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Current Economic Statistics and Review For the Week 
Ended May 19, 2007 (20th Weekly Report of 2007)

 

Theme of the week:

All-India Debt and Investment Survey (AIDIS)
State and Region-wise Analysis
Part A -
Section 7 

 

 

Households Reporting Cash Loans from Different Credit Agencies and by Asset Holding Classes - As on 30-06-2002 

I

Introduction

            

All-India Debt and Investment Survey conducted by National Sample Survey Organisation duringin 2003 (January-December) along with some other surveys, viz., Situation Assesment Survey of Farmers (SAS), Land and Livestock Holdings Survey (LHS), etc., in their 59th round, is the sixth decennial nation-wide enquiry   providing data on household assets, indebtedness and capital expenditure.

This note is the seventh in a series of notes prepared from the result of the above 59th round survey. To recapitulate, the first four notes mainly dealt with characteristics of households, value of assets, aggregate amount of debt and debt-asset ratio for occupation categories and asset holding classes for all states and also region-wise.

The fifth and sixth note made an attempt to deal with household incidence of indebtedness and cash loans outstanding as on 30-6-2002 to different credit agencies for all states and by regions.

In the present note and the next one, it is intended to extend further the series to get an idea as to how different credit agencies cater to the credit needs of households with varying degrees of asset holdings, asset measured in rupee value in nominal terms.

Information’s about different credit agencies which extend loans to households in rural and urban India are given in Part A –Section-5 of these serial notes. Recalling,  briefly, credit agencies are of two types. They are official or institutional agencies and private or non-institutional agencies.

As per the 59th survey, there are eight types of institutional agencies. The institutional framework for the supply of credit comprises (i) government, (ii) co-op societies/bank, (iii) commercial banks including Regional Rural Banks, (iv) Insurance, (v) provident fund,(vi) Financial corporation/institution and (vii) financial company and other institutional agencies.

As against these, there are seven traditional private or non-institutional credit agencies viz., (i) landlord, (ii) agriculturist moneylenders, (iii) professional moneylenders, (iv) traders, (v) relatives and friends,(vi) doctors, lawyers and other professionals, and  (vii) others.

An analysis of households reporting cash loans outstanding as on June 30, 2002 according to different credit agencies providing them, would indicate the dependence of households on institutional vis-à-vis non-institutional sources, i.e., incidence of indebtedness to different credit agencies.

2

Incidence of Indebtedness (IOI in per cent) – All-India

According to the NSSO 59th Round Survey (January-December 2003), there are 203.4 million households in India , out of which 49.1million households are indebted to some credit agencies. This means every fourth household in India is indebted in one way or the other to some credit agency as on 30-06-2002. Indebtedness of households, in terms of the percentage of indebted households (IOI), was 24.1 per cent for all households for the whole of India .

 Out of the 49.1 million indebted households, 39.2 million households or 80 per cent of the total indebted households lives in rural area and the remaining 9.9 million or 20 per cent of the total reside in urban India (Statement 1). Incidence of Indebtedness (IOI) was higher at 26.5 per cent in rural areas as against 17.8 per cent in urban India .

Statement 1: Household Reporting Cash Loans as on 30-06-2002

 

 

Rural

Urban

Total

Number of Estimated

1479

555

2034

Households in million

(72.7)

(27.3)

(100.0)

Number of Indebted

392

99

491

Households in million

(79.8)

(20.2)

(100.0)

Incidence of Indebtedness

26.5

17.8

24.1

(IOI in per cent)

 

 

 

(Figures in brackets are percentages to total)

Source: Table 1 & 2

 

Statement 2 shows the percentage of indebted households by asset holding classes (AHC) for all credit agencies, institutional as well non-institutional. It is seen that IOI increased marginally over the various AHCs, when these classes are arranged in an ascending order of magnitude though there are some marginal drop in a couple of AHCs.  The Incidence of Indebtedness (IOI) for all credit agencies seems to range from 13.1 per cent in case of the poorest households to 27.8 per cent for the richer classes, i.e., household with asset equal to or above Rs. 8 lakhs.  Obviously, the incidence of financial exclusion, i.e., households which are omitted from the purview of any credit agency for whatever the reason, have ranged from 86.9 per cent in case of the poorest households and that for the rich households it is 75.9 per cent. Institutional agencies virtually neglected the poorer classes of households for whom institutional finances are more important than the richer classes. Financial exclusion by institutional agencies has worked out to be 97.4 per cent for the poorer classes (Statement 2). However, non-institutional agencies, viz, money lenders, etc., extended cash loans to more households and households incidence of indebtedness to non-institutional agencies at 10.9 per cent to the households with assets worth less than Rs.15,000  are better than 2.6 per cent for institutional agencies.

 

Statement 2 :Incidence of Indebtedness (IOI) of Households as on 30-06-2002

And Incidence of Financial Exclusion (IFEx) by Credit Agencies-All-India

Rural + Urban

 

 

 

(Per cent)

 

Asset

All-Credit Agencies

Institutional Agencies

Non-Institutional

Holding

 

 

 

 

Agencies

Class

IOI

IFEx

IOI

IFEx

IOI

IFEx

(Rs. 000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

< 15

13.1

86.9

2.6

97.4

10.90

89.10

15 - 30

18.1

81.9

5.4

94.6

13.70

86.30

30 - 60

23.3

76.7

7.9

92.1

16.50

83.50

60 - 100

24.9

75.1

10.2

89.8

16.60

83.40

100 - 150

26.9

73.1

12.5

87.5

16.70

83.30

150 - 200

26.8

73.2

13.4

86.6

16.00

84.00

200 - 300

26.5

73.5

14.9

85.1

14.30

85.70

300 - 450

25.9

74.1

16.8

83.2

11.80

88.20

450 - 800

28.1

71.9

20.2

79.8

11.00

89.00

= > 800

27.8

72.2

23.1

76.9

7.60

92.40

All hhs

24.1

75.9

12.3

87.7

13.80

86.20

Source: culled out from Table 1 to 4

 

 

Brief Review of IOI by AHC – Regionwise/State

                        Region-wise picture of incidence of indebtedness has been depicted in Statement 3 along with Table 1.. A perusal of these reveals that all credit agencies cater to 18 million households out of 53 million total households in the southern region. The incidence of indebtedness thus works out to be 33.6 per cent in the region. However, like the trend in all-India, the trend of extending credit to households of  different asset holding classes are the lowest in case of households with assets worth less than Rs. 15,000 (IOI – 19.2 per cent) as against an IOI of 38.6 per cent in case of the highest asset holding class, i.e., Rs. 8 lakh or above. In southern region, the poorest households of Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Kerala have IOI more than all-India ranging from 16 to 24 per cent, but Karnataka has  low IOI of  8.5 per cent in the lowest asset holding clss as compared to all-India level of 13.1 per cent.  (Table 1).

Similarly, in the eastern region, the poorest households i.e. the households with less than Rs. 15,000 worth assets had  a better IOI at 14.0 per cent than that of 13.1 per cent for all-India. In this region, the poorest households of Bihar has got better IOI of 23.2 per cent next to Andhra Pradesh’s IOI of 23.8 per cent.

Rajasthan coming under the northern region is another state whose IOI for the poorest classes at 16.2 per cent better than that of all-India.

Statement 3: Incidence of Indebtedness by Region wise in per cent

Asset

Northern

North-

Eastern

Central

Western

Southern

Holding

Region

Eastern

Region

Region

Region

Region

Class

 

Region

 

 

 

 

(Rs. 000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

< 15

5.6

5.8

14.0

10.4

6.4

19.2

15 - 30

14.5

9.0

18.0

15.2

9.8

25.4

30 - 60

21.1

8.6

22.8

21.5

14.7

31.3

60 - 100

25.8

8.4

21.4

24.2

21.4

33.3

100 - 150

30.5

7.2

22.7

20.5

25.1

39.7

150 – 200

24.2

4.1

21.4

24.1

27.6

39.9

200 - 300

24.7

4.9

20.7

22.6

28.8

39.6

300 - 450

22.0

8.6

19.7

19.5

30.5

40.7

450 - 800

21.7

11.0

21.4

22.0

35.3

42.2

= > 800

20.0

9.9

19.2

23.3

36.3

38.6

All hhs

21.7

7.4

20.4

21.2

23.4

33.6

Source: Culled out from Table 1

 

 

 

 

 

Tables 1 to 4 gives a detailed illustration of incidence of indebtedness, financial exclusion, by institutional and non-institutional agencies on an all-India basis

3

 Incidence of Indebtedness (IOI in per cent)  - Rural-India

Incidence of indebtedness (IOI) among different asset holding classes in rural areas of by different credit agencies, state/region-wise, has been presented in Tables 5 to 12.

 Out of the 147.9 million households in rural areas, 39.2 million or 26.5 per cent are indebted to some credit agency or the other as on 30-06-2002.

The poorest households (asset holding less than Rs. 15,000) numbering 11.3 million or 7.6 per cent of the total rural households as against 9.9 million or 6.7 per cent of the rich ( asset holding worth Rs. 8 lakh or more) households are so indebted to one agency or the other. While all the credit agencies together cater only 1.68 million households or 15.0 per cent of all the households in the lower strata , they extent credit to 3.24 million households or 32.9 per cent of all the households in the richer strata (Table 5).

The percentage of households indebted to institutional agencies increases with the increase in asset holding, thus asserting once more that the top asset holding class had a decidedly higher access to institutional loans than the poor. Institutional agencies’ performance in catering to the credit needs of the number of rich household at 26.7 per cent is 7.4 times to that of the poorest household at 3.6 per cent (Table 6).

 Two of the important institutional agencies are co-operative societies and commercial banks. Though the performance of co-operative societies is comparatively better than that of commercial banks in catering the credit needs of the rural households, their performance in serving the credit needs of poor households , who needs their help more is worse ( Tables 7 & 8). The IOI of households in the low strata to co-operative societies and commercial banks works out to be 0.9 per cent and 1.7 per cent respectively.   

Non-institutional agencies advanced as on 30-6-2002 cash loans to 22.9 million households or 15.5 per cent of total rural household as against 19.81 million or 13.4 per cent in respect of institutional agencies (Table 9). If one moves along the asset holding classes in ascending order from lower to higher strata of households, there is not much difference amongst the middle strata of households. Similarly, there is not much difference in the number of households serviced by these agencies in the lowest (12.0 per cent) and the highest (10.3 per cent) strata of households. Amongst different agencies, agricultural moneylenders advanced cash loans to 4.8 million households or 3.3 per cent of total rural households, out of which 0.4 million or 3.2 per cent total households with an asset holding less than Rs. 15,000 ( Table 10). More than ten million households or 6.9 per cent of total rural households were financed by professional moneylenders as on 30-6-2002. The households with asset worth less than  Rs. 15,000 numbering 0.6 million were assisted by the professional moneylenders (Table 11). Many a time relatives and friends assist the households. The NSSO 59th round classified a person if he or she gave credit to any household free of interest as ‘relatives and friends’. Such credit agency category assisted 5.5 million households or 3.7 per cent of households in rural areas (Table 12).

4

 Incidence of Indebtedness (IOI in per cent)  - Urban-India

            Table 13 to 15 presents the performance of all credit agencies and institutional and non-institutional credit agencies in financing the number of urban households*.

            As on 30-6-2002 all credit agencies together assisted 9.9 million or 17.8 per cent urban households out of 55.5 million urban households. However, their assistance to households with asset less than Rs. 15,000 at 10.7 per cent of total low strata households of 9.2 million is almost half to that of 21.4 per cent or 7.8 million high strata households financed by all the credit agencies (Table 13).

            There is not much difference among the performance of institutional agencies and non-institutional agencies when one considers all urban households. Nevertheless, there are wide differences when they come to help the poorer household which fall in the low strata of holding asset worth less than Rs. 15,000; with institutional agencies catering only 1.4 per cent of such households as against 9.5 per cent financed by non-institutional agencies. 



·         In household’s surveys, the urban sector gets under represented because the surveys do not caver unincorporated enterprises.

 

      TABLES  

Highlights of  Current Economic Scene

AGRICULTURE  

After announcing a mission on pulses, the central government has plans to introduce a new hybrid seed for pulses in the coming kharif season, which is expected to increase the yield by more than 25 per cent adding about 2 tonnes per hectare of pulses and help meet its growing demand. The pulses production in the country has almost stagnated in the last 15 years. The government would make the seeds commercially available during the coming kharif season. The government is also contemplating over to raise the area under pulses cultivation by 2.4 million hectares in the short term through inter-cropping and by 2 million hectares in three years utilising rice fallows to increase production of pulses that are currently being imported.

 

As per the estimates of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), global production of major oilseeds is likely to stand at 399 million tonnes for 2007-08; 3.8 million tonnes lower compared to previous year and lowest ever since 1995-96. It has also predicted that the world wheat reserves would decline to 113.3 million tonnes till May 31, 2008, the lowest level in last 26 years, registering a fall of 5.8 per cent from estimated 120.4 million tonnes by the end of May 2007.

 

According to research report made by NCDEX, rabi maize crop in the country is estimated at 28.5 lakh tonnes for the 2006-07 season, higher by 14 per cent over last season due to an increase in acreage. However, total kharif crop for season 2006-07 is likely to be lower by 6 per cent at 138.5 lakh tonnes. As per the USDA report, as of 2005-06, India is the 6th largest maize-producing nation in the world. However, India ’s yields are one of the lowest in the world at 1.67 tonnes per hectare compared to 8-9 tonnes per hectare in USA , Argentina , Italy & Canada .

 

The central government has discarded the possibility of immediate lifting of the ban on milk powder exports imposed since February 2007. The ban is effective till September 30, 2007. With global skimmed milk powder prices (SMP) crossing an all-time-high of $5,000 per tonne, the domestic dairy industry has been putting pressure on lifting the ban on exports.

 

Export of coir and coir products has touched a record Rs 605.2 crore during the fiscal year 2006-07 surpassing the target of Rs 572 crore ($130 million) by six per cent. The total shipments also recorded an all-time high level of 1.68 lakh tonnes as against 1.36 lakh tonnes valued at Rs 508.4 crore a year ago. The ministry of textile during the current financial year 2007-08 has set a target of Rs 665 crore ($165 million) for coir exports. A total of 97 countries have imported coir and coir products from India as against 91 during the same period of the previous year during 2006-07. While USA has been the single largest importer with a share of more than 37 per cent of the total exports, although European countries together have contributed more than 41 per cent of the exports.

 

As per the Spices Board, exports of spices have increased by 36 per cent in terms of value to touch Rs 3,575.75 crore and 7 per cent in volume at 3,73,750 tonnes in financial year 2006-07. The export target, for 2006-07, was 3,06,000 tonnes valued at Rs 2,500 crore and this had exceeded by 22 per cent in terms of volume and 43 per cent in terms of value. Pepper, chilli and cumin are the significant contributors, which almost doubled its performance during 2006-07 compared to last year. Export of value-added spices has also risen by 38 per cent in terms of value to Rs 2,093 crore. Among these, curry powder, spice oils and oleoresins and mint products had together shown an increase of 5 per cent in quantity and 20 per cent in value compared to last year.

 

Total import of edible oil in India has fallen by 5 per cent at 17.1 lakh tonnes for the first six months of the oil year (November-October) 2006-07 from 18.0 lakh tonnes for the corresponding period last year due to higher international prices, improved supply of domestic edible oils mainly rape-mustard, cottonseed and ricebran oil. Import of non-edible oils during the same period has also declined by 1.5 per cent at 2.92 lakh tonnes as against 2.96 lakh tonnes.

 

As per the industry experts, import of natural rubber in the country is likely to augment by 67 per cent on account of huge demand for the raw material on sustained economic growth. The country would import a net 75,000 tonnes, compared with 45,000 tonnes a year ago. The Indian economy, the world's fifth-largest rubber user, has expanded at an average 8.6 per cent since 2003, boosting demand for tyres and gloves.

 

Infrastructure

Railways

The Indian railways has tampered with the passenger fare system. Though this year it has not resulted in any hike in fares, like last year, it has prevented a possible reduction in passenger fares — varying from Re 1 to Rs 100. The lack of transparency has been criticised by the parliamentary standing committee on railways in its report on demands for grants. The committee has stated in its latest report that it "does not agree with such an arrangement". The railways had recently decided to subsume the safety surcharge in the ticket fares and route it to fund the dedicated rail freight corridor. This has not been announced in the railway budget this year. The level of the surcharge varied on a per ticket basis and could range from Re 1 to Rs 100, depending on distance and class of travel. The safety-surcharge had been levied for a tenor of six years, which was to end on March 31, 2007. The railways had aimed to raise Rs 5,000 crore over the six years from this surcharge and the special railway safety fund (SRSF) had meant to help wipe out arrears in renewal of over-aged assets, such as bridges, tracks, signaling equipment and rolling stock. If the railways had decided to discontinue the surcharge instead of routing it to part-finance the freight corridor by subsuming the amount, there could have been a reduction in fares.

 

Power

Supply of the much-needed gas to Dabhol has been delayed again due to shortage of pipes required to build the Dahej-Uran pipeline that will feed the gas to the plant. The 2,140-Mw power plant at Dabhol is currently running at a third of its capacity, on expensive naphtha. The company laying the pipeline has said that its machinery has been lying idle due to lack of pipes because of which it is paying $30,000 a day. Thus the profitability from the pipeline construction is very low. The lack of pipes is just one of the reason that has been delaying the 576 km-long pipeline project beyond the original deadline of March 31 this year. Earlier, the Gujarat government had not allowed construction of a 12-km stretch of the pipeline in Surat district citing troubles with farmers in the region. This issue has not yet been solved. 

 

Petroleum

The government has ruled out any immediate hike in retail selling prices of petrol and diesel. However, with the increasing international crude oil prices, the under-realisation suffered by state-owned oil marketing companies on sale of petroleum products has been on an upswing. The union petroleum minister, Mr. Murli Deora has said that to compensate the public sector oil companies for the under-realisation incurred, the previous year's formula of sharing the revenue losses between upstream companies, government (oil bonds) and refining firms would be implemented. Currently oil companies are incurring a loss of Rs 5.24 per litre of petrol, Rs 4.40 on diesel, Rs 14.67 on kerosene and Rs 167 per cylinder of LPG.

 

Inflation

The annual point-to-point inflation rate based on wholesale price index (WPI) stood at 5.44 percent for the week ended May 05,2007 as compared to 5.66 per cent for the previous week or at a lower rate of 4.37 per cent during the corresponding week last year.

 

During the week under review, the WPI rose by 0.2 per cent to 211.4 from 210.9 (Base: 1993-94=100). The index of ‘primary articles’ group, (weight 22.02 per cent), gained by 0.4 per cent to 219.6 from its previous week’s level of 218.8 mainly due to decline in the prices of food articles. The index of ‘fuel, power, light and lubricants’ group (weight 14.23 per cent) increased by 0.4 per cent to 321.8 from 320.5. The price index of ‘manufactured products’ group gone up marginally by 0.1 pr cent to 183.9 from 183.7  for the previous week due to rise in prices of chemicals and chemical products.

 

The latest final index of WPI for the week ended March 10,2007 has been revised upward from 209.3 to 209.4. Annual WPI inflation gone up to 6.51 per cent as compared to 6.46 per cent (provisional).

 

Banking

The RBI has decided to further liberalise and simplify procedures to enable Navaratna public sector units to invest in ‘unincorporated’ oil sector entities, under the automatic route. Accordingly, banks may allow remittances of navaratna PSUs made towards such oil sector investments for the purpose of exploration and drilling for oil, natural gas, etc. but only after ensuring that the appropriate competent authority has approved the proposal. The investments would be subject to the usual reporting requirements but require no prior RBI approval.

 

Revising its earlier norms on purchase and sale of non-performing assets (NPAs), the RBI has decided that instead of 5 per cent at least 10 per cent of the estimated cash flows should be realized in the first year and at least 5 per cent in each half year thereafter, subject to full recovery within 3 years. The revised guidelines come into force immediately.

 

Public Finance

The net direct tax collection of the government has seen a robust growth of 128.4 per cent on year-on-year basis to stand at Rs 5,441 crore during the month of April 2007. However the gross tax collection has witnessed a significant fall of 20 per cent to Rs 7,935 crore during April 2007 as against Rs 9,940 crore collected during the corresponding month of the previous year.

 

The revenue from central excise and customs duties, during April 2007, has seen a growth of 19.1 per cent over the corresponding month of the previous year totalling to Rs 13,862 crore. Excise duties have grown by 11.3 per cent to Rs 6,640 crore during the month under consideration whereas customs duty collections have recorded a rise of 27.4 per cent to stand at Rs 7,221 crore, compared with Rs 5,667 crore in April 2006. The growth in the revenue of customs and excise duties can be attributed to the booming industrial scenario and economic conditions.

 

Financial Markets

Capital Markets

Primary Market

Time Technoplast Limited has tapped the market between May 18 and 23 by issuing equity shares aggregating Rs.39.21 lakh, share of Rs 10 each in a price band of Rs 290-315 per share.

 

Nitin Fire Protection Industries Ltd has tapped the market between May 15 and 18 by issuing equity shares aggregating Rs.33.90 lakh, share of Rs 10 each in a price band of Rs 171-190 per share.

 

Secondary Market

The market surged, last week, tracking firm global markets, and on reports that there will be early onset of monsoon. Rally in two bank shares State Bank of India, ICICI Bank and in index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) aided the rally. The 30-share BSE Sensex 507.25 points or 3.67% to settle at 14303.41 in the week ended Friday 18 May 2007. The S&P CNX Nifty rose 137.85 points or 3.3% to 4214.50 in the week.

 

Small-cap and mid-cap shares which have been rising since early last month extended gains. BSE Small-Cap index gained 235.90 points or 3.3% to 7220.30 in the week. BSE Mid-Cap index rose 238.68 points or 4% to 6089.95 in the week.

 

Trading for the week started on an upbeat note. The market surged on Monday, 14 May 2007, on firm global markets, strong Q4 March 2007 results announced by the State Bank of India (SBI) on Saturday, 12 May 2007, and on prospects of political stability in Uttar Pradesh. But the Sensex came off the higher level after an initial 229.86-point rally that took it above 14,000 to 14,026.02.

 

The Sensex settled on a weak note on Tuesday, 15 May 2007, tracking negative cues from global markets. It was highly volatile throughout the day’s trading session. It lost 36.53 points.

 

A rally in interest-rate-sensitive banking, auto and real-estate shares, telecom stocks and index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) boosted the market in a volatile trading session on Wednesday 16 May 2007. The BSE 30-share Sensex’s surge materialised in the last one hour of trading. Higher Asian markets supported domestic bourses as Sensex added 198 points.

 

Derivatives  

The Nifty May 2007 futures settled at 4,229.70, which is a premium of 15.20 points compared to the spot closing of 4,214.50

 

Government Securities Market

Primary Market

Under the weekly T-Bill auctions, the RBI mopped up Rs.3403 crores (MSS worth Rs.1500 crores) and Rs.1500 crores (MSS worth Rs.1000 crores) through 91-day T-Bill and 182-day T-Bill. The cut-off yields for the 91-day and 182-day T-Bill were 7.6435% and 7.7487% respectively. RBI conducted the auction of "7.55% Government Stock 2010" for a notified amount of Rs.6000 crores under MSS. The cut-off yield of the security was 8.0703%.

 

RBI conducted the auction of State Development Loan (SDL), 2017 for the states of Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal for an aggregate amount of Rs.1400 crores through a yield based auction using multiple price auction method. The cut-off yield for the securities was 8.40%.

 

RBI has announced the sale (re-issue) of "7.38% Government Stock 2015" and "8.35% Government Stock 2022" for Rs.5000 crores and Rs.3000 crores on May 25, 2007.

 

RBI has announced that the rate of interest on the Floating Rate Bonds, 2014 (FRB, 2014) applicable for the year (May 20, 2007 to May 19, 2008) shall be 7.86% per annum.

 

Secondary Market

During the week, the weighted average call rates during the period ranged between 7.21% and 9.08%, while weighted average repo rates ranged between 5.98% and 7.91% and the weighted average CBLO rates ranged between 5.34% and 7.80%. The average volumes of Call, Repo and CBLO segments were Rs.11719.31 crores, Rs.7883.28 crores and Rs.18825.41 crores respectively. The daily average outstanding amounts in the LAF (reverse repo) and LAF (repo) operations conducted during the period were Rs.19.00 crores and Rs.21289.00 crores respectively. The weighted average YTM of G.S 2017 8.07% bond was 8.0885% on May 18, 2007 as compared to 8.1048% on May 11, 2007. The 1-10 year YTM spreads increased by 3 bps to 16bps.

 

Bond Market

Dewan Housing Finance Co has tapped the market to mobilise Rs 38 crore by issuing bonds and offering 10.50,10.55,10.60 per cent for 5,7,10 years respectively.

 

IDFC has tapped the market to mobilise Rs 175 crore with a green shoe option of Rs 100 crore by issuing bonds and offering 10 per cent for 5 years

 

Foreign Exchange Market

The rupee-dollar exchange rate appreciated from Rs 40.93 on May 14 to Rs 40.84 on May 17 and depreciated to 41.90 on May 18.

 

The six-month forward premia closed at 4.51% (annualized) on May 18, 2007 vis-à-vis 4.42% on May 11, 2007.

 

Commodities Futures derivatives

The combined turnover of commodity exchanges in the country has reached to Rs 3.11 lakh crore during the month of April 2007, up 2% from Rs 3.06 lakh crore in the April 2006, according to data complied by the Forward Markets Commission (FMC). The three leading multi commodities exchange - MCX, NCDEX and NMCE have together accounted for nearly 96% of the total turnover. The turnover of MCX rose by about 14 % at Rs 2.03 lakh crore in April 2007 over the same month of last year. The commodities turnover of NCDEX for April month decreased by 16.9 % at Rs 93,361 crore over the same month last year. NMCE registered a sharp fall in turnover and recorded at Rs 3,291 crore. The top traded commodities during the month in all the major exchanges were copper, gold, silver, black pepper, jeera, chana and guarseed. Copper on the MCX platform has registered the highest turnover of about Rs 52,000 crore during the month and surpassed gold. The yellow metal registered the second highest turnover of Rs 42,500 crore. On the NCDEX platform, black pepper and jeera registered the highest turnover of about Rs 20,300 crore and Rs 15,240 crore, respectively. Total turnover of all commodity exchanges (3 national and 21 regional exchanges) increased to Rs 36.77 lakh crore for fiscal 2006-07 from previous fiscal’s figure of Rs 21.55 lakh crore, up by 70.61%.

 

Forward Markets Commission (FMC), the regulator of the futures market in the nation, is seeking collaboration with regulators in other countries to strengthen its regulatory arm. FMC has taken membership of IOSCO, a body of all international security and commodity market regulators and signed MOUs with USCFTC and CSRC, commodity futures market regulators of US and China respectively. The commission has taken various steps in the past one year to regulate the market so that every stakeholder benefit by hedging themselves against price fluctuations. The steps taken include stringent penalties on exceeding the prescribed open interest positions, restrictions on proprietary trading, making PAN mandatory, real-time monitoring of open positions, prohibiting portfolio management services by members to their clients, registration of intermediaries such as warehouses and audit of exchanges and their members through professional auditors. The biggest problem faced by the futures market is the lack of awareness. FMC has initiated steps to increase awareness among farmers.

 

The Safal National Exchange of India (SNX), a 51:49 joint venture between the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX)-Financial Technologies (FTIL) combine and the National Dairy Development Board (NDDB), is likely to start operations in two months with its headquarters in Bangalore . The SNX would be the first of its kind in the country to offer nationwide spot sales of perishable commodities online. Currently, NDDB is selling dairy products and other perishable commodities in Bangalore with limited reach but the launch would enable the regional exchange to get national reach with one spot sale of commodities at an uniform price.

 

The National Multi-Commodity Exchange (NMCE), the country’s third largest commodity exchange, will launch 52 new futures contracts for different commodities. The new contracts will be launched for gold, silver, cardamom, pepper, rubber, gur, guargum, isabgul, cumin seed, cotton seed, linseed, sesame, mustard/rapeseed, groundnut, soybean, coconut cake, their oils and cakes, crude palm oil, RBD palmolein, rice bran, moong, masoor and sugar.

 

The Union government has extended the term of the Abhijit Sen Committee, to look into the impact of futures trading on commodity prices, by two months

 

Turmeric will soon be the first commodity to see its prices displayed on the Bombay Stock Exchange. The Sangli-based Spices & Oilseeds Exchange, which has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the BSE to start online turmeric futures, will start mock trading in a fortnight.

 

Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) has pitched in for more bank credit against warehouse receipts (WRs). Taking a cue from MCX’s intention, the initiative has been taken up by National Bulk Handling Corporation (NBHC), an associate of MCX, which is entrusted with warehouse management, primarily related to commodities futures trading on the exchange platform. In doing so, NBHC is in the process of forging tie-ups with 8-10 banks. The purpose is to arrange finance to commodity brokers who need to have working capital loans while stocking commodities in NBHC-accredited warehouses, till their delivery against futures contracts

 

NCDEX in association with the Forward Market Commission organised a joint programme to spread awareness among farmers, traders, processors and exporters/importers about the benefits of futures trading in commodities.

 

By organising joint awareness programmes at regular intervals across the country, the FMC and the exchange are seeking to impress upon all players in the commodity supply chain the economic benefits that will accrue to them by hedging on the exchange platform.

 

Insurance

Bharti AXA Life Insurance company is planning to invest Rs 100 crore in the current calendar year. Currently, the company operates in 11 metro cities of the country and has 1500 advisors on its fold. However, the company plans to expand its base to 100 cities of the country and increase its headcount of advisors to 10,000 by the year-end.

 

Corporate Sector

Tata Motors, India ’s largest automobile company, has posted a 29 per cent rise in net profit for the year ended March 31, 2007 at Rs 2,204 crore compared with Rs 1,708 crore in 2006. The total sales for the year 2006-07 was at 5,20,280 units a rise of 28 per cent over 4,54,129 units sold in 2005-06.

 

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories has reported a net profit of Rs 1,176.86 crore for the financial year ended March 2007 as against Rs 211.13 crore in the previous fiscal as per the Indian GAAP.

 

After 2 years of deliberations and discussions, the board of Bajaj Auto (BAL) has approved the planned demerger of the company. The demerger will create 3 different entities – Bajaj Holdings Auto Ltd. (BAL), Bajaj Holdings and Investment company (BHIL) and Bajaj Finserv Ltd (BFL) with specific focus and direction carved out for each.

 

The cabinet is taking up a proposal to allow public sector enterprises (PSEs) invest their surplus funds in mutual funds. With state-owned companies sitting on cash surpluses worth a whopping Rs 2 lakh crore, a cabinet approval to the proposal will lend a big boost to capital markets. Even a small percentage of this money entering equities indirectly through mutual funds will pep up the markets. Currently, PSEs are prohibited from parking excess cash in mutual funds. If the embargo is lifted, it will strengthen the mutual fund industry too. PSEs surplus cash is expected to have crossed the Rs 2 lakh crore mark this fiscal since the number of profit-making enterprises had gone up to 157 by the end of 2006, from 138 in 2004-05.

 

The government has renamed the ‘Ministry of Company Affairs’ as ‘Ministry of Corporate Affairs’ and said the revised nomenclature “not merely reflects change in the form but also in the vision and approach that drives the initiatives of the ministry. The focus of the ministry’s working is no longer limited to the administration of companies but has increasingly acquired an all-inclusive role of addressing a wide sweep of functions – corporate governance reforms and the emerging legal framework. The revised nomenclature is more representative of the new role of ministry, captured in the new vision: “To be a leader and partner in initiatives for corporate reforms, good governance and enlightened regulation, with a view to promote and facilitate effective corporate functioning and investor protection”.

 

Vijay Mallya’s United Spirits Limited (USL) has announced that it had bought 100 per cent stake in Glasgow-bases Scotch giant Whyte & Mackay from its chairman Vivian Immerman and other investors for $1.18 billion (Rs 4785.94 crore). This is the third acquisition by USL in three years. In 2005, it bought Shaw Wallance for Rs 1,300 crore. Last year, USL bought a subsidiary of Champagne Taitinger, Bouvet Ladubay, for $15 million. With this acquisition, USL would have consolidated sales of 75 million cases of liquor a year, making it the second largest spirits company in the world, next only to Diageo. Whyte & Mackay will now function as a 100 per cent subsidiary of the UB Group with the name, United Spirits Great Britain Ltd.

 

Videcon Industries, along with 9 other companies, has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with counterparts in China to set up an LCD manufacturing unit in China for $5 billion. The MoU was signed between Dhoot and China Council for Promotion of International Trade.

 

  

Macroeconomic Indicators

Table 1 : Index Numbers of Industrial Production (1993-94 =100)

Table 2 : Production in Infrastructure Industries (Physical Output Series)

Table 3: Procurment, Offtake and Stock of foodgrains

Table 4: Index Numbers of  Wholesale Prices (1993-94 = 100)

Table 5 : Cost of Living Indices

Table 6 : Budgetary Position of Government of India

Table 7 : Government Borrowing Programmes and Performance

Table 8 : Scheduled Commercial Banks - Business in India  

Table 9 : Money Stock : components and Sources

Table 10 : Reserve Money : Components and Sources

Table 11 : Average Daily Turnover in Call Money Market

Table 12 : Assistance Sanctioned and Disbursed by All-India Financial Institutions

Table 13 : Capital Market

Table 14 : Foreign Trade

Table 15 : India's Overall Balance of Payments

Table 16 : Foreign Investment Inflows  
Table 17 : Foreign Collaboration Approvals (Route-Wise)
Table 18 : Year-Wise (Route-Wise) Actual Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI/NRI)

Table 19 : NRI Deposits - Outstandings

Table 20 : Foreign Exchange Reserves

Table 21 : Indices REER and NEER of the Indian Rupee

Table 22 : Turnover in Foreign Exchange Market  
Table 23 : India's Template on International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity [As reported under the IMFs special data dissemination standards (SDDS)
Table 24 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Government Securities Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 25 : Inter-Catasegory Distribution of All Types of Trade in Government Securities Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 
Table 26 : Category-wise Market Share in Settlement Volume of Government Securities Transactions (in Per Cent)
Table 27 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Total Forex Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 28 : Inter-Category Distribution of Total Foreign Exchange Transactions Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 

 

Memorandum Items

CSO's Quarterly Estimates of GDP For 1996-97 To 2005-06  

GDP at Factor Cost by Economic Activity  

India's Overall Balance of Payments  

*These statistics and the accompanying review are a product arising from the work undertaken under the joint ICICI research centre.org-EPWRF Data Base Project.

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