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Current Economic Statistics and Review For the Week 
Ended June 17, 2006 (24th Weekly Report of 2006)

 

Theme of the week:

Financial Performance of 300 Companies: A Slowdown During April-December 2005* *

          

Introduction

The corporate sector’s financial performances of 300 private/public limited companies, based on their unaudited/audited financial results, collected from the website of Bombay Stock Exchange, have been analysed in this note. The sample companies, listed on BSE 500 Index, consist of only manufacturing companies excluding media, tourism, hotel industry and financial services. The period of analysis is the three quarters (April-December) results for 2004-05 and 2005-06.

Financial Performance of 300 Companies

Table 1 presents the combined financial performance of audited/unaudited financial results of 300 companies (public/private limited). The study exhibits a good performance in terms of sales and net profit.

The net sales of the selected 300 companies during Apr-Dec 2005 have remained almost stagnant at 18.3 per cent as compared to 19 per cent achieved during Apr-Dec 2004. In value terms, the net sales have grown up to Rs 7.02 lakh crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against Rs 5.93 lakh crore in Apr-Dec 2004 and Rs 4.98 lakh crore in Apr-Dec 2003. The growth rate of other income has stood at 36 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 as compared to 18.81 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. The total expenditure incurred by these companies amounting to Rs 6.08 lakh crore has shot up by 21 per cent, at a slightly higher rate than that of net sales, exhibiting failure to a certain extent to control costs by these companies. A substantial rise in expenditure, which includes cost of raw material, power and fuel, manufacturing expenses, salaries of the employees, etc has bought down the level of operating profits.

The earnings growth at operating and net level appears to have been slowed down. Share of interest payment in gross profits that is interest burden has been lower at 7.92 per cent in Apr-Dec 2005 from 8.02 per cent in the previous year, reflecting a fall in interest cost. During Apr-Dec 2004, the interest rate had been lower at 7.29 per cent. From October 2004, the global interest rates have started gearing up resulting in a 5.87 per cent hike in the interest rate during Apr-Dec 2005. The tax provision has been lower basically due to lower profits before tax (PBT).

 

Table 1: Financial results of 300 Companies (Rs crore)

 

April-

December

2005

change

(per cent)

April-

December

 2004

change (per cent)

April-December 2003

Net Sales

702368.88

18.30

593725.15

19.00

498925.97

Other Income

15614.84

36.40

11448.09

18.89

9629.20

Total Income

717983.72

18.64

605173.23

19.00

508555.17

Expenditure

608849.00

20.99

503210.06

18.75

423770.88

Operating Profit

109134.73

7.03

101963.18

20.26

84784.29

Interest

8011.93

5.87

7567.61

-7.29

8162.25

Gross Profit

101122.80

7.13

94395.57

23.20

76622.04

Depreciation

24509.20

11.06

22067.56

13.83

19386.92

Profit before Tax

76613.60

5.93

72328.00

26.37

57235.12

Tax

21040.67

3.82

20267.30

33.48

15183.69

Provision and

Contingencies

344.35

70.02

202.54

342.77

45.74

Profit after Tax

55228.58

6.50

51858.17

23.46

42005.69

Extraordinary Items

-887.28

199.56

-296.20

6394.12

-4.56

Prior Period Items

8.16

-91.85

100.08

305.43

24.69

Net Profit

56107.70

7.79

52054.28

23.98

41985.56

Equity Capital

94846.59

7.32

88376.22

2.81

85964.58

Financial ratios

EPS (Rupees)

5.92

 

5.89

 

4.88

Operating Profit

to sales (per cent)

15.54

 

17.17

 

16.99

Gross Profit to

sales (per cent)

14.40

 

15.90

 

15.36

Interest to operating

profit (per cent)

7.34

 

7.42

 

9.63

Interest to Gross

profits

7.92

 

8.02

 

10.65

Interest cost (interest

 to sales)

1.14

 

1.27

 

1.64

Tax to PBT (per cent)

27.46

 

28.02

 

26.53

PAT to sales

7.86

 

8.73

 

8.42

PBT to sales (per cent)

10.91

 

12.18

 

11.47

Source: BSE (www.bseindia.com) This is true for all tables.

 

The effective tax rate (tax provision as a percentage of PBT) has been lower marginally at 27.46 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 as against 28.02 in Apr-Dec 2004. The gross profit margin (gross profits to sales) on sales at 15.54 per cent and return on sales (PAT to sales) at 7.86 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 has been lower than Apr-Dec 2004 at 17.17 per cent and 8.73 per cent, respectively, implies slowdown in profitability. Net profit has registered a 7.79 per cent growth during Apr-Dec 2005 over a high of 23.95 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. The slow growth rate in the net profit has been mainly on account of miserable performance by the metals, oil marketing and refining companies.

Sector-wise Analysis

Overall

The 300 companies are classified among 15 sectors namely Agriculture, Textiles, Oil and Gas, Chemicals and Petrochemicals, Metals, Automobiles, Power, Healthcare, Information Technology, Cement, Shipping, FMCG, Capital Goods, Consumer Durables and Miscellaneous.

The overall picture of the corporate sector shows that, during Apr-Dec 2005, the tempo of Indian economy integrating into the global economy gathered momentum at a rapid pace manifested from the rise in outsourcing in the Information Technology (IT) and IT-based service sectors, growth in exports and in global acquisitions, in addition, rising consumption demand as reflected in the improved performance of the fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies. Here, in this section, we have taken a review of the performance of the 15 sectors, mentioned above.

The overall sector-wise performance reveals that sectors like FMCG, automobile, capital goods, IT, cement and engineering have continued sustained growth whereas oil and gas, metal and metal products have reported subdued performance.

Table 2 shows that the growth rate of operating profit during Apr-Dec 2005 has slowed down to 7.03 per cent as against 20.26 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004. Sectors that have witnessed a surge in operating profits include IT, FMCG, automobile, healthcare, textiles and miscellaneous. Shipping, cement, agriculture, chemicals and petrochemicals sectors have seen reduction in their operating profit. However, operating profit of metals, capital goods and oil and gas has suffered drastically due to higher expenditure.

 

Table 2: Operating profits of all sectors (Rs crore)

Sectors

Apr-Dec

2005

change

per cent

Apr-Dec

2004

change

 per cent

Apr-Dec 2003

Metal

14384.66

0.99

14243.07

87.42

7599.63

Oil and Gas

39699.57

-12.60

45424.88

11.98

40564.25

Shipping

3319.23

10.78

2996.26

63.61

1831.40

Automobile

7447.43

34.53

5536.04

19.23

4643.08

Cement

2299.77

18.93

1933.67

51.75

1274.22

Information and

Technology

7236.97

73.22

4177.95

6.36

3928.24

Textile

1585.56

30.54

1214.66

1.63

1195.18

Power

3868.14

4.99

3684.39

5.77

3483.55

Agriculture

3504.94

19.53

2932.29

23.86

2367.47

Capital goods

5160.71

31.51

3924.25

33.79

2933.11

Chemicals and

Petrochemicals

3934.09

11.34

3533.29

18.21

2989.12

Consumer durables

252.85

-2.19

258.5

52.80

169.17

FMCG

6530.97

17.54

5556.53

0.16

5547.42

Healthcare

3213.2

12.86

2846.97

-5.74

3020.18

Miscellaneous

6696.58

80.97

3700.37

14.27

3238.22

Total

109134.727

7.03

101963.177

20.26

84784.29

However, if excluding operating profit of oil and gas and metal sectors the growth has stood at 30 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 as against 15 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004.

 

Table 3: Operating profits excluding oil and gas and metal sectors

(Rs crore)

Sectors

Apr-Dec 2005

change

 per cent

Apr-Dec

2004

change per cent

Apr-Dec 2003

Shipping

3319.23

10.78

2996.27

63.61

1831.40

Automobile

7447.43

34.53

5536.05

19.23

4643.08

Cement

2299.78

18.93

1933.67

51.75

1274.22

Information and

Technology

7236.97

73.22

4177.95

6.36

3928.25

Textile

1585.57

30.54

1214.67

1.63

1195.19

Power

3868.14

4.99

3684.39

5.77

3483.55

Agriculture

3504.95

19.53

2932.29

23.86

2367.47

Capital goods

5160.72

31.51

3924.25

33.79

2933.11

Chemicals and

 Petrochemicals

3934.10

11.34

3533.30

18.21

2989.12

Consumer durables

252.85

-2.19

258.50

52.80

169.17

FMCG

6530.98

17.54

5556.54

0.16

5547.42

Healthcare

3213.20

12.86

2846.97

-5.74

3020.19

Miscellaneous

6696.58

80.97

3700.38

14.27

3238.23

Total

55050.48

30.16

42295.22

15.50

36620.4

 

Information Technology

The Indian IT industry has come a long way since its inception in the 1980’s. It has been successfully dealing with challenges and achieving steady growth. The Indian IT industry has realised the importance of gaining sector specific knowledge. For example, the leading companies like TCS, Wipro, Infosys and Satyam have started rendering outsourcing services like BPO (business process outsourcing), KPO (knowledge process outsourcing), telecommunication services and many more. At present, India is a preferred destination of the overseas companies for outsourcing software and IT services basically due to quality of the workforce, English language skills, cost advantages, project management skill, etc. Since 2004, there has been substantial rise in the technical collaboration with multinational companies (MNC’s). According to the National Association of Software and Service Companies (Nasscom) software development and services are the fastest growing industries in India. Indian IT industry is largely dominated by the software services with negligible presence in the hardware segment.

Table 4: Information Technology- 28 companies

Items

April-December 2005

April-December 2004

April-December 2003

(Rs crore)

Net Sales

26117.12

15863.90

13794.92

Other Income

749.94

414.55

492.45

Total Income

26867.06

16278.45

14287.38

Expenditure

19630.09

12100.50

10359.13

Operating Profit

7236.97

4177.95

3928.25

Interest

129.42

97.50

62.13

Gross Profit

7107.55

4080.45

3866.11

Depreciation

1164.98

742.74

656.50

Profit before Tax

5942.57

3337.71

3209.61

Tax

697.08

463.25

410.49

Provision and contingencies

44.9

38.66

8.87

Profit after Tax

5200.59

2835.80

2790.25

Extraordinary items

3.28

-0.71

1.90

Prior period items

0.24

0.00

0.00

Net Profit

5197.07

2836.51

2788.35

Equity Capital

4461.65

3233.45

2222.19

Indian IT companies have turned in consistently good results for a few years now. The combined results of 28 companies covered in IT segment for the period under review illustrates that the net sales has surged by 64 per cent (Rs 26,117 crore) as against 13 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. The profitability of the IT companies both at operating and net level has galloped by 73 per cent at Rs 7,236 crore and by 83 per cent to Rs 5,197 crore, respectively, during Apr-Dec 2005. Among the large IT firms, such as Wipro, Infosys, Satyam, operating profits have grown in double digits. The sales revenues of some small IT companies like Aztec Software, Infotech Enterprise, Mastek and Rolta India have gone up substantially. However, the growth in profits has now come under pressure from an overall increase in salaries and expenditure in the sector. For the large IT companies like Wipro, Satyam, Infosys and HCL Technologies operating profit margins have risen substantially, in spite of increasing employee expenses.

The acquisition spree has continued in the IT sector for example; Wipro has acquired 100 percent shares in Austrian company NewLogic in an all-cash deal worth $ 56 million and it has also acquired the U.S. based mPower Inc in an all-cash deal worth $ 28 million. HCL Technologies has secured a $ 50-100 million multi-year contract from Autodesk to provide offshore application and data centre services to the American company. A new concept of contract sharing has witnessed during 2005, Tata Consultancy Services and Infosys Technologies have together won outsourcing contracts worth $ 400 million from Dutch bank ABN Amro (other three companies were IBM, Accenture and Patni).

The Indian IT industry is well set to achieve the new targets that the latest Nasscom-Mckinsey report has set out for the five-year period till 2010 despite challenges in the form of shortage of skilled workforce, exchange rate fluctuations, etc.

Automobiles

The Indian automobile industry has evolved rapidly with time. Earlier it was dominated by a small number of companies in each segment like Hindustan Motors and Premier dominated the car segment, Bajaj Auto in two and three wheelers, etc. After liberalisation new companies entered the market and bought new technologies that has changed the face of automobile industry. At present Indian automobile industry consist of several international players like Honda, General Motors, Ford, Hyundai, Escorts, TVS and some more.

The growth trend of Indian automobile companies has been on an upswing for the past few years. In the World, India is the largest three-wheeler market, second largest two-wheeler market as well as fourth largest tractor market and passenger vehicles market and fifth largest commercial vehicle market. The automobile industry is a highly competitive market with each player trying to capture as much share as possible. The automobile companies are expanding their horizons by acquiring land outside India and building manufacturing units, to reap benefits of economies of scales. Indian auto companies are moving aggressively into foreign markets. For example, Mahindra & Mahindra has opened an assembly line for its Bolero range pick-up vehicles in Uruguay; Tata Motors is gearing up to re-launch its best selling passenger car, Indica, in the United Kingdom under its own brand. Surge in expansion have been necessitated due to the sudden increase in orders from global suppliers and the strong demand from domestic market. Companies like Bharat Forge, Amtek Auto and Sona Koyo are expanding their manufacturing bases by acquiring global suppliers in Western countries like Germany, US, UK; aiming at catering global customers and setting up greenfield projects in low cost countries.

Table 5: Automobiles 36 companies

Items

April-December 2005

April-December 2004

April-December 2003

(Rs crore)

Net Sales

47208.12

39668.86

30782.40

Other Income

1735.15

787.41

803.45

Total Income

48943.27

40456.26

31585.85

Expenditure

41495.84

34920.21

26942.77

Operating Profit

7447.43

5536.05

4643.08

Interest

438.65

375.77

431.38

Gross Profit

7008.79

5160.28

4211.70

Depreciation

1463.51

1199.28

1027.59

Profit before Tax

5545.28

3961.00

3184.11

Tax

1532.22

1222.51

929.89

Provision and contingencies

235.52

4.44

25.00

Profit after Tax

3777.54

2734.05

2229.22

Extraordinary Items

-142.29

83.93

46.29

Prior Period Items

3.59

2.60

-6.57

Net Profit

3916.24

2647.52

2189.50

Equity Capital

4253.26

3950.61

3749.81

The combined results of 36 automobile companies show that their net sales have risen by 19 per cent to Rs 47,208 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against a rise of 28 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004; other income has augmented by 120 per cent at Rs 1,735 crore as compared to a decline of 2 per cent during the same period a year ago. The rise in the operating margins by these companies are on the account of stabilisation of the raw material costs, a result of the fall in global steel prices, especially in the October-December 2005. The profitability at net level has enhanced by around 48 per cent to Rs 3,916 crore as against an increase of 20 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004.

Compared to the aggressive growth rates witnessed in Apr-Dec 2004 (over Apr-Dec 2003), the volume expansion in Apr-Dec 2005 has been much lower in almost every segment of the automobile industry. According to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), the total production of passenger vehicles (includes passenger cars, utility vehicles, etc) during Apr-Dec 2005 has grown by 6.18 per cent as against 27.37 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. Domestic sales of commercial vehicles have been lesser at 6.56 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 over 25.51 per cent witnessed during the same period previous year. The total exports of the automobile industry have remained almost stagnant at 32 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 as compared to 32.77 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004.

The three giants of motorcycle makers, namely, Bajaj Auto, Hero Honda and TVS Motors, which control almost 90 per cent of the two-wheeler market, have posted healthy growth in sales and profits both in value and volume term. These bike makers have benefited from the rise in fuel prices in September 2005 and new fuel emission standards that have come into effect influencing the customers to opt for motorcycles rather than cars.

Healthcare

The healthcare segment mainly consists of pharmaceuticals companies. The pharmaceutical industry is one of the affluent sectors of the manufacturing sector. It is one of the largest, in the global pharmaceutical industry ranked 4th in volume terms and 13th in value terms. The year 2005 had been a landmark in the history of Indian pharmaceutical industry as it has undergone a change with New Product Patent Protection Law came into action from January 1, 2005.

A study of 27 healthcare companies exhibits a robust growth of 17 per cent in net sales during Apr-Dec 2005 over 6.24 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. Although there has been rise in the expenditure of these companies by 17 per cent over 11 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004 the profitability has remained intact. A substantial rise in the expenditure has been basically due to surging research and development (R&D) activities by these companies, which eventually helped the company to enhance its performance in the long run. During Apr-Dec 2005, net profit of these companies has improved reasonably by 26.5 per cent as against a negative growth of 8 per cent over a year ago.

The domestic pharmaceutical companies are adopting strategies to adapt themselves to the new patent regime. They are concentrating on new methods such as contract research (drug discovery and clinical trials), contract manufacturing and co-marketing alliances. Indian companies are developing new chemical entities as well as generics to sustain their business. The Indian companies are spending huge amount to strengthen their R&D activities. For example – Nicholas Piramal’s R&D expenditure during Apr-Dec 2005 has stood at 26 per cent Rs 46 crore, on the other hand, Ranbaxy has spend Rs 469 crore on R&D during the 12 months ended December 2005, an increase of 38.9 per cent. To increase their presence globally Indian pharmaceutical companies are expanding their horizons. They are expanding their presence in countries like US, Europe, Japan and China. Recently China has emerged as an important market for Indian companies due to economical manufacturing, better infrastructure and low operational cost.

Among the major M&A deals during 2005 has been Nicholas Piramal’s acquisition of UK’s Avecia Pharmaceuticals for about Rs 76 crore, an example of a deal in custom manufacturing case. It has also acquired a 17 per cent shares in Biosyntech, a Canadian pharma packaging company. Gujarat based Torrent has acquired Heumann Pharma a generic drug company. DRL announced its tie-up with Denmark based Rheoscience A/S to jointly develop and market a new diabetes drug. To concentrate only on R&D activities, DRL has floated a new Rs 230 crore triangular drug discovery venture, Perlecan Pharma, with ICICI venture funds and Citigroup venture.

FMGC

The FMCG sector has been one of the largest sectors in India. The surging FMCG growth is the end result of rising disposable income and purchasing power by the consumers. The demand for FMCG prducts is gathering momentum from both urban and rural markets. The rural India is becoming the major growth driver for the FMCG industry. Products that have seen significant growth in rural markets include toothpaste, hair oils and shampoos.

The FMCG sector has posted good results – a key beneficiary of satisfactory monsoon, as it fuels rural demand. The growth of HLL and GCPL have been mainly driven by their home and personal care products and food business. A combined study of 22 companies including FMCG giants like HLL, ITC, Britannia, Nirma, Procter and Gamble (P&G), Nestle India, Colgate-Palmolive, Godrej Consumer Products, etc reveals, a 12 per cent increase in net sales at Rs 30,838 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against a rise of 9 per cent in the previous year. The FMCG sector has maintained its growth at good levels, aided largely by rising demand in urban market. However, rural demand has revived, but it is still lower compared to urban demand. Urban demand is strong enough to drive sales growth of FMCG leaders such as HLL, Marico, Godrej Products, etc. Even companies such as Colgate-Palmolive, which had been struggling from past few years have started posting good results. Rising demand and selective price hike has helped the companies to post satisfactory growth in revenues. Total expenditure of the sample companies has reduced marginally and stood at 10.43 per cent in Apr-Dec 2005 as against 11.25 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. The net profit has risen sharply by 26 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 as against a negative growth of 3.41 per cent over a year ago.

In November 2005 end due to pressure form mounting input cost, HLL and P&G have raised the prices of their detergent brands Surf-Excle and Ariel. This has been the second price hike; first was in February 2005 to counter pressure from rising raw material prices and packaging costs.

FMCG sector has also witnessed major mergers and acquisitions during 2005-06. The Indian FMCG majors made acquisitions in the global area. Tata Tea acquired the US based Good Earth and FMALI Herb Inc, while the acquisition of UK based Keyline Brands has made Godrej Consumer Products to establish significant presences in UK.

In the FMCG industry innovation is the only way to survive. This innovation may take form of product innovation or market innovation. The FMCG sector, after having underperformed for some time, is on the path to recovery, with acceleration in rural growth, increasing consumer spending along with the shift in product preference towards those being offered by the newer entrants. Further, smaller companies have started exploring rural markets, not through their own network as it is an expensive affair, but through other larger companies networks. For example, Godrej Consumer has tied up with ITC to sell its soaps through the latter's E-Choupal network. Retailing is also an emerging sector in India. The product distribution of firms has a long supply chain and the cost gets added at every step, thereby increasing the price of the product. The retail revolution is expected to provide boost to margins of the FMCG sector in India.

  

Cement

Indian cement industry is the world’s second largest cement market after China. The installed capacity of the domestic cement industry has increased substantially to touch 160.24 million tonnes as of December 2005 as against 153.85 million tonnes at the beginning of the fiscal year April 2005. Due to a surge in demand across all the sectors, cement companies led by ACC and Birla Cements among others have increased the installed capacity by 6.39 MT during Apr-Dec 2005, taking the total installed capacity to 160.24 MT.

Our study of 16 companies (including ACC, Birla Corporation, Gujarat Ambuja, Shree cement, Madras Cement, etc) shows that the growth in net sales has registered a lower at 17.76 per cent rise during Apr-Dec 2005 as compared to the growth of 26.82 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004. Operating profit margin (OPM) of these companies have risen marginally to 19.29 per cent in Apr-Dec 2005 as against 19.10 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. The surging cement prices across the country have helped these companies to grab profits. The net profit has reported a growth of 63 per cent at Rs 1317 crore as against a rise of 104 per cent over Apr-Dec 2004.

The OPM of ACC and Gujarat Ambuja have risen by 19 per cent and 28 per cent respectively for Apr-Dec 2005. ACC has reported a whooping 151 per cent increase in net profit during Apr-Dec 2005 at Rs 535 crore as compared to 125 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004. Mid sized domestic firms such as Madras Cements and Shree Cement have also done well in profitability terms. The OPM of these companies have recorded a 20.70 per cent and 32 per cent rise, respectively. Gujarat Ambuja is considered to be one of the lowest cost producers in India. It has controlled costs through a mix of measures such as using large kilns and lowering of power and fuel costs. It has cut the energy cost by reducing the usage of coal through use of substitutes such as crushed surgarcane. The company also pioneered the utilisation of ship transportation to cut freight costs and has established infrastructure such as ports, freight, and handling terminals.

The Indian cement industry has a capacity to produce nearly 152 million tonnes of cement a year and the demand has been growing by almost 10 per cent annually, it has driven most of the cement companies to operate at their full capacity or peak production levels.

The Indian cement industry has witnessed about 10 per cent rise in dispatches during Apr-Dec 2005, despite a slight drop in exports and excessive rains in south India. The consumption demand for cement has risen substantially in states like Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Rajasthan, Himachal Pradesh, West Bengal and Chattishgarh.

The international giant Holcim has entered the Indian market in 2005 and acquired shares of two major cement companies ACC and Gujarat Ambuja. ACC, GACL, UltraTech and Grasim mainly dominate the Indian cement industry. The two larger players Hoclim (along with ACC) and Aditya Birla Group (with UltraTech and Grasim) have almost 50 per cent of the market share. Holcim owns a 35 per cent share in ACC. In future just as Holcim Indian cement industry might gather the attention from other international players as well.

A rising demand for cement is assured on the back of the government’s focus on projects in the roads and ports. Infrastructure sector development is a major driver for cement demand and accounts for about 20 per cent of the total demand for cement. The government’s National Highway Development Programme (NHDP), construction of the Golden Quadrilateral and the North-South and the East-West corridor projects are expected to maintain this upward trend in the demand in future.

Textiles

The textile industry is one of the largest segments of the Indian economy in terms of output, foreign exchange earnings and employment generation. It accounts for about 15 per cent of the country’s total export earnings in fiscal year 2004-05 and Apr-Dec 2005. Indian textile industry is multi-fibre based, using cotton, jute, wool, silk and man-made and synthetic fibres. Removal of quota constraint from January 2005 has opened up substantial export opportunities for the textile sector. After the dismantling of the quota regime, that restricted the developing countries from the free trade in textiles exports for a long time, Indian textile industry has seen a remarkable rise in the its export performance. There has been a change in coding system (exports) as well due to which Oct-Dec figures are very high. According to DGCI&S, India’s textile export has registered a 21.2 per cent growth during Apr-Dec 2005 as against a 5.9 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004.

Our study of 14 textile companies (includes Raymonds, Century Enka, Arvind Mills, Bombay Dying, garden Silk, Mahavir Spinning, etc) reveals, a 12.75 per cent rise in net sales during Apr-Dec 2005 to Rs 9,287 crore as against a rise of 18 per cent over a year ago. Operating profit has augmented by 30.54 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 as against just 1.63 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004. Despite a heavy tax provision of 44 per cent (Rs 145.76 crore), net profit has augmented by 53 per cent to Rs 584 crore as compared to a decline of 4 per cent over Apr-Dec 2004.

Textile companies after witnessing a contraction in July-September 2005 quarter have recorded an expansion in both operating and net margins in October-December 2005. A major reason for margin expansion has been the decline in raw material prices, particularly cotton prices. Mahavir Spinning Mills raw material cost as percentage of net sales during Apr-Dec 2005 has stood at 42.6 during Apr-Dec 2005 as against 48.8 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004. Raymond has reported 15 per cent rise in net sales to Rs 940 crore, the main contributors of this growth has been textiles and denim divisions. The segment profit of textile and denim divisions have reported an increase of 65 per cent (Rs 140 crore) and 27 per cent (Rs 21 crore), respectively. Bombay Dyeing has posted 8 per cent rise in its net sales to Rs 800 crore during Apr-Dec 2005. The company’s textile and DMT (Dimethyl Terephthalate) divisions have suffered in revenues and profits. However, the company has been rescued by its real estate division, which generated profit of Rs 108 crore.

In the quest of modernisation, an increasing number of Indian textile companies are going for acquisitions in Europe and the US. The textile companies have found a way to counter the shortfall in domestic textile machinery production. After the phase out of quotas, the shortfall of machines has aggravated as India has only one major manufactures in textile machinery.

The textile companies are on the expansion mode. They have adopted several methods of expanding their horizons domestically and internationally such as Raymond Limited has signed a joint venture agreement with Italian company Lanificio Fedora to set up Rs 39.91 crore project for manufacture of blankets and shawls at Jalgaon, Maharashtra. The Phagwara based JCT through CNLT Malaysia, a company managed by JCT, has acquired a Composite Textile Mill in-Senegal on a long-term lease, as the African Growth and Opportunity Act provides concession for export to the US and EU.

Home textiles, one of the India staple exports to the US are gaining favour in the domestic market. The changing tastes of the consumer, aided by higher disposable incomes, have spun a new market for these products in India. Companies such as Bombay dying, Welspun India and Alok industries are spruced up for the new opportunity.

Metals

The metals segment consists of ferrous metals (includes steel and steel products) and non-ferrous metals (includes zinc, copper, aluminium). On an average, India produces about 38-40 million tonne (MT) of steel annually. The capacity utilisation by Indian steel companies like SAIL (Steel Authority of India Limited), JSW, Ispat, Essar Steel, etc is over 90 per cent. Construction sector, consumer durables and automobiles constitute about half the demand for steel in the domestic market. Currently India exports about 15 per cent of its production primarily to the West Asia and South East Asia.

During Apr-Dec 2005, India’s finished steel production has risen by 7.1 per cent to 34.1 million tonnes. According to ICRA, during the first nine months of 2005-06, the Indian steel industry has witnessed a healthy growth in finished steel production. It has stood at 31,402 thousand tonnes, a growth of 7.1 per cent over 29,319 thousand tonnes in the same period a year ago. The production of pig iron has surged by 34.1 per cent to 2,988 thousand tonnes during April-December 2005. For the first nine months ended December 2005, India has produced 6.92 lakh tonnes of aluminium, up by 6 per cent from April-December 2004. The country has produced 3.68 tonnes of copper, a growth of 23 per cent. The country’s total zinc output during April-December 2005 has been at 1.97 lakh tonnes compared with 1.76 lakh tonnes produced during the previous year.

Our study of 24 companies including top companies such as Hindalco, SAIL, Sesa Goa, Uttam Galva, Jindal Steel and Power, Madras Aluminium, JSW Steel and few more shows that net sales of the sample companies have grown by 8.86 per cent to Rs 53,246 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against a rise of 43 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004. A 12 per cent rise in expenditure at Rs 39,693 crore has eaten up operating profits that have stood at Rs 14,384 crore, hardly 1 per cent increase than the previous year. There has been substantial increase in the prices of raw materials such as iron ore, metallic scrap and coking coal during 2005. The net profit has declined by 5 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 to Rs 7,030 crore as against a whooping increase of 132 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004.

In view of the over capacity of steel in the international market with China becoming an exporter, there has been pressure on steel prices and the steel prices have started declining since June 2005.

SAIL, India’s largest integrated steel maker, has reported subdued performance during Apr-Dec 2005. The rise in the prices of coking coal alone put an additional burden of over Rs 1,000 crore during April-December 2005 on SAIL. SAIL’s consumption of raw material has risen by 24 per cent to Rs 7,870 crore. The declining sales revenue has further hit the net profit of the company. Its net profit for Apr-Dec 2005 has declined by 29 per cent to Rs 2,935 crore as against a rise of 176 per cent in the previous year, despite control over interest cost.

Hindalco Industries has posted excellent financial results for Apr-Dec 2005. Its operating revenues from sales of aluminium has increased by 13.8 per cent to Rs 43,192 crore and copper revenue has risen by 6.55 per cent to Rs 34,225 crore, despite prices remaining tightened at London Metal Exchange. The company’s net profit has enhanced by 27 per cent to Rs 9,020 crore during Apr-Dec 2005. In the same period, Hindalco has produced 1.43 lakh tonnes of copper compared with 1.60 lakh tonnes over a year ago.

To cater to the increased demand most of the steel companies are in expansion mode. JSW steel has signed Memorandum of Understanding with the Jharkhand government for setting up a 10-million tonne per annum (MTPA) greenfield plant in Hesalong. It is planning to spend Rs 35,000 crore over five years on this plant, which is expected to be operational by 2010. Since the export market has potential, steel majors are also eyeing acquisitions abroad. Rising cost of production is a major of concern to the steel companies. The raw material prices have been exerting some pressure on the margins of steel producers.

Oil and Gas

India is one of the largest oil consumers in Asia-Pacific region. On an average, it imports around 70 per cent of its total oil requirement. The financial performance of oil marketing and refining companies has decelerated in 2005-06. This reflects the adverse impact of higher crude oil prices in the international markets with marginal corresponding hike in prices of petroleum products in the domestic market. The prices of petrol and diesel have been revised in September 2005, but not sufficiently enough to match the sharp increase in import prices. Also, LPG and SKO (superior kerosene oil) prices have not been revised which has resulted in increased subsidy, thus resulting in enhanced losses for integrated oil companies.

Among the top five companies (ONGC, IOC, BPCL, HPCL, RIL) only ONGC and RIL have reported positive growth in net profit during Apr-Dec 2005. IOC has remained India’s biggest company with standalone net sales of Rs 1,22,962 crore in Apr-Dec 2005; while, ONGC has remained the most profitable company with net profit of Rs 11,344 crore. OPM has turned negative for BPCL (-2.1 per cent) and HPCL (- 2 per cent). Among the three public limited companies ONGC, IOC, GAIL, OPM of ONGC has stood at 62 per cent followed by GAIL with 29 per cent and IOC with 2.85 per cent.

Table 6: Oil and Gas- 18 companies

Items

April-December 2005

April-December 2004

April-December 2003

(Rs crore)

Net Sales

372440.35

314801.88

272293.12

Other Income

6199.87

4513.07

3626.52

Total Income

378640.22

319314.95

275919.64

Expenditure

338940.65

273890.07

235355.39

Operating Profit

39699.58

45424.89

40564.26

Interest

1956.43

1959.43

1784.23

Gross Profit

37743.15

43465.46

38780.03

Depreciation

11195.17

10844.72

8920.26

Profit before Tax

26547.98

32620.73

29859.77

Tax

8514.23

9764.52

9094.07

Provisions and Contingencies

0.01

-0.11

0.31

Profit after Tax

18033.74

22856.32

20765.39

Extraordinary Items

-46.96

18.53

83.08

Prior period items

0.00

0.00

0.52

Net Profit

18080.70

22837.79

20681.79

Equity Capital

22012.78

19833.40

19443.80

The sample study of 18 oil and gas companies shows that the net sales of these companies have increased by 18 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 as against 15 per cent over the same period previous year. The 24 per cent rise in the expenditure has taken away profit margins of these companies as against 16 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. The profit margin has also declined due to subdued performance by these companies. Net profit of these companies has declined by 21 per cent to Rs 18,080 crore as against a 10 per cent rise during Apr-Dec 2004. Earning per share has come down to Rs 82 during Apr-Dec 2005 from Rs 115 over a year ago.

Indian companies are taking several steps to increase their oil and gas reserves by acquiring companies and oil fields abroad. The New Exploration and Licensing Policy aimed at attracting private investment in exploration. Indian companies are going global to acquire new oil fields. For example, ONGC Videsh Limited (OVL) has been making strategic investments in oil fields around the globe. OVL’s operations are spread in Iran, Iraq, Libya, Australia, Myanmar, Russia and Cuba. OVL and China National Petroleum Corporation Limited have jointly entered into an agreement to acquire PetroCanada’s entire shares in four production-sharing contracts in Syria.

Capital Goods

The engineering sector is the largest segment of the Indian industrial sector. India has a strong engineering and capital goods base. The important groups within the engineering industry include machinery & instruments, electronic goods, etc. A robust growth in this segment has continued on the back of healthy order book positions for companies like Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited, L&T, etc and strong demand both in the domestic and the export markets. For example, during Apr-Dec 2005, the order booking position of L&T has been higher at Rs.16, 211 crore, reflecting 80 per cent increase over a year ago.

In our study we have covered companies 30 companies such as Alfa Lavel, ABB, Larsen and Toubro (L&T), Crompton Greaves, BHEL, Bharat Earth Movers, Bharat Electronics, Havell’s India, etc. The combined net sales of these companies have augmented by 24 per cent to Rs 36,086 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against a rise of 19 per cent over a year ago. Companies like BHEL, Kirloskar Brothers, Crompton Greaves have shown consistent growth for about two years. The profitability of the sample companies has enhanced at each level and net profit has surged by 38 per cent to Rs 3052 crore as against a growth of 55 per cent over a year ago; earning per share has stood at Rs 98 from Rs 73.

The capital goods sector has witnessed buoyant year with domestic order inflows showing no signs of easing. Profit margins have improved as new contracts have been executed and economies of scale are driving the growth. This is in consonance with the robust growth impulses exhibited by the capital goods sector in overall industries production.

Chemicals and Petrochemicals

Our study of 24 chemicals and petrochemicals companies includes companies such as Asian Paints, Berger Paints, Godrej Industries, Goodlas Nerolac, IPCL, TamilNadu Petrochemicals, Indo Rama, Pidilite, etc. The combined net sales of 24 companies have shown a growth of 11 per cent at Rs 21,760 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against 12 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004 and other income has risen significantly by 40 per cent to Rs 450 crore. The profitability has enhanced at each level; operating profit has risen by 11 per cent at Rs 3,934 crore over an increase of 18 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004 and net profit has augmented by 39 per cent to Rs 1,984 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against 37 per cent a year ago.

According to ICRA, the operating rates of the petrochemicals companies have increased significantly resulting in increase in petrochemical margins. Thus, ethylene margins over naphtha increased significantly from US $ 382 per tonne during January-March 2004 to US $ 460 per tonne during April-June 2004 and then to US $ 616 per tonne during Jan-Mar 2005. However, during April-June 2005 and July-September 2005, the margins have declined and ethylene margins over naphtha were US $ 436 per tonne and US $ 358 per tonne, respectively. The prices continue to be high despite decline in margins mainly on account of high crude oil prices. However, during October-December 2005, the margins recovered.

Asian Paints is the market leader in decorative paints and Goodlass Nerolac is the leader in industrial paints. The industrial paint industry has witnessed growth in the automotive and commercial vehicle segment over the past three years. During Apr-Dec 2005, Asian paints has witnessed growth of over 25 per cent in its net profit as against 13 per cent over a year ago.

In the petrochemicals segment IPCL has posted 11 per cent rise in net sales to Rs 6,171 crore and net profit has galloped by 68 per cent to Rs 756 crore during Apr-Dec 2005. Operating rates of ethylene crackers, during the nine-month period under review, have continued to be high globally on account of sustained demand and lack of new capacities. IPCL has continued to operate its major plants at full capacity and production volume has touched 4.10 million tonnes, representing an increase of 7 per cent compared to a year ago. Production volumes of Polypropylene, Polyethylene and Poly Vinyl Chloride have increased by 2 per cent to 8.54 lakh tonnes; ethylene increased by 1 per cent to 7.14 lakh tonnes and propylene has increased by 2 per cent to 2.71 lakh tonnes.

Agriculture

The agriculture segment constitutes fertiliser companies (RCF, Deepak Fertilisers, United phosphorous, National fertiliser), sugar companies (Bajaj Hindustan, Balrampur Chini) and other companies such as Indo-Gulf, Jain Irrigation, etc.

Our study of 21 agriculture companies exhibits satisfactory financial performance than previous year. Net sales of the sample companies have increased by 14.7 per cent to Rs 20,702 crore during Apr-Dec 2005. OPM has risen marginally by 17 per cent from 16 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004. The gross and net profit has risen substantially by 23 per cent and 39 per cent at Rs 3,097 crore and Rs 1,651 crore, respectively.

Since January 2004, sugar prices have moved up globally. The Indian sugar companies are expected to benefit from the ongoing sugar boom. The top sugar companies such as Bajaj Hindustan and Balrampur Chini Mills have benefited by higher sugar price realisation. Net profit of Bajaj Hindustan has surged by 134 per cent to Rs 133 crore and Balrampur Chini Mills has reported a growth of 59 per cent at Rs 114 crore.

The total fertiliser production between April-December 2005 has registered a marginal rise of 0.2 per cent despite a 1.5 per cent fall in the output of phosphates fertilisers.

The central government, for the first time, has increased the subsidy on single super phosphate (SSP) fertilisers by about 50 per cent. For the first time, the Union government has increased the subsidy (for SSP fertilisers), which was applicable only to complex fertilisers earlier. The new subsidy will now be Rs 975 per metric tonne, up from the earlier Rs 650. Also, The state government has increased the retail price of such fertilisers by Rs 333 per tonne to Rs 4,010. The governments action is likely to benefit companies such as Indo-Gulf fertiliser, RCF, etc.

Miscellaneous

The companies that do not fall under the above sectors (as per BSE 500 Index) are classified as miscellaneous companies such as Adani Exports, Ballarpur Industries, Tata Chemicals, Voltas, Pantaloon, Trent Limited, Grasim Industries, JK Paper, etc. Net sales of these sample (25) companies have grown by 22 per cent to Rs 36,576 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against 36 per cent over a year ago. Other income has risen massively by a whooping 106 per cent to Rs 943 crore. Total expenditure has come down sharply to 15 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 from 39 per cent from Apr-Dec 2004. Despite a high tax provision of 77 per cent at Rs 1,260 crore; net profit has surged by 77 per cent to Rs 2,794 crore as compared to 18 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004.

Tata Chemicals has reported a 20 per cent growth in net sales to Rs 2,764 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as compared to and increase of 81 per cent over a year ago. Net profit margin has risen marginally and stood at 10.44 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 over 10.02 per cent. In November 2005, Tata Chemicals has acquired a 63.5 per cent share in the UK based chemical company Brunner Mond Group. Acquisition of majority stake in Brunner Mond Group makes Tata Chemicals the third largest soda ash company in the world.

Pantaloon Retail (India) Limited has presence across various segments including food, fashion and footwear, home solutions, etc. the company has registered a growth of 84 per cent in net sales to Rs 1,206 as compared to a rise of 49 per cent over a year ago. Net profit margin has stood at 3.55 per cent over 3.34 per cent.

Grasim Industries, a flagship company of Aditya Birla Group, has reported a 5 per cent increase in net sales to Rs 4,840 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against 24 per cent over Apr-Dec 2004. However, the company’s net profit has suffered by 8 per cent to Rs 600 crore as compared to an increase of 31 per cent. The performance of Grasim Industries sponge iron segment has been severely hampered due to the shortage in supply of natural gas and steep rise in input costs.

Shipping

Our study covers only 5 shipping companies including Varun Shipping, Shipping Corporation of India (SCI), GE Shipping, Mercator and Container Corporation of India. The net sales of these companies together have risen by 8 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 to Rs 7,350 crore as compared to a rise of 30 per cent over a year ago and other income has increased by 51 per cent to Rs 447 crore as against a growth of 127 per cent. Profit margins at operating and net level have stood at 45.16 per cent and 29.66 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 as compared to 44.28 per cent and 29.68 per cent over a year ago.

Varun shipping has reported a whooping 137 per cent rise in net profit to Rs 123 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 as against a growth of 183 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004. This has been mainly achieved as the company has further expanded its tonnage capacity during the quarter, which has been well supported by steadily increasing freight rates in the LPG segment. SCI has reported subdued performance during Apr-Dec 2005; its net profit has declined by 14 per cent to Rs 692 crore over a substantial increase of 122 per cent during Apr-Dec 2004.

Increased spending on offshore exploration and production of oil and gas has increased order-book positions of Indian shipbuilders. ABG shipyard has an order backlog of Rs 1300 crore, while Bharti Shipyard has pending orders worth Rs 676 crore on its books. A major chunk of these orders is for offshore supply vessels and other such ships used by the oil and gas industry.

Consumer Durables and Power

In the consumer durable and power segment we have covered 4 companies each. Our study of consumer durables companies (4) shows 11 per cent rise in net sales to Rs 3,216 crore during Apr-Dec 2005 over a rise of 32 per cent a year ago. However, the other income of these companies has reduced drastically by 35 per cent to Rs 9 crore. Low growth in total income at 11 per cent during Apr-Dec 2005 from 32 per cent in Apr-Dec 2004 has resulted in declining profitability at operating, gross and net level. Net profit has deteriorated by 10 per cent to Rs 86.12 crore from a whooping 230 per cent growth during Apr-Dec 2004 whereas; EPS has gone down to Rs 19.80 from Rs 22.90.

During Apr-Dec 2005, net sales of power segment have stood at Rs 10,431 crore, a rise of 11 per cent as against Rs 9,350 crore. Though there has been an increase of 15 per cent in total expenditure at Rs 7,719 crore; operating profit has risen by 5 per cent to Rs 3,868 crore and net profit has gone up by 17 per cent to Rs 1856 crore as against a rise of 8 per cent over a year ago.

Tata Power has reported 14 per cent rise in total sales revenue at Rs 3,391 crore during Apr-Dec 2005; of which Rs 3,187 crore has been earned from power supply and Rs 204 crore from other businesses. A 20 per cent rise in total expenditure has brought down operating profit by 15 per cent to Rs 678 crore. Due to lower interest cost, net profit has augmented by 24 per cent to Rs 471 crore over a year ago. Reliance Energy Limited’s total sales of electrical energy during Apr-Dec 2005 has stood at Rs 2,408 crore against Rs 2,241 crore in the corresponding previous period, an increase of 7 per cent. The sales turnover of the EPC and contracts division has enhanced by 36 per cent at Rs 573 crore. The company has reported a growth of 32 per cent in net profit at Rs 481 crore over a year ago.

Conclusion

The two years study of financial performance of 300 companies reveals a slowdown in the growth rates during Apr-Dec 2005. The growth in net sales has remained almost same but profitability has gone down. The performance of corporate sector has been affected by several factors such as, in July 2005 ONGC witnessed as major fire break out that destroyed its offshore platform of Bombay High, heavy rains in Mumbai and Gujarat resulted in loss of production as a lot of plants were shutdown due to water-logging; ports were also affected. A surge in international crude oil prices has taken toll not only in the performance of oil companies but also that of other companies due to rising cost, hardening interest rates have also affected companies due to rising borrowing costs.

 

[This note is prepared by Vidya Kanitkar with help from Pooja Tanak for tables.]

 

Reference:

www.bseindia.com

Various media sources

Highlights of  Current Economic Scene

AGRICULTURE  

 

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has approved the norms to facilitate the interest rate subsidy of 2 per cent to public sector banks (PSBs) and regional rural banks (RRBs) for extending short-term credit up to Rs 3 lakh to farmers at 7 per cent rate of interest. The extent of assistance provided, would depend on the amount of the crop loan disbursed from the date of disbursement till the date of payment or up to the date beyond which the outstanding loan becomes overdue, that is, March 31, 2007 (for kharif) and June 30, 2007 (for rabi). The subvention would not be provided to private banks and cooperative banks, which give short-term agricultural credit as part of their own lending programmes. 

 

Government has approved the import of 8 lakh tonnes of wheat, 5 lakh tonnes from Australia’s AWB Ltd at $ 187 per tonne on cost and freight basis (C&F) and 3 lakh tonnes from Agrico Trade and Finance SA at $ 199 per tonne. Earlier, the AWB had offered to supply wheat at $ 210 per tonne on C&F basis while Agrico has quoted a price of nearly $199 per tonne on C&F. The shipments are expected to reach ports between July and October. The government had floated the tender for importing 30 lakh tonnes of wheat, however, only 8 lakh tonnes of the total import demand has been fulfilled by the above two companies. Hence, the centre is likely to float fresh import tender to meet the balanced requirement of wheat in the country. It has also decided to further relax wheat import norms to encourage more companies to bid for wheat contracts. The agriculture ministry has decided to approve the wheat consignment provided it is in accordance with the Codex standards. 

 

The central government has indicated a likely increase in the issue price of rice and wheat under the public distribution system (PDS), along with the reduction in the food grain allocation, in order to control the rise in food subsidy bill. The decision of increasing the issue prices has been taken in the view of increasing cost of procurement as well as storage of the foodgrains.

 

The central government has decided to set up a new Special Purpose Pepper Fund to encourage farmers to take up replanting of pepper for improving its productivity. Pepper is expected to be replanted in 60,000 hectares over the period of 5 years. The total cost of the project has been estimated at Rs 370 crore and it is likely to be funded by agencies like the Spices Board, NABARD, the Horticulture Mission and the state governments. It also has the plans to set up a Rs 600-crore special purpose fund to finance the re-plantation of coffee in 90,000 hectares over five years. Of the 90,000 hectares to be re-planted, Karnataka accounts for 65,000 hectares and Tamil Nadu and Kerala 25,000 hectares. 

 

To control the prices of pulses, the central government has removed the 10 per cent custom duty on its imports. The government has exempted pulses fully from custom duty. The exemption would be valid till March 31, 2007 and would apply to ports having the capacity to handle bulk imports.

 

The government of Orissa has decided to embark upon contract farming in two crucial varieties such as cotton and oilseeds from the rabi season. It has decided to request Cotton Corporation of India to get involved in the contract farming in 2000 hectares of land in Kalahandi district of the state and in case of oilseeds it has planed to asked National Agricultural Marketing Federation of India (Nafed) to start contract farming in some identified areas.

 

The centre has agreed to release 5.3 lakh tonnes of maize to poultry farmers, hit by bird flu scare, at a low rate, in the view of the risen price of maize in the open market.

 

The southwest monsoon 2006 has entered a weak phase after hitting the country 6 days ahead of its schedule on May 26, 2006. The country as a whole has received an average rainfall of 40.2 millimetres (mm), which was 68 per cent more than the corresponding long period average (LPA) of 23.9 mm during the first week of the monsoon season (June-September) ended on June 7, 2006. With the monsoon not expected to revive in the next 10 days, sowing of crops such as cotton are likely to be delayed.

 

INDUSTRY

Automobiles

The government is considering an increase in the abatement rate applied under the new system of maximum retail price (MRP)-based excise duty on automobile parts sold in the retail market.  Since the beginning of June 2006, automobile parts sold in the retail market have been subjected to an excise duty on MRP with an abatement rate fixed at 33.5 per cent. The industry, represented by Automotive Component Manufacturers' Association (ACMA) and Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), has sought an abatement rate of 50 per cent as well as a deferment in the date of implementing the MRP-based system. Abatement rate is used for reducing the value of MRP before charging excise duty - an automobile part sold in the retail market, though may carry a MRP tag of say Rs 100, the actual realisation may be Rs 60 or so, due to prevailing discount structure and credit policy prevailing in the market and hence, the duty will be levied on the 'actual MRP' of Rs 60 and not on the price tag of Rs 100. Additionally, the associations have asked for the new system of charging excise duty on MRP to be applied on imported components too, so to ensure that the domestic producers do not suffer under the new system.

 

Air-conditioners

The cost of air-conditioners in India could rise by 6-8 per cent on average, according the Refrigeration and Air-conditioning Manufacturer's Association, due to tighter margins resulting from escalating prices of two essential metals for air conditioner manufacturing, copper and aluminium. The price of copper has more than doubled to $ 8,029 (Rs 3.7 lakh) a tonne in May 2006 from $ 3,264 (Rs 1.5 lakh) in May 2005. In the last two months alone - between March and May 2006 - it has increased by $ 2,927 (Rs 1.3 lakh). Similarly, aluminium prices have increased to $ 2,934 (Rs 1.3 lakh) from $ 1,860 (Rs 85,560) last year, an increase of 57 per cent.

 

Pharmaceuticals

According to a KPMG report, the Indian pharmaceutical industry worth $ 6 billion in a global industry worth $ 650 billion has been growing at 10 per cent compared with the global industry rate of 7 per cent.  Securing 22 per cent of the $ 65 billion global generic market, the country has also shown promising trends of being a regional hub of global research and development activities in the pharmaceutical space. Bearing in mind that $ 65 billion of prescription medicines in Europe and the US are to lose their patents in 2007-08, India is ideally positioned to sweep up much of that new business. The report has attributed much of the impetus behind India's fresh challenge for a greater share of the global industry to be driven by last year's introduction of product patents.

 

INFRASTRUCTURE

Overall

The budget division of the finance ministry, which is mandated to stick to the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) roadmap, has refused to release the guarantee for India Infrastructure Finance Company Limited (IIFCL), the government-owned special purpose vehicle (SPV) for infrastructure funding,  to mobilise Rs 10,000 crore, the budgeted annual borrowing limit, in one go. Instead, the guarantee will be released in tranches, on a case-to-case basis as and when IIFCL vets project proposals. The company has project proposals entailing a total investment of Rs 40,000 crore at hand; it is supposed to fund up to 20 per cent of the cost of the projects, which, as per proposals already received, would amount to Rs 8,000 crore. IIFCL has already “sanctioned” Rs 458 crore for funding projects in the port, power and urban infrastructure sectors, even though it has not raised any funds.

 

Power

India, according to official estimates, has the potential to generate as much as 84,000 MW of hydropower at a 60 per cent load factor, translating into 1,48,700 mw of installed capacity. There is also a potential to produce around 7,000 MW of power from small, mini and micro hydel schemes. In addition, the government has identified 56 pumped storage projects with probable capacity of 94,000 MW. Thus, the total hydro-electric capacity potential has been pegged at around 2.5 lakh MW. However, only 15 per cent of the potential has been harnessed and 7 per cent is under various stages of development.

The centre has approved coal and railway linkages for 30 years for upcoming coal-based projects with a total generation capacity of 2,000 MW, including Parli (250 MW), Paras (250 MW), Kharparkheda (500 MW) and Bhusawal (1,000 MW) in power-starved Maharashtra. The state-owned Maharashtra State Power Generation Company Ltd (MahaGenco) proposes to commission these projects by 2009-10 and would need nearly 10 million tonne (mt) of coal annually for 30 years from the time of commissioning. MahaGenco will have to purchase the coal at the price fixed by Coal India. The government has agreed to provide Rs 2,000 crore to MahaGenco as equity contribution in project development while MahaGenco plans to raise Rs 8,000 crore from financial institutions, including PFC and REC.

 

India has witnessed a record generation loss of 25.65 billion units during 2005-06 mainly on account of uncertainty and inadequacy of gas and coal supplies. As many as 24 billion units have been lost due to gas shortage and 1.65 billion units due to coal supply shortfall. Moreover, the overall plant load factor (PLF) has marginally declined to 73.6 per cent in 2005-06 from 74.8 per cent in 2004-05, largely due to a fall in state sector PLF, primarily because of a substantial backing down of thermal stations in south due to favourable monsoons.

 

Petroleum and Petroleum Products

The government has hiked prices of petrol and diesel by Rs 4 and Rs 2 per litre (plus local taxes), respectively, from June 6th 2006; the last price revision had occurred in September 2005. The prices of kerosene sold under public distribution system (PDS) and domestic liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) have been left untouched. As part of its efforts to tackle under-recoveries faced by retail oil companies due to surging international crude prices, the Cabinet has decided on a integrated package which involves, apart from the price increase in petrol and diesel, issuance of oil bonds worth Rs 28,000 crore, customs duty reduction from 10 per cent to 7.5 per cent on petrol and diesel, restricting PDS kerosene supply to below poverty line families, and moving to a trade parity pricing mechanism for petrol and diesel.

 

Railways

The railways have begun to offer special packages to pithead projects in the power sector in order to prevent an erosion of its market share in coal carriage which constitutes half of its annual cargo load; the railways carry about 280 million tonnes of coal every year and as per estimates, in the next 10 years, pithead projects alone may need about 200 million tonnes. The railways have offered to lay tracks for power units so as to forge long-term agreements with them.  Additionally, a specialised scheme for short routes under which the turnaround time will be considerably reduced as also wagons which are open at the centre will be used, reducing the unloading time and allowing three trips per train per day has also been devised. The railways ministry expects a rapid increase in the number of pithead projects in India, with Orissa and Jharkhand taking the lead.

 

Aviation

The Prime Minister's Committee on Infrastructure has given its in-principle approval for modernisation of 35 non-metro airports, including at least seven in the South. It has been planned that all aeronautical activities at these airports would be handled by the Airports Authority of India (AAI). The development of non-aeronautical activities at city side of these airports, including putting up of hotels, restaurants, parking lots, cargo-handling facilities and other tourism-related activities, would be taken up a public-private partnership (PPP) model, likely to peg the foreign direct investment (FDI) levels at 49 per cent with the private sector partner being allowed to pick up 74 per cent equity in the project. It has been clarified that the AAI would not seek any budgetary support for the modernisation process that is expected to cost between Rs 7,000 and 8,000 crore.

 

INFLATION

The annual point-to-point inflation rate based on wholesale price index (WPI) has gone down to 4.68 per cent for the week ended May 27, 2006 from 4.74 per cent during the previous week. The inflation rate was at 5.25 per cent in the corresponding week last year.

 

The WPI in the week under review has increased marginally by 0.1 per cent to 201.3 from 201.1 in the previous week (Base: 1993-94=100). The index of ‘primary articles’ group (weight 22.02 per cent) has risen by 0.3 per cent to 200.2 from the previous week’s level of 199.7, mainly due to an increase in the price index of ‘food articles’ by 0.3 per cent and ‘non-food articles’ by 0.1 per cent respectively, as compared to the previous week.  The index of ‘food articles’ has gone up to 204.5 from 203.8 in the previous week, mainly due to the higher prices of masur, eggs, condiments and spices, arhar, gram, fruits and vegetables and maize. The index of non-food articles has gone up to 176.9 from 176.8 for the previous week, mainly due to the higher prices of raw silk, cotton seed, niger seed and groundnut seed. The index of ‘fuel, power, light and lubricants’ group (weight 14.23 per cent) has also gone up by 0.2 per cent to 320.4 from the previous weeks’ level of 319.7, mainly due to the higher prices of bitumen, naphtha and furnace oil. The index of ‘manufactured products’ group constituting the maximum of 63.7 per cent of total weight, has remained unchanged at its previous weeks’ level of 175.1.

 

The latest final index of WPI for the week ended April 1, 2006 has been revised upwards; as a result both, the absolute index and the implied inflation rate stood at 198.6 and 3.98 per cent as against their provisional levels of 197.7 and 3.51 per cent, respectively.

 

BANKING

The government will spend Rs 1,600 crore in the current financial year to provide farmers with a subsidy on the interest they would pay on short-term agriculture loans. The current year’s target for total agriculture lending is Rs 1,75,000 crore, of which 70 per cent would be short-term credit. The government would provide subvention of 2 per cent to commercial banks and regional rural banks on all agricultural crop lending of upto Rs 3 lakh. As part of the package, Nabard would provide refinance to co-operative banks at 2.5 per cent and to regional rural banks at 4.5 per cent. The government will not provide subvention to private banks and co-operative banks, which give short-term agricultural credit as part of their own lending programmes. As state governments have a major stake in the co-operative banking structure, the central government expects them to help co-operative banks in providing subsidised short-term agriculture credit.

 

RBI has hiked the reverse repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.75 per cent with immediate effect (June 8, 2006). The repo rate too was hiked by an identical margin to 6.75 per cent. The RBI sucks out liquidity from the financial system daily through its reverse repo window and infuses liquidity through its repo window. The immediate provocation for the rate hike was the rise in global interest rates.

 

ICICI Bank has raised its lending rates including those for home loans, by 50 basis points. The hike comes just a day after the RBI raised its repo and reverse repo rates by 25 basis points. Recently, ICICI Bank had raised home loan rates by 50 basis points on May 5, 2006. With the second hike, the new floating home loan rate will be 9.5 per cent. The bank has also raised the corporate prime lending rate more aggressively by 100 basis points from 11.75 per cent to 12.75 per cent in March. Now the new prime lending rate for corporates will be 13.25 per cent.

 

SIDBI has acquired SME credit portfolio worth Rs 450 crore from ICICI Bank. The acquisition has been done through a securitisation deal and the portfolio primarily compromises loans to road transport operators and units making material handling equipment. The average maturity period of loans is three years with tenure ranging between 1 – 5 years.

 

FINANCIAL  MARKET

Capital Markets

Primary Market

Vigneshwara Exports Limited has tapped the market on June 7 with its public offer of around 47 lakh equity shares with a price band of Rs 121 to Rs 140 per equity shares; the issue closes on June 13.

 

Secondary Market

During the week, a global sell-off across equity markets on worries over rising global interest rates, concerns of redemption pressure with mutual funds and concerns that rise in domestic interest rates and fuel price rise will impact corporate earnings dealt a major blow to domestic bourses. Margin calls were hit due to steep fall in the shares prices, accentuating the fall. The fall in the market was across the board with stocks in sectors like IT, cement, power, textiles, pharmaceuticals, FMCG, refinery, real estate, and auto fell. The sensex plunged by 640.87 points or 6.13 per cent over the week to close at 9810.46, while S  & P CNX nifty declined by 225.05 point or 7.28 per cent over the week to settle at 2866.3. BSE small-cap index plunged 932.07 points (15.5 per cent), to close at 5,054.29 and the BSE mid-cap index lost 683.15 points (14 per cent), to close at 4,190.25. Among the sectoral indices all of them ended the week in negative territory with the consumer durable goods registering the highest loss as it declined by 13.51 per cent (2620.40), followed by the metal index at 12.60 per cent (7492.77) and the public sector index at 9.820 per cent (4704.90).

 

The FIIs were net sellers during the week to the tune of Rs 1439.3 crore with purchases worth Rs 10632.4 crore and sales of Rs 9192.9 crore. Meanwhile, the mutual funds have turned net sellers in the equity market to raise cash to meet possible redemption pressure following the a steep drop in share price, the extent of Rs 1426.55 crore with purchases worth Rs 1677.7 crore and sales of Rs 3104.67 crore.

 

Derivatives

During the week, the NSE’s F & O segment has witnessed a decline in its total turnover on a weekly basis to Rs 119595 crore from Rs 124366 crore for the week ending June 2. The stock futures continued to contribute the bulk of the trading with Rs 50228 crore, followed by index future at Rs 56004 crore.

 

Government Securities Market

Primary Market

During the week, RBI has mopped up Rs 2800 crore and Rs 3666.76 crore through 91-day and 364-day treasury bill, respectively. The cut-off yields for the 91-day and 364-day treasury bills have been set at 5.7364 per cent and 6.4800 per cent, respectively.

Meanwhile, RBI has also conducted a sale of new 30-year government paper and has sola (re-issue) 9.39 per cent 2011 paper for a notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore and Rs 6,000 crore, respectively. The cut-off yield for the new 30-year paper was set at 8.3300 per cent and cut-off yield for 9.39 per cent 2011 paper was set at 7.3877 per cent.

 

Secondary Market

During the week, the yields on gilt-edged securities rose sharply across maturities as a reaction to the unexpected RBI’s hike in the reverse repo rate and repo rate under the LAF by 25 basis points to 5.75 per cent and 6.75 per cent, respectively and with immediate effect; moreover, apprehension ahead of the Rs 10,000 crore gilt auction and the Fed’s comment on inflation limited gains. The weighted average YTM of 7.59 per cent 2016 paper was 7.6713 per cent on June 9 as compared to 7.6726 per cent.

Meanwhile, realigning themselves to the LAF rate hike by RBI, the call rates closed at 5.75-5.85 per cent, while on account of robust liquidity the outflows due to the auction failed to dampened the market sentiments. The amount placed under the reverse repo averaged to Rs 63,005 crore, while no bids were received at the repo auction.

 

Bond Market

During the week, the unexpected LAF rate hike by RBI has led to an increase in the yields on the corporate bonds across the maturities. However, reports that the government may allow EPFOs, insurance firms and pension funds to invest in below AAA-rated papers may boost the trading in corporate bonds.

 

Foreign Exchange Market

During the week, heavy dollar demand form importers, a sharp fall in the domestic stock market coupled with the dollar’s gains against major foreign currencies resulted drove the rupee down to its intra- week low of Rs 45.99 per dollar, however, the rupee drew support from the LAF rate hike and recovered to close at Rs 45.96 per dollar. Meanwhile, in the forward premia market, the premia rose on account of hike in the domestic fuel prices and widening of interest rate differentials, the six-month annualised forward premia closed at 0.97 per cent on June 9 as compared to 0.68 per cent on June 2.

 

Commodities Futures Derivatives

MCX and NYMEX have entered into an exclusive licensing agreement in India for launching mini-NYMEX energy contracts on MCX. This agreement will cover WTI light sweet crude oil, natural gas, heating oil, gasoline, and RBOB gasoline and propane future contracts of NYMEX. The final settlements of these mini-contracts will be done based on the settlement price of reference contracts on NYMEX adjusted for local duties and taxes and in local currency.

 

CREDIT RATING

CARE has assigned ‘AAA’ rating to the long term borrowing programme of Rural Electrification Corporation Limited (REC) for the year 2006-07 aggregating to amount Rs 12,000 crore. The assigned rating reflects the 100 per cent government of India ownership, REC’s role as a nodal agency for funding the rural electrification programme, its strategic importance as prime institution for channelling finance to meet government’s social and economic mandate of achieving 100 per cent rural electrification.

CARE has assigned ‘Grade 2’ to the four year Marine Engineering course conducted by Padmabhushan Vasantdada Patil Pratishthan’s College of Engineering. The grading derives strength from outstanding infrastructure facilities of the institute, excellent training facilities, presence of engineering colleges in the same vicinity good quality system, good funding profile and sustainability of operations.

CARE has retained ‘A (RPS)’ rating on cumulative redeemable preference shares issue of Rs 150 crore of Aban Loyd Chiles Offshore Limited. The rating takes into consideration the company’s long standing record characterised by steady growth in drilling revenue, high margins, competent and experienced management and bright prospectus of the oil and gas sector.

CARE has reaffirmed the ‘BBB (FD)’ rating assigned to the fixed deposit programme of Vivek Hire Purchase and Leasing Limited for a limit of Rs 7 crore. The rating continues to draw support from the company’s association with its parent Vivek’s Limited, the company’s satisfactory capital adequacy and a well-diversified retail asset portfolio.

ICRA has assigned an ‘A1+’rating to the Rs. 12 billion (enhanced from Rs. 10 billion) certificate of deposit programme of Yes Bank Limited. The rating factors in the profile of the bank’s principal shareholders, its adequate capitalization bolstered by the initial public offering of Rs. 3.15 billion in June 2005 .The rating also factors in the diversified income profile of the bank with high levels of fee income, its technology initiatives and expertise in select business domains.

 

ICRA has reaffirmed the ‘A1+’rating assigned to the Rs. 350 million commercial paper programme of H&R Johnson (India) Limited (HRJ). The rating is based on the stand-by letter issued in favor of HRJ by Indian Overseas Bank for the entire amount of Rs. 350 million. The rating also draws strength from the company’s leadership position in the domestic ceramic tile industry supported by its strong product line, premium brand image, its geographically widespread manufacturing facilities and vast distribution network.

 

ICRA has assigned an ‘A1+’ rating to the Rs. 250 million commercial paper programme of Passionate Investment Management Private Limited (PIMPL, erstwhile Motilal Oswal Investments Private Limited). The rating factors in the comfortable liquidity, adequate capitalisation and sound risk management systems employed by the company as well as the group’s experience in the equity broking and research business.

 

CORPORATE SECTOR

The Orissa government has signed Memorandum of Understanding with three power producers for setting up three mega thermal power projects at a total investment of Rs 13,402 crore and generation capacity of 3070-mega watt. Of these, Nava Bhart Power Private Limited proposes to set up a 1,040 MW coal-fired power plant at Nuahata village in Angul district at an estimated cost of Rs 4,875 crore. Chennai based Mahanadi Aban Power Company proposes to set up a 1,030 MW pithead plant in Dhenkanal district with an investment of Rs 4,527 crore. GMR Energy Limited is setting up two cosl based pithead plants with a combined capacity of 1,000 MW in Dhenkanal at an investment of Rs 4,200 crore.

Yashraj Containeurs has secured an order worth over Rs 45 crore from Hindustan Petroleum Corporation for supplying metal barrels.

Bicon Limited has launched India’s first indigenously developed monoclonal antibody, BIOMab EGFR (epidermal growth factor receptor).

Patni Computer Systems has acquired ZaiQ Technologies, a small ASIC design company, in Woburn MA, by an asset purchase transaction for $ 4,25,000.

India’s largest paper maker Ballarpur Industries has acquired 75 per cent share in Malaysia’s largest pulp and paper mill company Sabah Forest Inudstries for $ 230 million.

Glenmark pharmaceuticals Inc, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Genmark Pharmaceuticals Limited, has entered into a royalty deal with Paul Capital Partners Royalty Fund, a leading international healthcare investment fund. Paul Royalty will invest up to $ 27 million to finance the development of 16 dermatological products by Glenmark for the US market.

Punj Lloyd along with its joint venture partner, Whessoe UK, has secured the contract for completing the Dabhol LNG terminal by Ratnagiri Gas and Power Private Limited. The value of the contract is $ 93.02 million.

Larsen & Toubro (L&T) has entered into a joint venture with Malaysia’s Sapura Crest Petroleum Berhad to build, own and operate a derrick-cum-pipe laying barge valued at Rs 450 crore. L&T will hold 60 per cent shares in the joint venture with Sapura Crest holding the rest. With this joint venture, L&T would become the first Indian company to own an installation barge for sub-sea pipe laying and oil platform installations.

Kirloskar Oil Engines has decided to hive off its casting division to Kirloskar Ferrous Industries for Rs 21 crore. The casting division is located at Shivashahi, Solapur.

Ashok Leyland, part of the Hinduja group, has shown a 21 per cent rise in its total vehicle sales during May 2006 at 5,631 units. While its domestic sales have grown by 23 per cent to touch 5,322 units exports sales had dropped to 309 units from 323 units in the same period previous year.

Sun Pharmaceuticals has posted a 37 per cent increase in net sales for the quarter ended March 2006 at Rs 418 crore and net profit has risen by 25 per cent to Rs 115 crore over a year ago.

 

LABOUR

The Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) bill is expected to become an act by August 2006. The proposed new pension system aims at shifting from the current defined benefit (DB) system to defined contribution (DC) system, wherein the employees would pay a part of their income towards the contribution to their own pension account. The bill is aimed at having a pension regulator for managing the new pension system. According to the chairman of PFRDA, the contribution of pension funds would not be permitted to be invested in individual equities, but would be only restricted to index-based funds in the securities market as they are less volatile. Moreover, unlike the rigidity in existing funds, there would be flexibility to subscribers to choose between fund managers and also among the various products among the same fund. For this purpose, each subscriber would be provided with a unique account number to deposit money anywhere at the designated collection centres including post offices.   

 

EXTERNAL SECTOR

The government intends to tighten the data collection procedure to ensure accuracy for import and export of duel-use technology or special chemicals, organisms, materials, equipment and technologies (SCOMET) items. In the regard the commerce ministry has asked the revenue department to ensure that export and import of these items be permitted only after manual or systematic verification of each product’s code with its classification.

 

The commerce ministry’s proposal to include African countries under the focus market scheme has been cleared by the committee of secretaries. Though the scheme was announced in the annual supplement to the Foreign Trade Policy in April, its notification was held up due to ministry’s demand for including African countries. The scheme is now expected to be notified soon.

 

The empowered group of ministers on special economic zone has resorted to a uniform minimum area requirement of 10 hectares for information technology, gems and jewellery and non-conventional energy zones, as already laid out in the rules of 2006.

   

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

Wipro Technologies, close on the heels of acquiring Portuguese retail solutions provider Enabler for €41 million, has announced one more acquisition in Europe. The company has signed an agreement to acquire Finland-based Saraware, a privately held design and engineering services provider to telecom companies, in an all-cash deal. The consideration of €25 million includes upfront cash payment and debt takeover.

 

TELECOM

Motorola, the world’s second largest handset maker, has signed a memorandum of understanding with the Tamil Nadu government for setting up its facility on a 300-acre Sriperumbudur Hi-Tech Special Economic Zone. The company plans to make an initial investment of $30 million, which it expects to upscale to $100 million in the next one year.

 

 

  

Macroeconomic Indicators

Table 1 : Index Numbers of Industrial Production (1993-94 =100)

Table 2 : Production in Infrastructure Industries (Physical Output Series)

Table 3: Procurment, Offtake and Stock of foodgrains

Table 4: Index Numbers of  Wholesale Prices (1993-94 = 100)

Table 5 : Cost of Living Indices

Table 6 : Budgetary Position of Government of India

Table 7 : Government Borrowing Programmes and Performance

Table 8 : Scheduled Commercial Banks - Business in India  

Table 9 : Money Stock : components and Sources

Table 10 : Reserve Money : Components and Sources

Table 11 : Average Daily Turnover in Call Money Market

Table 12 : Assistance Sanctioned and Disbursed by All-India Financial Institutions

Table 13 : Capital Market

Table 14 : Foreign Trade

Table 15 : India's Overall Balance of Payments

Table 16 : Foreign Investment Inflows  
Table 17 : Foreign Collaboration Approvals (Route-Wise)
Table 18 : Year-Wise (Route-Wise) Actual Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI/NRI)

Table 19 : NRI Deposits - Outstandings

Table 20 : Foreign Exchange Reserves

Table 21 : Indices REER and NEER of the Indian Rupee

Table 22 : Turnover in Foreign Exchange Market  
Table 23 : India's Template on International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity [As reported under the IMFs special data dissemination standards (SDDS)
Table 24 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Government Securities Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 25 : Inter-Catasegory Distribution of All Types of Trade in Government Securities Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 
Table 26 : Category-wise Market Share in Settlement Volume of Government Securities Transactions (in Per Cent)
Table 27 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Total Forex Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis. 
Table 28 : Inter-Category Distribution of Total Foreign Exchange Transactions Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 

 

Memorandum Items

CSO's Quarterly Estimates of GDP For 1996-97 To 2004-05  

GDP at Factor Cost by Economic Activity  

India's Overall Balance of Payments  

*These statistics and the accompanying review are a product arising from the work undertaken under the joint ICICI research centre.org-EPWRF Data Base Project.

LIST OF WEEKLY THEMES


 

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