decades or so are compared here and it is found that the current base rate regime is by far the most stable, and is one which reduces uncertainty of interest costs.

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Monthly Economic Review - October 2014 - 30/11/2014
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) has announced Minimum Support Prices (MSPs) for certain rabi crops of 2014-15. Industrial output improved in September 2014 from the previous two months, while services output came to a standstill in October 2014. Both wholesale and retail inflation eased in October 2014, heightening expectations of a rate cut by the central bank. Fiscal health continues to be worrisome as revenue collections lag, six months into the fiscal. These uncertainties over growth revival continue to prevail.

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