Current Economic Statistics and Review For the
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Theme
of the week: Mergers and Acquisitions in India: A Review of Recent Trends* I Introduction In The
term merger is a legal process in which one or more of the companies loose
their identity. It is a unification of two companies into a single entity
that usually occurs in a friendly manner. On the other hand, acquisitions
can take place by hostile takeovers by purchasing stock of the target
entity or through acquisition of all or substantial number of its assets.
Broadly, there are two ways to grow a business: organic and inorganic. In
the organic path, a company achieves growth through expanding
infrastructure activities and customer base and thus revenues and profits,
whereas an inorganic process provides instantaneous growth, so M&As
can be considered as an inorganic strategy of growth. In the global environment this strategy has become vital for achieving
economies of scale, improving efficiency, reaching out to new markets and
building new capabilities. Reasons to acquire a company are many they
range from industry consolidation to market penetration and spread of
customer bse with forward or backward integration but at the same time
synergy with existing business. It also enables a company to expand its
product portfolio, which ultimately results in better financial
performance and increased market share and so on. A
broad classification of mergers is as follows:
Horizontal
mergers take
place where companies producing similar range of products merge together.
This strategy is used by companies that seek to sell their products in
several markets so as to widen the market coverage, several small
companies are created; each company markets the product in different
market segments. Vertical
mergers
takes place between ccompanies
producing different layers of goods or services for one specific final
product. By directly merging with suppliers, a company can decrease
reliance and increase profitability. An example of a vertical merger is a
car manufacturer purchasing a tyre company. Conglomerate merger occurs between firms that are involved in totally unrelated business activities or in different industries.
II Regulatory Framework for M&As In In India, the institutional arrangements which have a bearing on the evolution of regulatory framework for M&As are: (i) various provisions of MRTP Act, 1969; (ii) Clause 40 of the Listing Agreement; (iii) amendments to Clause 40 in 1990; iv) creation of SEBI in 1992 and adoption of takeover code in 1994; v) Bhagwati Committee on Takeovers and adoption of a new code in 1997; vi) amendments to the code in 1998; and vii) Amendments to the code in 2006. At present, the Takeover Code of the SEBI is the major regulatory mechanism relating to acquisition of companies. The SEBI Act enacted in 1992 empowered SEBI to regulate substantial acquisition of shares and takeovers. In November 1994, SEBI issued guidelines for substantial acquisition of shares and takeovers, which are widely referred to as Takeover Code 1994. Thus, for the first time, substantial acquisition of shares and takeovers became a regulated activity. These regulations introduced several new provisions allowing hostile take-overs, competitive bids, revision of open offer, withdrawal of open offer under certain circumstances, and restraining a second offer on the same company within six months by the same acquirer. As there were many loopholes in the Takeover Code 1994, a committee, chaired by Justice P.N. Bhagwati, was appointed in November 1995 to review the same. The SEBI accepted Bhagwati Committee recommendations, albeit with some minor modifications and they formed the basis of a revised takeover code adopted by SEBI in 1997, known as “SEBI (Substantial Acquisition of Shares and Takeovers) Regulations, 1997”. The new code provided for the acquirer to make a public offer for a minimum of 20 per cent of the capital as soon as 10 per cent ownership and management control have been acquired. Again the Bhagwati Committee was reconstituted in 1998 to examine the provisions of “SEBI (Substantial Acquisition of Shares and Takeovers) Regulations, 1997” relating to consolidation of holdings, threshold limit and acquisitions during the offer period. The Takeover Code 1997 was amended in October 1998 on the basis of the recommendations of the re-constituted Bhagwati Committee. Recently, in May 2006, SEBI has revised the takeover code and broadened the definition of promoter. As per the revised code, any company in which a group of individuals or companies hold 20 per cent or more of the equity capital in that company and also hold 20 per cent or more of the equity capital of the target company, would qualify as part of the promoter group.
III A
Review of RBI’s Data Base In
During the year 2000-01, domestic mergers occurred in several sectors like transport and communication, food products, finance, computer software, chemicals and plastics and drug and pharmaceuticals. On the other hand, cross-borders M&As were reported mainly in the information technology (IT) sector. The process of restructuring continued during 2002-03 via M&As and the most important deals in 2002-03 were either due to privatisation of major public sector undertakings or deals struck by major domestic companies and multinational corporations (MNCs). In 2003-04, M&As were higher in food and beverages, textiles, chemicals electronics and automobile sectors including automobile ancillaries. In terms of value, however, acquisitions were led by the mining industry, followed by chemicals, electronics, financial services, electricity and food and beverages. In 2004-05, deals were concentrated mainly in sectors like chemicals, non-metallic mineral products, computer software and mining. The telecom sector entered a consolidation phase with smaller players selling out to the larger ones. The high growth and steady revenue streams in the ITES have also led to an increase in M&A activities. During 2005-06, the process gathered further momentum, reflecting efforts at consolidation to face enhanced competition. The value involved in acquisition deals increased by over 70 per cent during the year. Significant activities were also observed in the overseas acquisitions of foreign companies by the Indian corporates. The maximum mergers were witnessed in the financial services, chemical industry, textiles food and beverages, machinery and trading activities. As regards acquisitions, maximum activity was observed in respect of electronics, financial services, IT, machinery and textiles. In the chemicals sector, drugs and pharmaceuticals segment recorded the highest M&A activities due to the tremendous export potential of the industry and also for clinical research and development, lower cost production faculties as well as the vastness of the market. M&A activities are expected to remain strong in the coming years, as the Indian corporate sector is likely to intensify efforts towards consolidation to reap efficiency gains and economies of scale. Financial services, IT, pharmaceutical and manufacturing sectors such as auto components are amongst the sectors likely to see continued high levels of M&A activities in view of growing international interest in India as an outsourcing base. Recently,
a new trend of buying out companies bigger in size compared to the
acquirer has been witnessed in so far as of Indian corporates are
concerned. For instance, consider Tata Coffee’s acquisition of Eight O
Clock Company (EOC). In 2005, EOC’s net sales at Rs 504.8 crore had been
higher than Tata Coffee’s sales turnover of Rs 190 crore for fiscal year
2006. By this acquisition, Tata Coffee gets access to hundred-year-old
American brand and one of the major coffee retailing firms of the
IV Sector-wise M&As Pharmaceutical The
pharmaceutical industry is an affluent segment of the Indian manufacturing
sector. It leads the M&A wave after information technology and Indian pharmaceutical companies are increasingly focusing on
global acquisitions to enter new markets. This trend is fuelled by the
need to explore newer markets and products for future growth in this
industry. Further, acquisitions also act as mechanisms to alleviate
regulatory constraints in penetrating overseas markets. Therefore, Indian
pharmaceutical companies are adopting the strategy of acquiring existing
generic drug marketing companies that hold valid drug licences. The
pharmaceutical companies have been aggressively making acquisitions
overseas, especially in the M&A
activity has picked up pace in the Indian contract research segment as
lower costs and better infrastructure make established Indian companies an
attractive target for multinational firms. The global pharma companies are
now increasingly outsourcing clinical research to
Table
2 exhibits Indian pharmaceutical company’s overseas acquisitions during
2005-06. Pharma companies have been aggressively making overseas
acquisitions from past two years. DRL, Ranbaxy, Matrix Laboratories and
Torrent Pharma have made large acquisitions by taking over generic drug
manufacturers in the EU market. Domestic pharma companies view Europe as
counterweight to Automobile The
automobile industry, especially auto ancillary/component companies, has
been at the forefront of the acquisition spree. The reasons for acquiring
business abroad are many; it gives the Indian companies easier access to
foreign original equipment maker (OEM); it helps the company to broaden
its customer’s base, capturing more market share, enhance its product
portfolio, etc. Buying a foreign company is not only a means of acquiring
physical assets abroad, but also expanding the client base and orders.
Acquisitions and alliances has become an important part of the
growth strategy of companies as they seek to acquire global scale. Several
international auto firms have realised the advantages of sourcing their
components from
Several
auto ancillary companies like Bharat Forge, Sundaram Fasterners and Amtek
Auto have acquired companies while companies like Sona Koyo Steering and
UCAL Fuel Systems have picked up shares in foreign companies. Table 3
showing several overseas acquisitions made by Indian auto ancillary
companies with Bharat Forge emerging as the leader in it. Bharat
Forge Bharat Forge, the world’s second largest forging company, continued with its global acquisition forays and has made several strategic acquisitions during 2005-06; Federal Forge in USA, Imatra Kilsta in Sweden together with Scottish Stampings in Scotland, UK, all of which have been now wholly-owned subsidiaries of it. The company’s global acquisition strategy consisted of two key elements; to broaden the company’s customer base by bringing in a wider portfolio of product offering to a larger group of customers and to have global facilities that assist the company in working with OEMs as an engineering and development partner. The strategy, therefore, focused on acquiring such companies that had product complementarities and manufacturing facilities, which were synergistic and could be leveraged for cost effective and flexible production system. The company has witnessed a healthy growth in sales turnover and also in profitability during 2005-06. Its net sales on a consolidated basis have grown by 52 per cent at Rs 3,072.6 crore over 2004-05 and net profit has risen by 24.6 per cent to Rs 250.5 crore. Apollo
Tyres
Apollo
Tyres has acquired Dunlop Tyres International Limited, Tata
Motors
In
2004, Tata Motors acquired FMCG Indian
FMCG majors are spreading their wings to foreign locals through the
acquisition route. Various
Indian FMCG companies are going for overseas acquisitions, because such
acquisitions allow domestic companies to gain an easy foothold in overseas
markets. Further, the cost of brand building is lower as the consumer is
already familiar with the brand. Companies like Godrej
Consumer products, Tata Tea and Marico Limited have acquired major brands
in the The
FMCG industry has witnessed some biggest M&A deals in the recent time.
During the first quarter of the current fiscal year, Godrej Beverages and
Foods, an associate of Godrej Industries, has forayed into the organised
confectionery market in Dabur-Balsara
Acquisition
In January 2005, Dabur India Limited (DIL) has entered into a definitive agreement with Balsara Group, known for popular brands like Babool, Promise and Odomos, to acquire controlling shares in three of its companies; 99.4 per cent in Balsara Hygiene Products; 100 per cent in Balsara Home Products; and 97.9 per cent of the shareholding in Besta Cosmetics Limited - at the cost of Rs 143 crore in all cash deal. Through this acquisition Dabur has forayed into a relatively new field of home and personal care product. Balsara had accumulated losses during 2004-05. The acquisition of Balsara has helped Dabur to widen its product portfolio and also strengthen its oral care and home product segments. The major challenge in front of Dabur, when it acquired Balsara, was to convert Balsara’s losses into profits and Dabur has successfully achieved this goal during 2005-06, when the loss-making entity generated profits of Rs 14.9 crore. The home care category came to Dabur’s fold after Balsara’s acquisition. Its famous brands include Odonil in air fresheners, Odomos in mosquito repellents, Sani Fresh in surface cleaning and Odopic in the dish washing powders category. Cement The cement industry is witnessing a number of M&As. The extent of
concentration in the industry has increased over the years. This
concentration has been mainly because of the focus of the larger and the
more efficient units to consolidate their operations by restructuring
their business and taking over relatively weaker units. The relatively
smaller and weaker units are finding it difficult to withstand the
cyclical pressure of the cement industry. Some of the key benefits of
M&A in this sector have been, economies
of scale resulting from the larger size of operations, savings in time and cost required to
set up a new unit, access to new markets, access to special features of
the acquired company, etc. The relative market share of large players in
the cement industry has changed significantly over the years.
Consolidation of capacities has seen UltraTech, Multinational cement companies, especially European companies, have also
initiated the acquisition process in the Indian cement market. Due to
impetuous growth infrastructure activities, there has been tremendous rise
in cement production eventually resulted in higher revenues for the cement
companies. Swiss cement major Holcim has picked up 14.8 per cent of the
promoters stake in Gujarat Ambuja Cements (GACL). Holcim also acquired a majority in
Ambuja Cement Eastern and a substantial stake in ACC. Ambuja Cement Tata Group Tata
Group is one of
Tata
Group’s several acquisitions have been very large; for instance,
recently Tata Coffee has spent Rs 1,015 crore for acquiring Eight O Clock
Company. The acquisition brings significant strategic and operational
gains for Tata Coffee as it gets an entry into the world’s largest
coffee market, the The two key acquisitions by Tata Steel, namely, the Singapore-based NatSteel and Thailand-based Millennium Steel, in 2004 has given the company an access to new markets – Thailand, China, Singapore, Australia, Malaysia and The Philippines – and also increased its production capacity by 3.7 million tonnes to its existing capacity of over 5 million tonnes. Tata Steel has ambitious plans to touch the 15 million tonne- mark in terms of capacity by 2010. The company has reported consolidated sales turnover of Rs 20,244 crore for 2005-06, in which contribution of standalone operations of Tata Steel had been Rs 15,139.4 crore, while subsidiary’s contribution has stood at Rs 5,105 crore. The contribution of subsidiaries to net profit was minuscule: Rs 195.6 crore versus the standalone profit of Rs 3,506 crore. Exceptional
Case: Failure of
Jet Airways-Air As
an aside it may be mentioned When Jet signed the deal in January 2006, the country had no mergers and acquisitions policy specifying the terms of transfer for airport infrastructure. Jet has a fleet of 53 planes and after acquiring Air Sahara with its fleet of 27 planes, the combined capacity would have reached 80, the highest in India (Indian Airlines has 70 aircrafts). In
May 2006, the Civil Aviation Ministry announced its policy on the use of
airport infrastructure in case of mergers and takeovers. According to Jet,
the policy though clear on parking bays and landing slots, does not
specify the status of aircraft hangars, check-in counters, cargo
warehouses, passenger lounges and other such airport facilities. This
along with a loss of employees and a decline in market share could be one
of the reasons cited by Jet for calling off the deal. Further, Jet airways
tried to lower the price of the acquisition arguing that the deal had
drastically overvalued The Jet-Sahara conflict has now moved to court. Jet Airways has filed a case in the Bombay High Court against Sahara Group for the recovery of Rs 500 crore paid to Air Sahara in January 2006 when the deal was struck. The legal battle between Jet and Air Sahara continues in court and precious management time will be wasted in the courts while the image of both airlines might get affected. After
the fallout of the deal with V
A
Caveat Despite a substantial rise in the number of M&As during the past few years, the road to global M&As is not hurdle-free. It entails huge challenges ahead in the form of managing people, merging with different cultures, integrating technologies, people and infrastructure, understanding and dealing with legal complexities in foreign countries and so on. A KPMG study states that M&A deals, to some extent, are likely to be less successful if cultural issues are not attended to properly, particularly in the case of global M&As. This strategy would be successful only when people who come with the new assets are assimilated into the post-acquisition space and time. Indian companies, who wish to assess international markets, have to face the challenges of setting up new organisational structures, understanding alien cultures, assessing global talent and technology, taping the global financial market and upgrading key business process. Given the fact that acquisitions have been a new experience for medium-sized companies in India, quite a few of these acquisitions have been bogged down by post-acquisition integration and restructuring issues. Also an implication of this M&As phenomenon is that it ill not let any smaller company to survive. It can give rise to unemployment issues because the large companies are generally technology intensive whereas smaller firms are labour intensive. Finally, there is no measure if M&As will contribute to a rise in overall employment, particularly in the context of the need to absorb the less educated, unskilled labour force in the economy. For the present, M&As would obviously further intensify the already growing technology intensity of the large firms in the manufacturing sector. This would further thro up serious challenges for the economic planners to generate accelerated employment opportunities in formal sectors of the domestic economy. _____________ *This
note has been prepared by Vidya Kanitkar ; she has based it on diverse
sources of information.
Reference: Bhoi, B. K. (2000): ‘Mergers and Acquisitions An Indian Experience’, RBI Occasional Paper, Volume 21, No 1, Summer RBI
(2006): Reserve Bank of Various media sources Highlights of Current Economic Scene AGRICULTURE
The
State Trading Corporation (STC) has rejected a 50,000-tonnes Russian wheat
consignment, a part of the 3-lakh tonnes contracted by STC from the
Geneva-based Agrico SA in July at $210-212 per tonne, owing to it
containing higher percentage of "extraneous matter". The
samples, first tested by the Chennai port health officials, were referred
to the Central Food Technology Research Institute, The
government agencies have begun purchasing paddy in 3 states namely, The central government has decided to extend the 2-percentage point subsidy on farm loans of up to Rs 3 lakh to all scheduled commercial banks. The scheme announced in the Union Budget for 2006-07, initially, had included only public sector banks. However, with this extension, the private and foreign banks would also get the subvention, which earlier had to bear losses due to not being able to charge more than 7 per cent rate on farm loans like public sector banks. The
centre has asked all states to ensure that prime agriculture land would
not be used for setting up special economic zones (SEZ), instead they
should be set up only on wasteland or less fertile farm land. Meanwhile,
government of The stock of foodgrains as on September 1, 2006 has declined by 18.9 per cent to 14.5 million tonnes. While the stock of wheat in the central inventories has stood at 6.7 million tonnes, rice stock has reached at 7.8 million tonnes. The central government has released a free sale quota (FSQ) of 16 lakh tonnes for sugar mills to offload during the coming festival season on account of possibility of a spurt in demand. The FSQ sugar of 16 lakh tonnes for October 2006 has been 14.3 per cent higher than the release of 14 lakh tonnes made in the same month of last year and any unsold quantity at the end of the month would be automatically be converted into levy sugar for the public distribution system. The
central government has approved allocation of Rs 1,003.13 crore as
interest waiver for debt-stricken farmers of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and
Kerala, which forms a part of Rs 16,978.69-crore rehabilitation package
for farmers in 31 identified suicide-prone districts of Andhra Pradesh,
Karnataka, Kerala and As per the estimates of Spices Board of India, volume of spices exported from the country during April-August 2006 has fallen by 3 per cent to 1,40,231 tonnes compared with 1,43,880 tonnes during the corresponding period last year on account of a decline in exports of certain items such as chilli, coriander, Fenugreek, cardamom, nutmeg and mace. On the contrary, value of spices exports has risen by 16 per cent to Rs 1,155.5 crore in the same period from Rs 994.1 crore earned a year ago. The
country's first export-oriented ornamental fish park, known as IndustryAutomobiles The
increasing trend of overseas acquisitions by Indian auto components
companies may slow down this year with European and American firms quoting
higher valuations. Major auto component companies including Amtek and Omax
have said that their acquisition plans have been postponed in view of the
higher valuations cited by western firms. Earlier it was only the larger
Indian companies which were on an acquisition spree in As
per a report by PricewaterhouseCoopers, the BRIC countries, India, Brazil,
Russia and China, will account for more than 40 per cent of forecast
global light vehicle assembly increases and will represent 52 per cent of
the industry's forecast global capacity expansion. These factors are
reflected in the fact that nearly all major global automakers are pursuing
a BRIC strategy in some form as they attempt to gain competitive advantage
by tapping the potential of these emerging markets. Moreover, the report
says that the Indian automotive manufacturing sector is poised to
grow, with the burgeoning domestic market and InfrastructureWhile infrastructure financing does not depend entirely on the growth of the bond market, it provides an excellent opportunity to drive its development, according to SEBI chief, Mr M. Damodaran, adding that while there is a roadmap in place, its exection is missing and that the policy issues on corporate debt financing should be ironed out soon. According to him, cesses could be on the high side if the bond market route is not used for infrastructure financing and in the process it should be ensured that there is no artificial segmentation of the market, he added. The SEBI chief also said that there was a need to devise new instruments and products without government guarantees. He comments that there is a growing demand for long-term money and a thriving corporate debt market with a longer tenure would help to allow them entry. Power GMR
Energy, the holding company for the GMR Group's energy business, has
signed the power purchase agreement (PPA) with GRIDCO, government of
Orissa, for selling power from the 1000 MW coal-based thermal power plant
at Dhenkanal District, Orissa. The company has already identified the land
and is in the advanced stage of development of the project. GMR intends to
wheel 75 per cent of the saleable power to power deficit states in
southern The Orissa government has signed memorandums of understanding with different companies for setting up 10 thermal power plants in the state. The 10 coal-fired thermal power plants will be set up with an investment of Rs 45,000 crore to produce 10,920 MW power. The companies that signed the MoUs at a special function organised at the State Secretariat included Tata Power Company Ltd, Visa Power Ltd, Monnet Ispat and Energy Ltd, Lanco Group Ltd, KVK Nilachal Power Ltd, Calcutta Electricity Supply Corporation, Essar Power Ltd, Jindal Photo Ltd, Bhusan Energy Ltd and Sterlite Energy Pvt Ltd. According to the MoUs, Tata Power and Visa Power will set up a 1,000 mw coal-fired plant each in Cuttack district at a cost of Rs. 4,348 crore,and 3,698 crore respectively. Monnet Ispat and Energy Ltd will set up a 600 mw plant in Angul district with an investment of Rs 2,852 crore, the Lanco Group will set up a 1,320 mw plant in Dhenkanal district with an investment of Rs 4,200 crore. These plants are expected to create direct employment for 10,000 persons and indirect employment for another 20,000; the state government will earn revenue of Rs 1,790 crore annually from these plants. The government is planning to do away with the existing multi-level inspection raj applicable to safety norms for power projects. The power ministry may consider the option of deploying private agencies to carry out the inspection of power plants with a rider that there would not be any compromise on safety principle. The ministry has directed the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) to specify regulations pertaining to safety and electricity supply soon in order to avoid delays and inconvenience in the development of projects and has held discussions with state governments to find out ways to ensure compliance with safety measures to be specified by the CEA. The objective is that safety-related measures are complied with and there is a single-point responsibility so that the person responsible for non-compliance can be penalised/prosecuted. Some states have suggested that competent private parties should be accredited for discharging the functions of electrical inspectors in order to downsize the government and to curb delays and corruption. The move is significant in the present context, with state governments putting in place different mechanisms for safety-related inspections. Some states have argued that in the view of the increasing number of electrical installations, requisite technical standards should be clearly specified and the electrical inspector should carry out only random inspections Steel Steel manufacturers are contemplating an increase in steel prices across the board effective from October 2006. Tentatively, the average increase for flat products could be in the range of Rs 800-1,000 per tonne while for long products it could be around Rs 500 per tonne. The ministry of steel has commented that, if a situation arises based on rising demand, it might resort to moderate price hike of steel prices in the long run, though it has no intention to raise the steel prices in immediate The price increase plan is based on strong demand expected during the third quarter when demand usually spurts both from government projects and private sector. During the third quarter, demand is expected to outgrow supplies and prices may be increased more than once during the October-December period; while production of finished steel has increased by 7 per cent during April-August 2006, consumption also has increased by 7 per cent. Roads The finance ministry is opposed to the demand of the National Highway Authority of India (NHAI) for autonomy in appraising road projects via public private partnership (PPP) route. The ministry has questioned the NHAI’s contention that slowing down of national highway construction is partly due to project proposals getting stuck with the PPP advisory committee (PPP-AC) with the ministry. Shifting the onus of project appraisal and final clearance to NHAI is part of the proposed recast of authority. The ministry has refuted NHAI’s allegation that the PPP-AC mechanism had led to delays by stating that the authority had sought for the approval of just one PPP project under the new model concession agreement. In the first quarter of 2006-07, roads have been the only segment in infrastructure to have recorded a negative growth and that too by a striking 37 per cent with NHAI being the largest defaulter falling short of its construction target by 55.8 per cent. Considering that NHAI has not awarded any highway projects so far this year, it seems likely that it will fall short of its targets for this fiscal as well. While NHAI officials have cited problems in land acquisitions and forest and environmental clearance as bottlenecks, the finance ministry is clearly of another view and holds the authority responsible for delay in works. Private contractors too have alleged that NHAI’s lackadaisical approach has resulted in delay in completion of work. According to official sources, the ministry would rather ensure that the general principles that underlie the PPP-mode projects for all infrastructure projects including roads are adhered to by keeping them under the ambit of its PPP appraisal committee. Ports InflationThe annual point-to-point inflation rate based on wholesale price index (WPI) has gone down to 4.56 per cent for the week ended September 16, 2006 from 4.61 per cent during the previous week. The inflation rate was lower at 4.17 per cent in the corresponding week last year. The WPI in the week under review has gone down marginally by 0.1 per cent to 206.3 from the previous weeks’ level of 206.6 (Base: 1993-94=100). The index of ‘primary articles’ group (weight 22.02 per cent) has declined by 0.4 per cent to 211.1 from its previous week’s level of 212, mainly due to a decline in the price index of ‘food articles and non-food articles by 0.6 per cent and 0.1 per cent, respectively. The index of ‘food articles’ has gone down to 214.2 from 215.5, mainly due to the lower prices of mutton, bajra, fruits and vegetables, urad, jowar, maize and condiments and spices. The index of ‘fuel, power, light and lubricants’ group (weight 14.23 per cent) has declined by 0.5 per cent to 324.9 from the previous weeks’ level of 326.6, mainly due to the lower pieces of naphtha and furnace oil. The index of ‘manufactured products’ group constituting the maximum of 63.7 per cent of total weight, has gone up a tad by 0.1 per cent to 178.1 from it’s previous week’s level of 178.0, mainly due to the higher prices of ‘non-metallic mineral products’, base metals and ‘transport equipment and parts’. The latest final index of WPI for the week ended July 22, 2006 has been revised upwards; as a result both, the absolute index and the implied inflation rate stood at 204.2 and 4.72 per cent as against their provisional levels of 204.1 and 4.67 per cent, respectively. Public
Finance
The
empowered committee has decided to postpone the phasing out of Central
Sales Tax until April 1, 2007 and since the plan has been delayed by six
months, it has also decided that the rate would now be reduced from 4 per
cent to 2 per cent directly so that the reduction plan remains unchanged.
Earlier the committee had intended to reduce the CST rate from 4 per cent
to 3 per cent from October 1, 2006 and further to 2 per cent from April 1,
2007. The CST phase-out would, however, be contingent on the states and
the finance ministry has agreed on the compensation package for losses on
account of the reduction in CST rates. The states estimated that the
revenue from CST during 2006-07 would be around Rs 20,000 crore. States
and the finance ministry have so far been unable to reach an agreement on
the nature and quantum of compensation for phasing out of the CST.
BankingDevelopment
Credit Bank promoter, Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development (AKFED) has
sold nearly 1 per cent stake in the bank to HDFC and two other investors
for Rs 10 per share, ahead of its IPO. The bank has kept a price band of
Rs 22 – 26 for its maiden float. The
RBI wants banks to get directly engaged in mico-finance lending activities
to bring down the cost of funds for the small borrowers. By lending
through existing branch outlets, banks will be able to make fuller
utilization of their existing capacity and their overhead costs would get
used up without increasing costs. Transaction costs for smaller loans are
higher as overhead costs are higher and as a result the interest rates
charged are very high. Infrastructure
Development Finance Company (IDFC) has acquired 33 per cent stake in SSKI
Ltd., a leading corporate finance and institutional securities company,
for Rs 100 crore. Through this investment, IDFC and SSKI propose to work
together by pooling their relationships and expertise to provide
investment banking and capital market solutions to clients. Financial MarketsCapital
Markets Primary
Market Listing day blues continued with two of the three initial public offers (IPOs) that were listed during the week closing over 20 per cent below their offer prices. Deep Industries closed at Rs 27.90, down 23 per cent from its issue price of Rs 36, and KEW Industries closed at Rs 23.60, down 21 per cent from its offer price of Rs 30. JHS SVENDGAARAD Laboratories Ltd. IPO share price Rs. 49 to 58 per equity share open issue September 27, 2006 to October 04, 2006. Development Credit Bank is to tap the market between September 29 and October 6 in a price band of Rs 22-26 per share. Secondary
Market Short
covering in derivatives ahead of the expiry of September 2006
derivative-contracts, expectation of strong second quarter results,
cheaper oil, and sustained FII-buying took the market higher. During
the BSE Sensex has risen 217.64 points to end at 12,454.42 and the index
is now just about 200 points away from a lifetime high, 12,671, struck in
intra-day trade on 11 May 2006. The S&P CNX Nifty has risen 44.35
points to settle at 3,588.40 in the week ended 29 September. Bank
shares have been in the limelight as they are expected to come out with
strong results given the easing of yield rates and hence as they will not
be required to make provision for a depreciation in their bond portfolios
as against in that in the past few quarters, when bond prices were
continuously falling. Market
regulator SEBI has extended the deadline to provide a Permanent Account
Number (PAN) by demat account holders, to 31 December 2006 instead of 30
September 2006. Sebi
also has reduced the turnover fees for brokerages with effect from 1
October 2006. Under the new fee structure, brokerages are required to pay
Rs 20 per crore worth transactions (0.0002 per cent) in the securities
market, down from the earlier Rs 1,000 per Rs 1 crore worth of
transactions. In the futures & options segment, the fee has been
marginally increased to Rs 20 per crore (0.0002 per cent) from the
existing Rs 10 per crore. The
market sentiments have remained buoyant following the robust GDP growth
rates. As per the latest economic data, GDP grew 8.9 per cent in the
April-June 2006 quarter from a year earlier, boosted by manufacturing and
services output. The RBI has equated International Finance Corporation’s (IFC) with foreign financial institutions, thus blocking the move of its acquisition of 7.77 per cent stake in the Kerala-based Federal Bank. Derivatives NIFTY futures have been trading at a very narrow discount to the spot index or even at a premium to the spot on a closing basis ever since the introduction of the four stocks - L&T , SAIL, Zee Telefilms and Reliance Communications on the futures and options (F&O ) segment. This has been because the inclusion of these stocks has resulted in all the Nifty's 50 shares getting traded in futures. The introduction of the four stocks has removed the anomaly and made the system more efficient. The combined weight age of these stocks amounts to almost 7-8 per cent on the Nifty. Before the inclusion of these, Nifty futures were trading at a continuous discount to the spot index over the last few years. Theoretically, the discounted value of the futures must correspond closely to the spot price. If there is a difference between the futures value and the spot price, there is a mispricing in the futures market. This mispricing is the potential source of arbitrage. The inclusion has made arbitrage easier, as an investor can easily create a basket of stocks and use index futures accordingly. In
the derivatives segment, the market-wide rollover of September contracts
to October was 77 per cent and rollover in Nifty futures was over 70 per
cent. Government
Securities Market
Primary
Market The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has announced government borrowing programme of Rs 63,000 crore through issuance of dated government securities for the second half of 2006-07. The borrowing plan of the government by way of marketable government bonds has been quite in line with the expectations of the debt market participants. As per the indicative calendar for issue of government securities, released by RBI in consultation with the government, the central bank plans to sell government securities worth Rs 9,000 crore in the month of November, while in the month of December, it plans to auction Rs 14,000 crore worth government bonds. The government plans to borrow Rs 9,000 crore and Rs 8,000 crore through issue of government securities in February and March 2007. The government has so far borrowed Rs 89,000 crore through government securities out of a total budgeted borrowing plan for the year of Rs 1,53,000 crore. In the address on ‘Changing Paradigms in Risk Management’, Smt. Shyamala Gopinath, Deputy Governor, RBI has highlighted the features of financial risk management, especially with respect to the Indian context. She has said that the RBI plans to bring all derivative transactions of banks on their balance sheets. “Currently the ‘when issued’ trading is limited to re-issuances only. The cut-off yield in 91-day T-Bill auction was steady at 6.52 per cent during the week. The cut-off yield in 364-day T-Bill auction moved lower to 6.90 per cent as against the previous cut-off yield of 6.93 per cent. Secondary
Market The
weighted average YTM of 7.59
per cent 2016 bond was 7.62 per cent on Sept 29, 2006 as compared to 7.66
per cent on Sept 22, 2006. The 1-10 year YTM spreads decreased by 6 bps to
73 bps. The market sentiments have been buoyant following the statements
by Finance Minister P
Chidambaram Sunday said the Reserve Bank of Bond
Market
Allahabad
Bank has tapped the market to moblise Rs 600 crore (Rs 300 crore as green
shoe option) by offering 8.85 per cent for 10 years. Foreign
Exchange Market
According
to the RBI’s ‘Sources of Accretion to Foreign Exchange Reserves’,
the major sources of accretion to foreign exchange reserves during the
first quarter 2006-07 have been External Commercial Borrowing (ECB),
banking capital and foreign investment. The accretion to the foreign
exchange reserves was of the order of US $ 6.4 billion on a BoP basis
(excluding valuation effects) during April-June 2006. Valuation gain,
reflecting the appreciation of major currencies against the US dollar,
accounted for a rise of US $ 4.9 billion in total reserves during the
first quarter 2006-07 as against a valuation loss of US $ 4.3 billion
during corresponding period previous year. Taking into account the
valuation gain of US $ 4.9 billion, foreign exchange reserves recorded an
increase of US $ 11.3 billion during April-June 2006-07 (a decrease of US
$ 3.1 billion during April-June 2005-06). The
six-month forward premia closed at 1.29 per cent (annualized) on 29
September, 2006 vis-à-vis 1.21 per cent on 22 September, 2006. Commodities
Futures derivatives
Energy
Futures including crude oil and natural gas on Multi Commodity Exhange (MCX)
continued their downward rally on Monday. The near month contract for
crude price fell by Rs 38 per barrel to Rs 2,764 where as natural gas
weakened by Rs 13 per mmBtu closing at Rs 362. November crude oil contract
closed at Rs 2,825 a barrel, up Rs 41 from its previous close. Similarly,
December contract slipped by Rs 56 a barrel at Rs 2,870 on Monday. On
natural gas front, the November and December contracts saw a slump of Rs
10 and Rs 9 per mmBtu respectively. Though analysts say that speculation
among traders is playing an important role in softening of prices, high
level inventories in the Energy
complex kept the bears riding over the bulls. Metals tumbled from the
recent highs with crude taking a grip over the bullish sentiment that was
building around metals.Crude fell to a six-month low of $59.5 a barrel at
the Nymex electronic trading and was trading below 1per cent from previous
close. The fall was pressured from the easing After allegations that wide-scale speculation on commodity futures exchanges had caused prices of essential commodities to rise, the commodity derivatives regulator announced a massive cut in position limits of almost all commodities traded on exchanges from September 1. Effective from September 1, FMC also doubled additional margins on wheat to 20 per cent and upped special margin on chana to 15 per cent and 10 per cent on long and short positions, respectively. As expected, these measures substantially reduced turnover in wheat and pulses, among others, on NCDEX. The total turnover on NCDEX fell to Rs 80,900 crore in September 1-20 from Rs 1,12,400 crore in April, and Rs 1,50,000 crore in May, data showed. MCX
has now emerged as the second largest Natural Gas Exchange globally, next
to NYMEX. The exchange launched its Natural Gas futures for trading on
July 10, 2006. Within two months of its launch, the traded lots have
reached 5,46,150, which is 25 per cent of NYMEX volume (23, 23,000). The
number of participants has also increased to 514 per day in August 2006
from 250 per day in July 2006. Daily average turnover of natural gas
futures at MCX platform has increased significantly to Rs 436.91 crores in
August 2006 from Rs 103.30 crores in July 2006. Corporate SectorThe Business Standard Research Bureau has recently carried out a capex (capital expenditure) survey of 1,425 firms. The aggregated gross fixed assets of the 1,425 firms have risen by 11.7 per cent at Rs 7.7 lakh crore from 2004-05. The capital spent on work in progress has grown by 32 per cent to Rs 1.2 lakh crore. During 2005-06, manufacturing and services sectors spending have increased by 29 per cent at Rs 1.1 lakh crore than the Rs 84,685 crore spent on expansion in 2004-05. Tata
Power Company has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the
Orissa government for a 100-mega watt (MW) coal based power project with
captive coal mines at a cost of Rs 4,300 crore at Naraj Marthapur in Mahindra & Mahindra has acquired 67.9 per cent shares in German forging company Jeco Holdings at a cost of Rs 830 crore. Sonata
Software a Ranbaxy Laboratories has entered into a licensing agreement with US based Gilead Sciences Incorporate for manufacturing and marketing of active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) and formulations containing anti HIV drug tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF). Telecom Bharat
Sanchar Nigam Ltd (BSNL) will exempt transit charges on the termination of
calls to its cellular customers from private fixed and mobile operators
that have signed with it interconnection agreements. However, for
operators that have not signed interconnect agreements, the existing
method of routing calls through its public switch telephone network (PSTN)
will continue, and BSNL will levy transit charges of 19 paise a minute.
*These statistics and the accompanying review are a product arising from the work undertaken under the joint ICICI research centre.org-EPWRF Data Base Project. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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