* * Our SDP  Database  for 46 years now available on interactive CD-ROM  * *                                            * * Our NAS  Database  for 52 years now available on interactive CD-ROM  * *                                      * * Our ASI  Database  for 25 years now available on interactive CD-ROM  * *

Current Economic Statistics and Review For the Week 
Ended
August 08, 2009 (32nd Weekly Report of 2009)

 

Improving Payment Systems and Banking Services through
Information Technology (IT) and Communication Networking Systems (CNS)*

 

Introduction

In the last two decades technology has played a significant role in improving the efficiency of the financial system. Information Technology (IT) and the Communication Networking Systems (CNS) have revolutionalised the functioning of the entire Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) industries world over. The financial sector has been a large user of IT and banks, in particular, have been increasingly using IT in their day-to-day operations.

In the wake of adopting IT and CNS-based banking solutions, the traditional banking has undergone a major transformation which has vastly changed the banking landscape in India. These solutions are basically used under two different channels in banking. One is IT-based business process engineering and other is CNS-based communication and connectivity.  Of late, the rapid implementation of technology-based solutions undertaken by the commercial banks has facilitated them:

(i) to provide a fairly exhaustive range of products to customers;

(ii) to extend the banking facilities to the vast majority of population; 

(iii) to expand the banking outreach, especially in the rural areas;

(iv) to improve the quality of banking services; and

(v) to reduce the transaction cost.

The Payment System in India and the Role of RBI

The Payment System is an important element of the financial sector infrastructure. The RBI has, therefore, played a catalytic role, over the years, in creating an institutional framework for the development of a safe and secure payment system. In order to develop an efficient payment system, the RBI has been issuing various guidelines and introducing policy measures (Please see Table A). 

 

Table 1: Policy Measures on Payment System  

Year

Highlights

Since

Oct. 1940

The RBI had been operating an integrated Remittance Facilities Scheme, which facilitates transfer of funds between banks located at different centres in the country. 

1986

The RBI formulated a set of guidelines known as the Uniform Regulations and Rules (URR) for the Bankers’ Clearing Houses, so as to harmonise, across the country, the framework governing the conduct of the clearing houses.

1998

The RBI prepared a monograph on Payment System in India

2000

 

The RBI prepared – A Payment System Vision Document for 2001-04, to draw up the roadmap for consolidation, development and integration of payment systems.

2004

RBI prepared another vision document, A Payment System Vision Document for 2005-08. RBI plans to set up umbrella organization which would bring greater efficiency by way of uniformity and standarisation in retail payments, expand its reach and bring innovative payment products to augment customer convenience.

2005

The RBI constituted a Board for Regulation and Supervision of Payment and Settlement Systems (BPSS)

December

2007

The Parliament has enacted the Payment and Settlement Systems Act which empowers the RBI to regulate and supervise the payments and settlement systems and provide a legal basis for multilateral netting and settlement finality.

Source: RBI, Bulletin September 2008.

 

In 2005, the RBI constituted a Board for Regulation and Supervision of Payment and Settlement Systems (BPSS). The role of the BPSS is to lay down policies relating to the regulation, supervision and authorisation for all types of payment and settlement systems as well as setting standards for existing and future systems.

RBI’s initiative for Electronic Payments

In the early 1990s, the payment systems in India were almost entirely based on paper, with currency and cheques being the dominant form of payment for both retail and wholesale transactions. The electronic era in the banking sector began in the mid 1990s when the RBI developed technology-based payment and settlement systems. Since then, the RBI has taken several initiatives to develop and promote electronic payments infrastructure; as a result, there has been a phenomenal change in the architecture and technology of payment systems in India. The various systems introduced by the RBI are as follows:

 

Table 2: Various Electronic Payment Systems Launched by RBI

Year

Systems Introduced

1995

Electronic Clearing Service (ECS) and the

Electronic Funds Transfer (EFT) system

March 2004

Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) system

November 2005

National Electronic Funds Transfer (NEFT) system

February 2008

Cheque Truncation System (CTS)

Source: RBI (2008), Bulletin, September.

Banks’ Initiative for Computerisation

The entire approach towards technology-based banking has shown significant improvement since the initiation of financial sector reforms in the 1990s which has facilitated speedier computerisation in the banking sector in India. Essentially, the arrival of new private and foreign banks in the mid-nineties with their superior state-of-the-art technology-based services for competitive advantage, pushed the existing banks in India to follow suit by going in for the latest technologies so as to meet the threat of competition and retain their customer base.

During 1995 to 2000, almost all commercial banks, including Public Sector Banks (PSBs), old private sector banks, Regional Rural Banks (RRBs) and co-operative banks initiated efforts to adopt state-of-the-art technology services with new business processes and simultaneously implementing an IT platform to reduce the overall operating costs and face the competition. Consequently, almost all banks began investing in technology, a substantial amount to maintain and upgrade their infrastructure, in order to provide new electronic information-based services and to mange their risk position and pricing. As well, banks started integrating the various services like internet banking, on-line banking, smart cards and ATMs with the mainstream banking technology.

Growth of Electronic Payments (e-payments)

In recent years, the implementation of high-tech integrated technology has received greater importance as the commercial banking activity has evolved into a highly competitive and technologically innovative industry. The execution of IT technology have resulted a paradigm shift in the Indian banking industry.

Table 3: Paper-based versus Electronic Transactions

 

Year

Volume (in thousand)

Value (in Rs crore)

Paper-based

Electronic

Total

Share of Electronic

(%)

Paper-based

Electronic

Total

Share of Electronic

(%)

2002-03

1,013,900

173,000

1,186,900

14.6

1,34,24,313

37,536

1,34,61,849

0.30

2003-04

1,022,800

167,551

1,190,351

14.1

1,15,95,960

49,67,813

1,65,63,773

30.0

2004-05

1,166,848

230,044

1,396,892

16.5

1,04,58,895

1,18,86,255

2,23,45,150

53.2

2005-06

1,286,758

287,489

1,574,247

18.3

1,13,29,134

2,24,39,286

3,37,68,420

66.5

2006-07

1,367,280

383,445

1,754,007

21.9

1,20,42,426

3,50,50,234

4,71,06,333

74.4

2007-08

1,460,564

541,150

2,001,714

27.0

1,33,96,066

2,83,60,321

4,17,56,387

67.9

Source: RBI, Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2007-08 and earlier issues.

In the last 6-7 years, the banking sector has made a quantum leap forward in terms of switching over from paper-based transactions, which include use of currency notes, cheques or challans, to electronic means, which include RTGS, NEFT and other electronic modes. In recent years, the share of electronic transactions in the total transactions has gone up sharply due to the continuous efforts towards electronification of the banking transactions. In fact, the increase is more pronounced in terms of value than volume, reflecting mainly the impact of shifting of high value transactions to the electronic mode. The share of electronic transactions in the total value of transactions increased to a peak of 74% in 2006-07 from 30% in 2003-04. In terms of volume also, the share of electronic transactions has gradually increased to 22% from 14% during the same period.

Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) System

The RTGS system is one of the important electronic payment channels. The system enables settlement of transactions in real time, on a gross basis and is a fully secured funds transfer system. The system, which was operationalised in March 2004 for facilitating faster settlement of high value transactions (government securities clearing and forex clearing) has stabilised with increased branch network. The minimum amount to be remitted through RTGS is Rs 1 lakh while there is no upper ceiling for transfer of funds.

By the end of June 2009, RTGS connectivity was available in more than 47,608 bank branches. RTGS transactions, both in terms of volume and value, have increased sharply in a short span of its operations. The daily average volume of transactions is over 38,000 by volume and over Rs 1.15 lakh crore by value.

Retail Electronic Funds Transfer

The retail electronic funds transfer system comprises Electronic Clearing Services (ECS), Electronic Funds Transfer (EFT) and National Electronic Funds Transfer (NEFT) systems. The ECS system (debit and credit), NEFT, card-based payment system (credit and debit) are becoming increasing popular as indicated by the increase in transactions through retail electronic payment methods. During 2007-08, the volume of aggregate retail electronic transactions increased by 41.4% as compared with 32.9% in the previous year. In terms of value, the growth was as high as 342% as compared with 61% in the last year (Table 4). The substantial increase was due to the use of ECS (credit) for refund of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 4: Transactions through Retail Electronic Payment

 

 

Transaction Volumns (' 000)

 

 

 

Years

ECS

EFT/NEFT

Card Payment

Total

Percentage

 

Credit

Debit

 

Credit

Debit

 

Variaton

2003-04

20300

7900

819

100179

37757

166955

 

2004-05

40051

15300

2549

129472

41532

228904

37.1

2005-06

44216

35958

3067

156086

45686

285013

24.5

2006-07

69019

75202

4776

169536

60177

378710

32.9

2007-08

78365

127120

13315

228203

88306

535309

41.4

 

 

Transaction Values (Rs Crore)

 

 

 

2003-04

10228

2254

17125

17663

4874

52143

 

2004-05

20180

2921

54601

25686

5361

108749

108.6

2005-06

32324

12986

61288

33886

5897

146381

34.6

2006-07

83273

25441

77446

41361

8172

235693

61.0

2007-08

782222

48937

140326

57984

12521

1041990

342.1

Source: RBI, Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2007-08 and earlier issues.

(1) Electronic Clearing Service (ECS)

ECS has two variants, (i) ECS Credit Clearing and (ii) ECS Debit Clearing. The Credit Clearing operates on the principle of ‘single debit-multiple credits’ and is used for making payment of salary, pension, dividend and interests. While the Debit Clearing functions on the principle of ‘single credit-multiple debits’ and is used for collecting payments by utility service providers like electricity, telephone bills as well by banks for receiving principal/interest repayments for housing and personal loans from the borrowers. At present, about 18 million transactions flow through the ECS system every month and the settlement takes place on T+1 basis. The current clearing cycle, compares favourably with the best in the world (RBI, Bulletin). The reach of ECS has increased, which is now available at 70 centres as against 64 centres in 2007-08.

Table 5: Transactions through ECS – Credit and Debit

Years

Credit

Debit

Volume

(000’s)

Growth in Volume

(%)

Value

(Rs Crore)

Growth in Value

(%)

Volume

(000’s)

Growth in Volume

(%)

Value

(Rs Crore)

Growth in Value

(%)

2003-04

20300

 

10228

 

7900

 

2254

 

2004-05

40051

97.3

20180

97.3

15300

93.7

2921

29.6

2005-06

44216

10.4

32324

60.2

35958

135.0

12986

344.6

2006-07

69019

56.1

83273

157.6

75202

109.1

25441

95.9

2007-08

78365

13.5

782222

839.3

127120

69.0

48937

92.4

Source: RBI, Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2007-08 and earlier issues.

 

The use of ECS (credit) in particular, increased sharply during 2007-08. While the ECS (credit) volumes increased by 13.5% in 2007-08, value increased by more than eight times. As mentioned above, the sizeable increase was owing to the use of ECS system for refunding the oversubscription amount of IPOs floated by companies. Similarly, the volumes under ECS (debit) which is mostly used for payment of utility bills and regular premia, increased by 69% in 2007-08 and by 92.4% in value terms (Table 5).

(2) Electronic Fund Transfer (EFT) System

The EFT, which was operationalised in 1995, is now permitted only for government payments. All other electronic retail funds transfer are encouraged through NEFT which is a much more secured payment system.

(3) National Electronic Funds Transfer (NEFT) System

NEFT is a more secure, nation-wide retail electronic payment system to facilitate funds transfer by the bank customers, between the networked bank branches in the country. Banks have been increasingly using the NEFT system for ensuring wider reach for electronic funds movement. The NEFT is a secured network which uses the SFMS messaging format with public key infrastructure (PKI) enabled digital signatures having a nation-wide network. The daily average of the transactions is over 80,000 by volume and over Rs 500 crore by value.

Table 6: Transactions through EFT/NEFT

Years

Volume

(000’s)

Growth in Volume

(%)

Value

(Rs Crore)

Growth in Value

(%)

2003-04

819

 

17125

 

2004-05

2549

211.2

54601

218.8

2005-06

3067

20.3

61288

12.2

2006-07

4776

55.7

77446

26.4

2007-08

13315

178.8

140326

81.2

Source: As in Table 5.

Reflecting the increased application of technology, the use of retail electronic payments, both EFT/NEFT, has increased in recent years. The volume has increased by around 179% during 2007-08 as compared with 56% in the previous year. In terms of value, the growth was as high as 81% as compared with 26.4% in the last year (Table 6). 

(4) Cheque Truncation System (CTS) 

This is the latest electronic payment product introduced by the RBI. The main objective of the CTS is to improve the efficiency and substantially reduce the cheque processing time. The traditional clearing system requires the physical presentation of cheques in the clearing house for payment and settlement. In contrast, the main advantage of cheque truncation is that, physical presentation of the cheque to the clearing house is not required; instead, the electronic image of the cheque is sent to the clearing house.

(5) Transactions using Cards  

The use of cards for making retail payments is one of the preferred modes in recent years. The acceptability and convenience of this mode of payment are reflected in the increased volume of transactions through cards – both debit as well as credit.

Credit cards have witnessed a gradual growth from about 7.1 million in 2003 to 26.7 million in 2008. At present, there are more than 4.28 lakh merchant establishments where cards can be used. The commercial banks in India had issued a total of 122 million debit cards at end-October 2008. Currently, the average value of transaction at point of sale (POS) using credit card and debit card was Rs 2,415 and Rs 161, respectively.

Table 7: Transactions of Credit and Debit Cards

Years

Credit Cards

Debit Cards

Volume

(000’s)

Growth in Volume

(%)

Value

(Rs Crore)

Growth in Value

(%)

Volume

(000’s)

Growth in Volume

(%)

Value

(Rs Crore)

Growth in Value

(%)

2003-04

100179

 

17663

 

37757

 

4874

 

2004-05

129472

29.2

25686

45.4

41532

10.0

5361

10.0

2005-06

156086

20.6

33886

31.9

45686

10.0

5897

10.0

2006-07

169536

8.6

41361

22.1

60177

31.7

8172

38.6

2007-08

228203

34.6

57984

40.2

88306

46.7

12521

53.2

Source: RBI, Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2007-08 and earlier issues.

The credit card transaction volumes increased substantially by 34.6% in 2007-08 as against 8.6% in 2006-07, while the increase in value was 40.2% and 22.1% respectively, during the same period. The debit cards transactions volumes improved by 46.7% in 2007-08 as compared to 31.7% in 2006-07, while the value of funds transferred through credit cards increased significantly – from about 39% in 2006-07 to about 53% in 2007-08 (Table 7).

 (6) National Electronic Clearing Services (NECS)

This is the centralised processing of the ECS transactions. The system facilitates end-to-end seamless posting of the NECS transactions in a straight-through processing (STP) environment.

New Medium of Banking

In the last 2-3 years, the commercial banks in India have moved a step ahead by launching internet banking and mobile banking. With the popularity of PCs and easy access to internet, banks are increasingly using internet banking as a channel for receiving instructions and delivering their products and services to their customers. The internet banking facility, which commenced as a mere browse only facility, today allows a customer to perform almost all transactions.

(1) Internet Banking

The banks are now permitted to offer internet banking facilities based on the broad approved internet banking policy and no longer require prior Reserve Bank approval. Currently, banks are providing a host of services via internet banking like,

(a)    utility bill payments and other regular periodical payment facilities;

(b)   funds transfer options to cover third party customer accounts within the same bank;

(c)    funds transfer across banks; and

(d)   integration with e-commerce transactions such as booking of tickets for air and railways.

However, in July 2006 the banks were advised not to associate themselves with internet-based electronic purse schemes, which are in the nature of acceptance of deposits withdrawable on demand.

(2) Mobile Banking

With the rapid growth in the number of cellular subscribers in India, the banks are exploring the feasibility of using cell phones as an alternative channel of delivery of banking services. Recently, the RBI has formulated the ‘Draft Operating Guidelines for Mobile Payments in India’ through a consultative process.

(3) Satellite Banking

A Technical Group constituted by the RBI has since examined the proposal and recommended the use of satellite connectivity as it would facilitate integration of the rural branches of the banks and help them to provide efficient funds-transfer facility to their customers. 

Setting up of NPCI

In the Vision Document 2005-08, RBI envisaged the setting up of an institution at the national level to own and operate all retail payment systems in the country. Accordingly, the Indian Banks’ Association set up a Working Group which examined this issue and suggested the modalities for setting up this organisation to be known as the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI). This entity will be registered under the Companies Act and will be owned by banks and financial institutions. The ownership of the company will be suitably diverse with no bank or group of banks having shareholding exceeding 10% of the total shareholding. The work relating to the setting up of NPCI is in progress.

Challenges Ahead

The country has made phenomenal progress in enhancing the reach and improving the efficiency of e-payments system – in which the RBI and the banking system have been equal partners. In order to promote, the RBI has intervened and mandated reasonability in pricing of transactions effected through electronic mode for transactions above a specified threshold. The electronic payment system is not only speedier and more efficient, but is also more environment friendly as it reduces the reliance on paper required for effecting payments. Although the share of e-payment products is improving, the share of public sector banks in this area is very low.

It is generally noted that the spread and reach of the e-payment services are often confined to certain sections of the society, especially in the early stages of development. The provision of e-payment services by the banks to all and at affordable rates is an important requirement for a more balanced and equitable socio-economic development. Thus, there is need to focus on expanding the geographical reach of the electronic payment services as it is difficult to achieve financial inclusion without encompassing rural-India in the payment system out-reach.

According to Shri V Leeladhar[1], “one of the primary reason for slow pace of adoption of the electronic funds transfer, is the lack of education – particularly on the part of the bank staff at the branch level that have interface with the public”. He has referred to the survey conducted by RBI which revealed that there were several bank branches which were not even aware of the NEFT system. He opined that there is need to make concerted efforts to increase the degree of awareness at the level of the branch staff so that the NEFT services percolate down to the level of the public in a significant manner. He has appealed to the banks to launch a systematic educational campaign for their clients to educate them of the suite of electronic products offered by them.

However, areas of concern for the Reserve Bank are regulation of issuance of e-money and the prudential norm to be followed for preserving effectiveness of monetary policy and integrity of the e-money. In addition, there are emerging challenges the commercial banks have to address including those arising from large-scale IT deployment. These include the impact of more scientific risk management, ensuring effective anti money laundering measures and the security concerns relating to implementation of IT in banks. Another major requirement relates to disaster recovery management and the fail-safe business continuity plans.

* This note is prepared by Bipin K Deokar.

 

 

References

 

RBI (2008): Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2007-08, December 17.

 

RBI (2007): Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2006-07, November 27.

 

RBI (2006): Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2005-06, November 14.

 

RBI (2008): Annual Report, August 29.

 

RBI (2008): Bulletin, September.

 

RBI (2009): Bulletin, May.

 

Reddy, Y V (2006): ‘Use of Technology in the financial sector: Significance of concerted efforts’, at the Banking Technology Awards Function at the IDRBT, Hyderabad on September 2, 2006.

 

Leeladhar, V (2006): ‘IT for Business Excellence’, at the Banknet India’s 2nd International Bank Tech Summit, Mumbai, on September 21, 2006.

 

Leeladhar, V (2006): ‘Payment and Settlement Systems: Select Issues’, at the Regional Payment Systems Workshop organised jointly by the Reserve Bank of India and the Bank for International Settlements at Hyderabad on October 20, 2006.

 

Banknet India’s 3rd Conference on Payment Systems in Banks, at Mumbai on 10 January 2007.


 


[1] Former Deputy Governor, RBI in his special address at the ‘Conclave on Indian Banking – Vision 2010’, in August 2008, organised by the Indian Bank’s Association, in Mumbai.

 

Highlights of  Current Economic Scene

Agriculture

The central government has set a target for foodgrain production of 238.12 million tonnes for the current year, which includes rice production of 100.5 million tonnes and wheat production of 79 million tonnes. Of the total foodgrain production, target for Uttar Pradesh has been fixed at 446 million tonnes, Punjab for 266.70 million tonnes and Andhra Pradesh for 185.48 million tonnes.

Drought-like situation gripping largely over several districts in Bihar has put most of the farmers under threat. As a measure to provide relief to farmers, the state government supplied diesel at a subsidy of Rs 450 per acre, besides arranging alternative seeds on which subsidy was also granted. The state government has urged agriculture minister to send a high-level team to take on-the-spot assessment of the situation for releasing grants worth around Rs 1,000 crore, which would be required to tackle the drought situation in the state. It has further approached the central power ministry seeking an additional allocation of 300 mw for the purpose of ensuring uninterrupted power supply in the rural areas affected by drought.

India is likely to import 4.5 million tonnes of sugar in 2009-10, exhibiting a jump of 80% over the previous season, as the sugarcane output has declined for a second consecutive year. Weak monsoon has damaged the cane crop in main cane producing regions, which have led to increase in imports of sugar.

The state government of Maharashtra has come to the rescue ailing sugar industry in the state by allowing the crushing season for 2009-10 from 1 November instead of 1 October, especially in the wake of less sugarcane production due to scanty rainfall. It has been estimated that sugar production in 2009-10 season would be at 48 lakh tonnes with an average recovery of 11.50 from the crushing of 410 lakh tonnes of sugarcane, almost 50% below last season's production of 93 lakh tonnes. Some farmer-bodies such as Shetkari Sanghatana have been demanding first installment equivalent to statutory minimum price (SMP) of about Rs 1,500 per quintal which a large number of sugar cooperatives cannot afford. The final cane price for 2008-09 crushing season would be fixed at the rate at which sugar mills have sold free sugar in the market based on the valuation of sugar stock during March 16 to 31, 2009.

Sugar production in Uttar Pradesh is estimated to drop by 15% to 3.5 metric million tonnes in the season starting from October. This reduction in production is expected to be due to drought. The area planted in the state is expected to fall by 14.3% to less than 1.8 million hectares, compared with an earlier forecast of 9.5% drop. Production of sugar in Maharashtra is also predicted to be lower to 4.6-to-4.8 metric million tonnes during the coming season as compared with 5 million tonnes projected earlier. It is expected that crushing of sugarcane in the state would decline by 9% to 41 million tones from a year ago. Government has lowered its production estimate for second time in April after excessive rains damaged the crop in Karnataka.

According to the Pulses Importers Association (PIA), private traders would import about 4 lakh tonnes of pulses in the next three months to cater for domestic supply in view of shooting prices of the commodity. Supply constraints pushed prices of pulses like arhar to Rs 90 a kg from Rs 60 two months ago. Out of the 3.73 lakh tonnes of yellow peas that have been imported, MMTC and PEC accounts for 63,000 tonnes and co-operative major Nafed accounts to 86,000 tonnes.

Indore-based Soybean Processors Association of India (SOPA) reiterated that exports of soyameal during the first four months of the current fiscal year slumped by 76% to 3.3 lakh tonnes from 13.83 lakh tonnes recorded during the same period a year earlier. The export of soyameal during the current oil year October 2008 to July 2009 was reported to be around 2.9 million tonnes as compared to 4.6 million tonnes achieved during the same period last year, displaying a decline of more than 36%. Soyameal exports have been hit by stiff competition from countries like Brazil, Argentina and the United States coupled with falling demand from South-East Asia and lower crushing and processing of soyabean.

Kharif acreage in Gujarat is unlikely to see any substantial rise in 2009-10 even though heavy rains in some parts of the state have affected the progress of sowing. The data available with the state agriculture department shows that around 70.28 lakh hectares have been covered under sowing. Coverage under cotton has increased to 23.65 lakh hectares as compared to 21.61 lakh hectares during the same period in 2008-09. It is expected that cotton acreage is likely to cross 25 lakh hectares this year. Paddy acreage improved to 3.91 lakh hectares as against 3.79 lakh hectares during the same period a year earlier. Area sown under Bajra and tur is estimated to be 4.19 lakh hectares and 2.50 lakh hectares, respectively, as against the corresponding 3.43 lakh hectares and 2.42 lakh hectares last Kharif season. Cultivation of groundnut has declined to 16.30 lakh hectares as against 17.55 lakh hectares during the same period a year ago. This reduction is due to pouring of excessive rains in major groundnut sowing areas.

According to data compiled by the Mumbai-based Solvent Extractors’ Association (SEA), total exports of oilmeal in the first four months of the current financial year slumped by 59% to 787,857 tonnes as compared to 1,908,396 tonnes during the same period last year. This decline is attributed to reduction in overseas demand due to recessionary pressure coupled with the government’s intended punitive action. During the review period China bought 137,252 tonnes of oilmeals, mainly consisting of rapeseed meal of 136,592 tonnes and a small quantity of soybean meal. However, exports to Vietnam steeply reduced to 238,232 tonnes from 511,401 tonnes in April-July 2008. Similarly, exports to South Korea, Japan, Indonesia and Thailand have also declined due to reduction in consumption.

Coffee exports from the country have slipped down by 21% in the first seven months of this year after excessive rains damaged the crop in the main growing region. The government has lowered its production estimates for second time in April after excessive rains damaged the crop in Karnataka. The production of coffee is reported to decline to 262,300 tonnes in the year ending 30 September as compared with 276,600 tonnes projected earlier.

Industry

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) stands at 281.9, which is  7.8% higher as compared to the level in the month of  June 2008.

The annual growth in the Indices of Mining, Manufacturing and Electricity sectors for the month of June 2009 has been 15.4%,7.3% and 8.0% as compared to 7.3%,3.2%, and 6.0% in June2008.

In terms of industries, as many as 12 out of the 17 industry groups (as per 2-digit NIC-1987) have shown positive growth during the month of June 2009 as compared to the corresponding month of the previous year. The industry group ‘Other manufacturing industries’ (32.4%),  ‘ wood and wood products (26.3%)and 13.2% in ‘paper and paper products’ have registered double digit growth during June 2009. On the other hand, the industry group ‘Jute textiles’ (-31.1%), m’metal products and parts(8.5%) and Beverages and tobacco products (4.1%)have shown   negative growth.

As per Use-based classification, the Sect oral growth rates in June 2009 over 2008 are 10.1% in Basic goods, 11.8% in Capital goods and 7.9%  in Intermediate goods. The Consumer durables and Consumer non-durables have recorded growth of 15.5%   and 0..3% respectively, with the overall growth in Consumer goods being 4.0%.

Infrastructure

The Index of Six core industries having a combined weight of 26.7 per cent in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) with base 1993-94 stood at 251.6  in June 2009 and registered a growth of 6.5%  compared to a growth of 5.1% in June 2008.  During April-June 2009-10, six core industries registered a growth of 4.8%as against 3.5% during the corresponding period of the previous year.

Crude Oil (weight of 4.17%) registered a growth of 4.0% in June 2009 contrast a dip   of 4.7% in June 2008.  The Crude Oil production registered a growth of (-) 1.3during April-June 2009-10 compared to (-) 0.1% during the same period of 2008-09.

Petroleum refinery production (weight of 2.00%) registered a fall of 3.7% in June 2009 compared to growth of 5.6% in June 2008. The Petroleum refinery production registered a decline 4.1% during April-June 2009-10 compared to 3.3% during the same period of 2008-09. 

Coal production (weight of 3.2% in the IIP) decrease by 14.7% in June 2009 compared to growth rate of 6.1% in June 2008. Coal production grew by 12.7% during April-June 2009-10 compared to an increase of 8.4% during the same period of 2008-09. 

Electricity generation (weight of 10.17% in the IIP) registered a growth of 7.0% in June 2009 compared to a growth rate of 2.6% in June 2008. Electricity generation grew by 5.8% during April-June 2009-10 compared to 2.0% during the same period of 2008-09.

Cement production (weight of 1.99% in the IIP) escalated to a growth of 12.8% in June 2009 compared to 6.6% in June 2008. Cement Production grew by 12.1% during April-June 2009-10 compared to an increase of 5.8% during the same period of 2008-09.

Finished (carbon) Steel production (weight of 5.13% in the IIP) registered a growth of 5.3% in June 2009 compared to 10.4% in June 2008. Finished (carbon) Steel production grew by 3.2% during April-June 2009-10 compared to an increase of 4.3% during the same period of 2008-09.

Inflation

Price rose by 0.04% for the week ended 25 July 2009 over the week. As a result annual inflation rate stood at (-) 1.6% as compared to 12.5% last year.  

Over the week price rise of 0.4% in primary articles is the result of the increase in the price indeices of fish marine, arhar, urad, fruits and vegetables, moong, wheat, masur, condiments and spices.

The  price index of fuel, power, light and lubricants remained stationary at the earlier week level.

Fall in the price index of manufactured products by 0.1% can be attributed to the decline in the price index of imported  edible oils, news print etc. 

The usual revision of WPI after 8 weeks time i.e., for the week 30 May 2009 pushed the index from 232.6 to 234.4 and thus the rate of inflation flared up to 0.9% compared to provisional rise of 0.13%..

Financial Market Developments

Capital Markets

Primary Market

Excel Infoway, a business process outsourcing firm, got listed at a premium of 1.1% at Rs 86 over its issue price of Rs 85 on the NSE on 3 August. It touched an intra-day high of Rs 110 and closed up 12.76% at Rs 95.85. The company had come out with its maiden public issue of 2.11 crore shares in July and fixed the IPO price at Rs 85 a share.

SEBI has clarified payment of commission to brokers through the “application supported by blocked amount” (ASBA), which will be the same as for applications made through the non-ASBA process. This means banks now can charge commission for their services.

The IPO of the State-run hydro-power firm, NHPC, was subscribed 3.54 times on the first day on 1 August. The issue, consisting of 168 crore shares, is the largest issue in terms of number of shares. The offering was fully subscribed in the first five minutes of trading. At the end of the day, the issue had received 594.09 crore shares, according to data available on the NSE. The issue will close on August 12.

Secondary Market

Concerns over scanty rains and worries that the IPO of NHPC may suck out liquidity from the secondary market triggered a correction on the bourses during the first week of August 2009. Weakness in Chinese stocks on talks that the Chinese central bank may rein in lending also weighed on investor sentiment. Monsoon rains were 64% below the average for the week. The cumulative deficit between 1 June 2009 and 5 August 2009 period widened to 25% from 19% a week earlier. The June-September rains are the main source of irrigation for farms and are crucial for Asia's third-largest economy as more than two-thirds of the people live in villages and 60% of the farm land depends on the annual rains. The BSE Sensex fell 510 points or 3.26% to 15,160 over the week. The NSE Nifty declined 155 points or 3.34% to 4481 during the week. The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 138 points or 2.47% to 5,433 and the BSE Small-Cap index fell 12 points or 0.19% to 6,194.

Derivatives

The bull momentum got arrested last week, particularly so on Thursday and Friday, as there was no follow-up buying, what with even the foreign investors turning sellers. The Nifty future closed the week with a loss of 3.3% at 4,480.85 against its previous week’s close of 4,636.05. It was volatile week and the Nifty futures swung between premium and discount over the spot. It finally closed with minor discount to the spot, which ended the week at 4,481.4. What also merits note is that at the start of the new series itself, several stock futures such as that of Reliance Industries, SBI and Ispat Industries witnessed a sharp drop in open interest positions. On a couple of occasions, even Nifty futures reported a sharp fall in open interest. These put together suggest that traders may not have been comfortable with the current rally and therefore that could have resulted in market’s sharp fall.

The cumulative FII positions as a percentage of the total gross market position on the derivative segment as on August 5 declined to 35.37% (37.62%). They were mainly sellers all through the week. Their index futures holding declined to Rs 9,938.48 crore (Rs 10,426.79 crore), while their stock futures holding increased to Rs 17,745.96 crore (Rs 17,094.10 crore). Index options exposure too increased to Rs 20,057.89 crore (Rs 18,301.32 crore).

Government Securities Market

Primary Market

On 05 August 2009, 182- day and 91-day Treasury Bills (TB) have been auctioned for the notified amount of Rs 1,500 crore and Rs 8,000 crore, respectively with yield to maturity (YTM) of 3.76% and 3.28%. In an auction for 182 day TB, 45 competitive bids were received among which 31 bids were accepted having 1.45 bid to cover ratio on the contrary for 91-day TB 63 bids were received out of which 29 were accepted showing bid to cover ratio of 2.17. Investors are showing more demand to 91-day TBs than 182-day TBs. In other words investors prefer investment with short-term maturity.

On 4 August 2009 six state governments, Jharkhand, Karnataka, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal have auctioned state development loan maturing in 2019. Notified amount has ranged between Rs 474 crore- Rs 2,000 crore with cut of yields ranging between 7.95%-8.03%. Six state governments have mopped up Rs 7,474 crore from the auction.

Government of India with consultation with RBI has rejected all the bids for the re-issue of three government securities namely, 6.49% 2015, 6.90% 2019 and 7.40% 2035 on 7 August 2009 with notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore, Rs 6,000 crore and Rs 2,000 crore, respectively.

Under Open Market Operations (OMO) government has purchased dated securities 7.38% 2015, 6.05% 2019 and 7.95% 2032 for aggregate amount of Rs 6,000 crore with YTM of 6.95%, 7.09% and 7.88%, respectively. Though aggregate amount declared was Rs 6,000 crore from which government has bought dated securities worth Rs 2,958 crore.

Secondary Market

Despite 2-day strike by state-owned bank employees, call rates were steady in the range of 3.10-3.20% on backdrop of ample cash with the banks. 

During the week bond yields were higher in the 6.90% 2019 government security to 7.05% compared to 6.97% in the previous week. Same movement was seen in other government securities also. Rise in yield was contributed by rising international oil prices and fear about the government borrowings which may increase and also concerns due to less than expected monsoon. On 7 August government has rejected all bids indicating government will not allow yields to increase during the first half of the current year but at the same time government has offered higher yield and lower prices in the OMO auction. For example on 09 July 2009 government has purchased 7.95% 2032 security under OMO with cut of yield of 7.80% and cut of price of Rs 101.55 same security was bought with cut of yield of 7.89% and cut of price was Rs 100.60 on 06 August 2009.

Government bonds yields fell sharply after the rejection of all bids in an auction on 07 August 2009. The 10-year benchmark bond yield dropped to 6.97% after touching a high of 7.17% earlier. Spread between one and ten years yield was 288 basis points shows that short-term securities are in demand.

At the weekend banks have parked Rs 1,20,305 crore in reverse repo auction under Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF). During the week Rs 5,91,170 crore have been invested in reverse repo recourse with bids received and accepted were 239.

The G-Sec specially long turn securities have less demand and the strike called by bank employees have plummeted average daily trade volumes last week to Rs 6,600 crore, a decline of Rs 3,200 crore over the previous week.

Bond Market

During the week under review, 4 banks, 1 NBFC, 1 central undertaking and 1 corporate tapped the bond market to mobilize Rs 1,260 crore. 

Profile of Major Commercial Bond Issues for the Week Ending 7 August 2009

Sr No.

Issuing Company / Rating

Nature of Instrument

Coupon in % per annum and tenor

Amount in Rs crore

 

FIs / Banks

 

 

 

1

South Indian Bank
A+ by Fitch, Care

Lower Tier II Bonds

9.75% for 10 years

200
(50)

2

Corporation Bank
AAA by Crisil, Care

Upper Tier II
Bonds

8.45% &8.95% respectively for 15 years

550

3

Corporation Bank
AAA by Crisil, Care

Perpetual
Bond

9.05% for perpetual time.

100

4

Development Credit Bank
A- & BBB by Brickworks & Crisil

Lower Tier II Bonds

11.25% for 5 years & 8 months

75

 

NBFCs

 

 

 

1

India Infrastructure Finance Co Ltd
AAA(SO) by Icra

Bonds

8.12% for 15 years

100

 

Central Undertaking

 

 

 

1

National Capital Region Planning Board
AAA by Crisil, Icra

Bonds

8.68% for 10 years

135

 

Corporates

 

 

 

1

United Phosphorus Ltd
AA+ by Care

NCD

8.75% & 9% for 3 years , 3 years & 6 months, respectively

100

 

Total
The amount shown in brackets above denotes the greenshoe option of the issue

1260
(50)

 

Foreign Exchange Markt 

The rupee ended the week at 47.85/$, barely changed from the previous week’s close of 47.96/$. The currency gained to a high of 47.43/$ on the back the momentum built last week and a weaker dollar continued to provide support. Event risks in the global markets like Bank of England and ECB monetary policy meetings impacted sentiment while cautiousness crept ahead of US jobs data. Locally, traders cited the dollar bids from importers to have guided premia higher though some receiving interest from exporters contained further advances.

Forward premia firmed for one, three, six and 12 months to 2.92% (2.77%), 2.80% (2.62%), 2.58% (2.45%) and 2.36% (2.26%), respectively. The inflows also pulled down the non-deliverable forward (NDF - off shore rupee trading where settlement is done in foreign currency, mostly in dollars) to Rs 47.96 (Rs 48.33) almost on par with the one-month forward exchange rate.

Commodities Futures derivatives

According to the new guidelines on equity structure issued recently by the consumer affairs ministry, the stock and commodity exchanges can hold a maximum equity up to 15% in commodity bourses that have completed five years. Under the guidelines, these exchanges should not have less than 26% equity from government companies, banks, public financial institutions, co-operative societies, agri-marketing federations and private warehousing companies. Of which the total shareholding of government companies, co-operative societies and agri-marketing federations should not be less than 10%. No shareholder except the original promoter/investor can hold more than 15% of the paid-up equity capital of the exchange. If the equity of original promoters or investors, including anchor investor fall below 15%, FMC may allow one of them to increase its equity share up to 26%. Commodity brokers and members of these exchanges are now allowed to buy stake up to 1%. However, the total paid-up equity capital of brokers and members should not exceed 10%. Apart from this, exchanges have been asked to bring their shareholding pattern in line with the new guidelines by September 2010.

NCDEX is working to get all commodities traded at it bourses, to the spot market in phases. The spot market would promote trader-trader transactions in the first phase and farmer-trader business at later stage. This would help the commodity producers realise better prices for their produce. It would be relaunching the trading of steel for revising the trading structure, as at present, the steel futures were not performing at its expected levels. It is also in the process of constructing a rainfall index, which is computed through historical annual cumulative rainfall and adjusted with net surplus or deficit of actual cumulative rainfall as of that date and takes into account the impact of historical and actual rainfall during the period.

Forward Market Commission (FMC) rejected the United Stock Exchange of India’s (USE’s) 10% stake buy in International Multi-Commodities Exchange (IMCE) on the grounds that the stock exchange is yet to be fully recognised. It is envisaged that the exchange is looking for another investor after regulators report.

Insurance

Royal Sundaram Alliance Insurance Company Ltd has inaugurated their new office in Chandigarh as the city has been emerging as an important business destination in sectors like IT, food, creative media and life sciences. 

Banking

Corporation Bank is planning to raise an additional Rs 700 crore from bonds in the second quarter to fund its growing business.

Despite of offering lucrative rates on deposits, many domestic non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) have not been able to attract customers in a big way. On the other hand, even though interest rates on deposits have been falling heavily, banks are in a better position to attract more customers.

Canara Bank has reduced the rate of interest on vehicle loans sanctioned on or after August 1, 2009. The revised rate is 8.50% for vehicle loans during first 12 months, 9.50% during next 24 months, 10% for period above 36 months to 60 months.

SBI has modified its housing loan scheme to lock in an 8% rate of interest for five years for customers for loans upto Rs 5 lakh.

Corporate

Larsen & Toubro (L&T) has bagged two offshore platform contracts worth over Rs 5,300 crore from Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC). Hyundai, Samsung and National Projects Construction Corporation were other bidders for these contracts. 

Reliance Power has acquired Jharkhand Integrated Power Ltd, the special purpose vehicle (SPV) formed to implement the 4,000 mw Tilaiya Ultra Mega Power Project in Jharkhand.

Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (Bhel) has obtained an order worth Rs 2,600 crore from Jindal India Thermal Power Limited (JITPL), for the main plant package at Orissa. This upcoming thermal power project comprises two new-rating units of 600-mw each.

Reliance Infrastructure, the only bidder for the second phase of Mumbai metro, connecting Navi Mumbai and the western suburbs, has bagged the contract worth Rs 11,000 crore from MMRDA to develop 32-km stretch. The project will become operational by 2015. The company has been working on metro projects in Delhi and Mumbai worth Rs 5,241 crore. Other partners in the consortium that will implement the project on a build operate and transfer (BOT) basis include SNC Lavolin Inc of Canada, Reliance communication and MMRDA.

Essar Steel Ltd has acquired entire assets and steel business of Pune-based Shree Precoated Steels Ltd., which is owned by Mumbai based realty player Ajmera Group of Companies, for a sum of around Rs 600 crore. With this acquisition Essar Steel Ltd has become the country's largest cold roller maker and the largest producer and exporter of colour coated steel in India.

External Sector

Exports in June 2009 at US $ 12815 million was 27.7% lower than that in June 2008 valued at US $ 17732 million . During the first quarter of current fiscal ecport dropped from US $ 51545 to US $ 35432 million and the negative growth works out to be 31.3%.

Imports during May, 2009 were valued at US $ 18977 million (Rs.90657 crore) representing a decrease of 29.3 % in dollar terms (21.2 % in Rupee terms)  over the level of imports valued at US $ 26855 million ( Rs. 114995 crore) inJune,2008. Cumulative value of imports for the period April- May 2009 was US$ 50936 million (Rs. 248171 crore) as against US$ 80187 million (Rs.334191 crore) registering a negative growth of 36.5 per cent in Dollar terms and 25.7 per cent in Rupee terms over the same period last year.

Oil imports during June, 2009 at US$ 4999 million were 50.6% lower than that of US$ 10119 million in June 2008. Cumulative oil imports during the current fiscal valued at US $ 12767 million was lower than that of US $ 29542 million oil imports in the previous year.

Non-oil imports during June, 2009 were estimated at US $ 13978 million lower by 16.5%  to that in June 2008 and the imports during the current fiscal was also lower by 24.6%.

The trade deficit for April- June, 2009 was estimated at US $ 15504 million which was lower than the deficit of US $ 28642 million in the comparable period of 2008.

Information Technology

Infosys has entered into an agreement with South African brewery SABMiller to improve the latter’s in store marketing campaigns.

Net profit of the Genpact has increased by 13.8% to $31.81 million for the second quarter ended June 2009 against the same period last year however on a sequential basis it has marginally declined. During the quarter, Genpact’s revenues stood at $272.9 million, higher by 8% against the second quarter of last year and revenues were 2.7% higher on sequential basis.

 
Telecom  

Idea Cellular Ltd, the Aditya Birla Group’s GSM mobile service provider company, has received licences to set up its operations in the states of West Bengal and Jammu & Kashmir, thus covering the whole of the country. The company currently has 17 circles and is planning to have a pan-India presence by the end of this calendar year.

Bharti Airtel has entered into an agreement with the Bhutan government for creating a new terrestrial cable network in Bhutan. 

BSNL will add 10,000 in the current fiscal year 2009-10, taking its total number of towers to 50,000. This addition to existing towers is expected to generate revenues of Rs 300 crore. 

BSNL is ready to commence mobile number portability (MNP) as soon as TRAI issues the tariff structure.

BSNL which has lost its second position as GSM operator to Vodafone Essar due to delay in network expansions and poor service is hoping to attract substantial number of cellular subscribers from the private telecom players.

 

 

Macroeconomic Indicators

Table 1 : Index Numbers of Industrial Production (1993-94 =100)

Table 2 : Production in Infrastructure Industries (Physical Output Series)

Table 3: Procurment, Offtake and Stock of foodgrains

Table 4: Index Numbers of  Wholesale Prices (1993-94 = 100)

Table 5 : Cost of Living Indices

Table 6 : Budgetary Position of Government of India

Table 7 : Government Borrowing Programmes and Performance

Table 8 : Scheduled Commercial Banks - Business in India  

Table 9 : Money Stock : components and Sources

Table 10 : Reserve Money : Components and Sources

Table 11 : Average Daily Turnover in Call Money Market

Table 12 : Assistance Sanctioned and Disbursed by All-India Financial Institutions

Table 13 : Capital Market

Table 14 : Foreign Trade

Table 15 : India's Overall Balance of Payments

Table 16 : Foreign Investment Inflows  
Table 17 : Foreign Collaboration Approvals (Route-Wise)
Table 18 : Year-Wise (Route-Wise) Actual Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI/NRI)

Table 19 : NRI Deposits - Outstandings

Table 20 : Foreign Exchange Reserves

Table 21 : Indices REER and NEER of the Indian Rupee

Table 22 : Turnover in Foreign Exchange Market  
Table 23 : India's Template on International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity [As reported under the IMFs special data dissemination standards (SDDS)
Table 24 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Government Securities Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 25 : Inter-Catasegory Distribution of All Types of Trade in Government Securities Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 
Table 26 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Total Forex Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 27 : Inter-Category Distribution of Total Foreign Exchange Transactions Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 

 

Memorandum Items

CSO's Quarterly Estimates of GDP  

GDP at Factor Cost by Economic Activity

India's Overall Balance of Payments: Quarterly

India's Overall Balance of Payments: Annual

*These statistics and the accompanying review are a product arising from the work undertaken under the joint ICICI research centre.org-EPWRF Data Base Project.

LIST OF WEEKLY THEMES


We will be grateful if you could kindly send us your feed back at epwrf@vsnl.com