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Current Economic Statistics and Review For the Week 
Ended April 19, 2008 (16th Weekly Report of 2008)

 

Theme of the week:

 

Growth of ATMs in India: Well Spread By Bank Groups*

Information  Technology (IT) and the Communication Networking Systems (CNS) have revolutionalised the functioning of the entire Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) industries world over. The application of internet communication network has made it possible for banks to aggressively open automated teller machines (ATMs) as a convenience to their customers as well as to reduce servicing costs. Globally, ATMs have been the inimitable solution for the banking sector which has revolutionised the way transactions are carried out.

The ATM Machine

An ATM is a computerised telecommunications device that provides the customers of a bank with access to financial transactions in a public space without the need for a human clerk or a bank teller. The customer is identified by inserting a plastic ATM card with a magnetic stripe or a plastic smartcard with a chip, which contains some security information and a unique card number. Security is provided to the customer by entering a personal identification number (PIN). Using an ATM, customers can access their bank accounts in order to make cash withdrawals or credit card cash advances and check their account balances.

ATMs in India

In 1987, Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC) installed the first ATM in India . In the subsequent years, Indian Bank and Citi Bank introduced ATMs at various locations. However, during the 1990s the Indian ATM industry has witnessed a slow growth in ATM expansion on account of high installation costs. The next 12 years saw the addition of only about, 1,500 machines.

Sustained Growth

Ten years ago, an ATM was a novelty in Indian banking industry. But with the entry of private sector banks, ATMs have mushroomed in the urban landscape. Private sector banks like ICICI Bank, UTI Bank and HDFC Bank all deployed ATMs aggressively and have seen their customer base expand. Subsequently, even public sector banks (PSBs) have followed suit with an increasing number of ATMs. In the last couple of years there has been an immense competition among banks — public sector banks (PSBs), private banks, foreign banks and co- operative banks, to set up ATMs across the country.

Since 2000, the Indian ATM industry has seen an explosive growth as banks have committed to substantial capital outlays on ATM deployment as the usages of ATMs have significantly increased in India and it is not uncommon to see huge queues of people at ATMs, especially during off business hours and holidays. While ATMs facilitate a variety of banking transactions for customers, their main utility has been for cash withdrawal and balance enquiry.

Banks have been installing ATMs to increase their reach. The growth in the installed base of ATMs in the initial 4 years, between 2000 and 2003 was primarily driven by private sector banks, while in the last 4 years, between 2004 and 2007 it has been predominantly driven by public sector banks on account of rapid expansion.

After a relatively slow start in the late 1990s, there has been a spurt in ATMs installations across the country — increasing by almost 100 per cent in two years from 1,521 in 1999 to around 3,000 at the end of March 2001. The trend continued in the subsequent two years and the aggregate number of ATMs increased from 5,489 in March 2002 to around 12,000 at the end of March 2004.

At the end of March 2005, around 17,642 ATM machines were installed in the country which rose to 27,008 at the end of March 2007 – registering a growth of 53 per cent. The growth rate has almost halved owing to large base effect.

Cash withdrawals remain the most widely used ATM transactions; however, many banks are adding a collection of services to help encourage use of ATMs, as ATM transactions cost less than teller transactions. According to banking analysts, the total cash withdrawals through ATMs across India was estimated to be around Rs 70,000 crore in 2006.

Ratio of ATMs to Total Bank Branches

The ratio of aggregate ATMs as percentage of total bank branches in India has increased from 10.6 per cent in March 2002 to 32.8 in March 2005 and has touched a level of 47.3 per cent at the end of March 2007 (Chart 2). As a result, the on-site and off-site ATMs together have constituted as much as one-half of total branches of all scheduled commercial banks.

As indicated in Table 1, nationalised banks with 9,888 ATMs accounted for the largest share of installed ATMs, followed by the new private sector banks (8,192), SBI group (6,441), old private sector banks (1,607) and foreign banks with 960 ATMs.

The total number of ATMs installed by foreign banks and new private sector banks were more than three times of their branches, while the ATM to branch ratio was much lower for public sector banks (32.9 per cent) and old private sector banks (34.9 per cent). However, ATMs in the case of two public sector banks, namely, Corporation Bank and IDBI Bank were more than their branches.

At individual bank level, the number of ATMs exceeded branches in respect of all new private sector banks except Yes Bank. In the case of old private sector banks, the ATM to branch ratio stood at 35 per cent.

At end-March 2007, 29 foreign banks were operating in India with 273 branches. Of which, only seven major foreign banks have installed ATMs in India . The aggregate number of ATMs of these major foreign banks operated by them far exceeded the number of branches, for instance, Citibank with 39 branches in India operated 452 ATMs, more than 10 times the number of their branches.

 

Table 1: Bank Group-wise Number of Bank Branches and ATMs

(As at end-March 2007)

 

Bank Group

Total Branches

Total

ATMs

ATMs as percentage of

Total Branches

SBI Group

14,030

6,441

45.9

Nationalised Banks

35,636

9,888

27.7

Public Sector Banks

49,666

16,329

32.9

Old Private Sector Banks

4,606

1,607

34.9

New Private Sector Banks

2,497

8,192

328.1

Private Sector Banks

7,103

9,799

138.0

Foreign Banks

273

960

351.6

All Scheduled Commercial Banks

57,042

27,088

47.5

Source: RBI, Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2006-07.

 

On-site and Off-site ATMs

There are basically two types of ATM installations: on-site ATM and off-site ATM. On-site ATMs are installed inside the premises of the bank or adjacent to the bank branch. While off-site ATMs (a site away from the branch) are installed at various locations such as airports, railway stations, petrol pumps, shopping centres, malls, restaurants, colleges, commercial areas or at places where the bank does not have a service branch near by.

 

Table 2: Bank Group-wise Number of On-site and Off-site ATMs

(As at end-March 2007)

 

Bank Group

On-site ATMs

Off-site

ATMs

Total

ATMs

Off-site ATMs as percentage of

Total ATMs

SBI Group

3,655

2,786

6,441

43.3

Nationalised Banks

6,634

3,254

9,888

32.9

Public Sector Banks

1,0289

6,040

16,329

37.0

Old Private Sector Banks

1,104

503

1,607

31.3

New Private Sector Banks

3,154

5,038

8,192

61.5

Private Sector Banks

4,258

5,541

9,799

56.5

Foreign Banks

249

711

960

74.1

All Scheduled

Commercial Banks

14,796

12,292

27,088

45.4

Source: RBI, Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2006-07.

 

Of all the ATMs installed in the country as at end-March 2007, new private sector banks had the largest share in off-site ATMs, while nationalised banks had the largest share in on-site ATMs (Table 2). Off-site ATMs as percentage to total ATMs were the highest in case of foreign banks, followed by new private sector banks, SBI group and nationalised banks.

In order to expand the number of off-site ATMs, last year, State Bank of India (SBI) had entered into an agreement with Ministry of Railways for installation of ATMs at 682 railway stations across the country which was followed up by six more banks to install ATMs at 711 locations. These banks are; Canara Bank, Punjab National Bank, Indian Bank, Dena Bank, Union Bank of India and Bank of Baroda. The Ministry of Railways has asked all these banks to complete the installation of proposed ATMs by 31st March 2008.

In recent years, some banks have introduced ‘Mobile ATMs’ in order to reach remote areas that may not have a large enough population for the bank to invest in an ATM centre. Banks such as SBI, State Bank of Patiala , Citibank, Bank of India, ICICI Bank and Jammu & Kashmir Bank have deployed mobile ATMs. The mobile ATMs can help a bank reach out to banking customers that does not comprise its regular customers.

Last year, SBI deployed the country's first ATM on ferry, ‘KSINC Jhankar’ in Kochi . In February 2008, Punjab National Bank installed the first ATM machine on the Delhi-Agra Shatabdi Express.

Mobile ATMs are used extensively at exhibitions and fairs. For instance, State Bank of Patiala , installed a mobile ATM at the Kumbh Mela in Ujjain . This mobile ATM served thousands of visitors from round the globe at the internationally acclaimed fair.

ATM Penetration

At present, the penetration of ATMs is significantly higher in Tier-I than Tier-II cities. While ATMs have become an intrinsic part of the urban mindscape, the challenge lies in penetrating deeper into the rural areas across the country. To promote micro financing initiatives, banks are deploying biometric solutions with ATMs. The recent directive from the government on financial inclusion is a key driver for the growth of such solutions in India .

Biometric ATMs are the latest solution in the ongoing effort to offer banking services to the rural masses. Establishing the identity of a rural depositor through biometrics makes it possible for illiterate or barely literate folks to become part of the banking user community. For biometric access, customers have to register their finger prints with the branch in which they maintain their accounts. The mobile ATMs would identify the customer based on his/her finger print.

In May 2007, Andhra Bank launched the country’s first mobile biometric ATM. The Bank rolled out two mobile biometric ATMs, one each for Hyderabad and Secunderabad, which would stop at locations scheduled by the RBI. In September 2007, Canara Bank introduced a voice-enabled biometric ATM for the rural segment to have access to banking facilities. The bank has launched a mobile ATM facility at Devanahally, on the outskirts of Bangalore . In an effort to connect illiterate rural people with the electronic transaction system and offer ATM services, the Oriental Bank of Commerce has deployed biometric ATMs in Uttarakhand in March 2008.

   

Cost of Operations

While the ATM is a great service for customers, for the banks it means immense savings on the cost of operations. According to industry chamber ASSOCHAM, workload of 65,000 cashiers has fallen by 50 per cent in the last five years due to growing installations of off-site and on-site ATM facilities in urban, semi-urban and rural bank branches. With the installation of ATMs, the existing cashiers in the banking sector are now confined to large and bulk cash withdrawals, making their entries and submitting the transactions tally to the respective managers. Banking analysts estimates that for ATMs to be viable, at least 10,000 transactions a month or 300 a day should be the target.

RBI for Free ATM Use Across Banks

In India , banks do not charge their customers for using their own ATMs for cash withdrawals and balance enquiry. However, the bank charge the customers if they use the ATMs of other banks for cash withdrawals and balance enquiry. Normally, the charges depend on the network relationship between the bank owning the ATM and the customer’s own bank. The charges range from 'Nil' to Rs 57 per transaction.

In an attempt to rationalise the service charges for ATM transactions such that it becomes affordable for the common man the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) placed a draft approach paper, “ATMs of Banks: Fair Pricing and Enhanced Access” on its website on 24th December 2007 with 31st January 2008 as the time frame for receipt of public comments. The approach paper suggested the service charges to be levied by banks for offering ATM service may be as under:

Service

Proposed Charges

For use of own ATMs for any purpose

Free

For use of other bank ATMs for balance enquiries

Free

For use of other bank ATMs for cash Withdrawals

·        No bank shall increase the charges prevailing as on December 23, 2007.

·         Banks which are charging more than Rs.20 per transaction shall reduce the charges to Rs.20 per transaction by March 31, 2008.

·        Free - with effect from April 1, 2009.

 

The RBI in its draft paper has recommended that customers of one bank be allowed free use of ATMs of other banks, including for cash withdrawal, from April 1, 2009 and in a customer friendly decision, has also suggested that banks which are charging more than Rs 20 per transaction, for cash withdrawals (for customers of other banks), shall reduce the charges to Rs 20 for such transactions by March 31, 2008.

According to RBI, it is evident that the charges levied on the customers vary from bank to bank and also vary according to the ATM network that is used for the transaction. Consequently, a customer is not aware, before hand, of the charges that will be levied for a particular ATM transaction, while using an ATM of another bank. This generally discourages the customer from using the ATMs of other banks. It is, therefore, essential to ensure greater transparency.

As per the draft paper, the international experience indicates that in countries such as UK , Germany and France , bank customers have access to all ATMs in the country, free of charge except when cash is withdrawn from white label ATMs or from ATMs managed by non-bank entities.

Major suggestions received on the draft policy are as follows:

1)      Bank customers have desired the regulator to make the service free immediately;

2)      Banking analysts apprehend that such a move of making service charges free may serve as a disincentive for the risk taking dynamic banks in their expansion of ATM network;

3)      Some of the banks have suggested that instead of making the service totally free, a specific number of free withdrawals in a quarter/month can either be prescribed or left to individual banks;

4)      Two banks have preferred that certain nominal charges should be prescribed;

5)      A few banks fear that the availability of free ATM services at convenient locations could lead to an increase in the number of transactions and a reduction in the amount withdrawn per transaction and

6)      Indian Banks Association (IBA) has suggested that the number of free transactions at ATMs of other banks be restricted to two per month. Also in metro centres, the minimum cash withdrawal may be stipulated at Rs 500 per account other than no-frill accounts. Besides, IBA has advised that cap be fixed for balance enquiry.

The other suggestions made by banks/IBA are as follows:

1)      Third-party advertisement on the ATMs be permitted as a revenue stream for the banks; and

2)      White label[1] ATMs to be permitted.

According to industry sources, the largest public sector bank, SBI, which incidentally also has one of the biggest ATM networks in the country is somewhat unhappy with the RBI’s revised fee structure for ATMs. The bank views its large ATM network as a competitive edge over other banks and it is justified also because the bank has made huge investments in building the country's largest ATM network and sharing this network with other banks without any charge will result in the bank losing their competitive edge. On the other hand, banks that do not have comparable networks will gain significantly as their customers will be able to withdraw funds from all the ATMs.

In February 2008, RBI announced that the framework on ATM usage charges have been decided after analysing the public comments received on its approach paper. Despite hesitation by the banks, the RBI has gone ahead to implement policies immediately by which a customer of a bank will not be levied any charge for use of other bank ATMs for balance enquiries.

The customers have to wait till April 2009 to use other bank’s ATMs free to withdraw money. However, banks which are charging more than Rs 20 per transaction for customers of other banks shall reduce the charges to a maximum of Rs 20 per transaction by March 31, 2008.

The central bank has taken this decision after taking into consideration the falling costs and various international practices on ATM use. According to RBI, use of technology should, among others, lead to reduction in transaction costs to banks. Over a period, with the increasing adaptation of the people to the use of technology in their daily transactions, it is expected that there will be a further reduction in the transaction costs. Against this background, there is also a case for rationalising the service charges for ATM transactions such that it becomes affordable for the common man. Enhanced and cost effective access to ATMs play an important role in technology based financial inclusion.

As far as other approvals are concerned, the regulator has rejected the suggestions on third party advertisement and installation of white label ATMs.

Challenges Ahead

On account of increasing card usage and rising customer expectations the rapid expansion of ATM network would continue in the next 4-6 years. Moreover, the rapid development of banking and financial services in the country represents a significant opportunity for ATM growth. Banking analysts estimate that there will be roughly two ATMs for every one branch (a ratio of 1:2 for bank branches v/s ATMs). This means the number of ATMs will rise to around 1.16 lakh by 2012 assuming the number of branches remains at the same level.

However, some banking analysts doubt if ATMs would reach its potential with the current restrictions by the RBI. Bankers are unhappy with the restrictions imposed on unlimited expansion of their ATM network as in September 2005 the RBI stipulated that banks would have to take prior permission to set up off-site ATMs.

Another regulation that stands in the way of ATM expansion in India is the RBI’s denial for installing third-party ATMs or Independent Sales Organisations (ISOs) and white label ATMs. In USA , the ATM growth especially after 2001 was primarily driven by ISOs.

Besides, banking analysts apprehend that the central bank’s recent move of making service charges free may decelerate the deployment of ATMs by banks.

___________

* This note has been prepared by Bipin K. Deokar.

 

References

 

RBI (2007): Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2006-07, November 27.

 

RBI (2006): Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2005-06, November 14.

 

RBI (2005): Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2004-05, November 24.

 

RBI (2004): Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2003-04, November 29.

 

RBI (2003): Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2002-03, November 17.

 

Reddy, Y V (2006): ‘Use of Technology in the financial sector: Significance of concerted efforts’, at the Banking Technology Awards Function at the IDRBT, Hyderabad on September 2, 2006.

 

EPWRF (2006): ‘Increasing Concentration of Banking Operations’, Economic and Political Weekly, March 18-24, Mumbai.

 

Dey Anindita (2006): ‘RBI says no to white-label ATMs’, Business Standard, September.

 


[1] White-label ATMs are owned and operated by non-bank entities and are not branded after any bank’s name.

 

 

Highlights of  Current Economic Scene

AGRICULTURE  

As per the forecast by Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) of the US , world cereal production in 2008 is likely to increase by 2.6 per cent to 2,164 million tonnes, if agro- climatic conditions continue to remain favourable. Output of wheat is expected to show a sharp increase, which is set to reach a record of 647 million tonnes this year, up by 6.8 per cent from last year. Production of wheat in the European Union is tentatively predicted at 137 million tonnes, up by 13 per cent from the last year. Coarse grains are already being harvested and it is expected that output of coarse grain would be around 1,075 million tonnes, up by 0.6 per cent from previous year. Global cereal stocks are expected to fall by 5 per cent (21 million tonnes) to 405 million tonnes, the lowest in last 25 years, by the season ending 2008. Wheat stocks are projected to be 144 million tonnes this year, down by 9 per cent from their opening level due to fall in reserves upto 10 million tonnes, in major exporting countries. The world stocks of coarse grains at the end of the 2008 season are forecast to reach 157 million tonnes, 5 million tonnes short of the opening level. Global paddy carryover stocks are anticipated to diminish by about 1 million tonnes to 103.5 million tonnes. However, it is projected that global cereal demand would exceed its output, as stocks are depleting to all-time low, pushing prices to move in upward direction.

Procurement of wheat

(in lakh tonnes)

States

2007-08

2008-09*

Punjab

67.57

80

Haryana

33.46

35-50

Uttar Pradesh

5.49

20

Rajasthan

3.84

5

Madhya Pradesh

0.57

10

Others

0.9

1

Total

111.04

151-166

*Projections made by trade

Source: Media

 

The Food Corporation of India (FCI) has targeted to purchase 150 lakh tonnes of wheat from north and central regions of the country for meeting the needs of buffer stocks (as shown in the table). To increase the procurement level, the central government has merged all forms of bonuses in the form of minimum support price of Rs. 1000 and only those farmers, who delivered their produce directly to the FCI godowns, are expected to get a bonus of Rs 10 per quintal. To encourage wheat procurement in the states like Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Bihar, the central government has hiked the commission for societies and sub-agents to 2.5 per cent on the lines of the Arthiya Commission in Punjab and Haryana .To control the wheat prices from escalation, restrictions have been placed on private companies. The central government would notify the private companies for the purchase of the wheat quantity exceeding 10 thousand tonnes. Wheat prices have been gradually slopping downwards in the international market. FCI has already purchased 12 million tonnes of rice and is looking forward to purchase 6 million tonnes to bolster the buffer stock

 

The central Government has planned to import one million tonnes of edible oil and 15 lakh tonnes of pulses, to control the spiralling rise in their prices and would be mulling ban on futures trading on essential commodities as part of the measures to curb inflation. The oil imported would be made available at the subsidised rate of Rs 15 per litre for below poverty line (BPL) and Antodaya families. Out of 15 lakh tonnes of pulses, an order of 11.86 lakh tonnes has been placed before March 31, 2008.

Imports of Oil

 (in tonnes)

Month

Edible Oil

Non Edible Oil

Total

Nov- 2007

3,47,320

80,592

4,27,912

Dec-2007

2,76,782

24,494

3,05,276

Jan-2008

4,57,601

55,652

5,13,253

Feb-2008

4,30,992

84,237

5,15,229

March-2008

4,21,686

81,141

5,02,827

Nov07-March08

19,34,381

3,30,116

22,64,497

Nov06-March08

14,01,071

2,41,880

16,42,951

Source: Solvent Extractor Association (SEA)

According to Solvent Extractors Association (SEA), import of vegetable oils, for cooking and industrial use have increased by 28 per cent in March 2008, of which cooking oil imports have increased to 4.22 lakh tonnes against 3.18 lakh tonnes during the same period a year ago. While overall shipments so far during the current oil year (November 2007-October 2008) has been higher at 38 per cent, to 22.64 lakh tonnes against 16.43 lakh tonnes a year ago. Overall imports of vegetable oils have risen from 58 lakh tonnes to 60 lakh tonnes during this oil year, displaying a marginal rise over the last year. Among vegetable oils, share of palm oil imports in the total shipments has increased by 88 per cent as against 77 per cent of last year. Refined oil imports have increased by two percentage points from last year, while imports of crude palm oil have also shown a rising tendency because of reports of Indonesia ’s decision to raise the export tax. The main reason for the rise in imports, despite November-March being peak crushing season, is lower carryover stocks from the previous season that resulted on account of lower production level and rise in demand from the middle income group driven by increase in their income levels.

Average monthly price of oils

 (US$ CIF, Indian port/ tonne)

 

Oils

Nov-07

Dec -07

Jan-08

Feb-08

Mar-08

Mar-07

Per cent rise

(March 07-08)

RBD palmolein

982

988

1,043

1,240

1,354

640

112

Crude palm oil

930

936

1,038

1,173

1,244

609

104

Crude soybean oil

1,088

1,119

1,243

1,412

1,434

680

111

Crude sunflower oil

1,421

1,419

1,630

1,753

1,791

703

155

Source: Media

 

 

 

 

 

 

As per the data compiled by the Solvent Extractors’ Association (SEA), huge price escalation in the global market has failed to dampen India’s vegetable oil imports with arrivals continuing to rise substantially in the first five months of the oil year (November - October) 2007-08. The country’s vegetable oil imports have jumped by 38 per cent during November 2007-March 2008 at 2,264,497 tonnes as compared with 1,642,951 tonnes imported during the same period of the last financial year, due to rise in their consumption. Import of edible oil have grown by 38 per cent at 1,934,381 tonnes during November-March 2007-08, as against 1,401,071 tonnes, while arrival of non-edible oil has stood at 330,116 tonnes showing a growth of 36 per cent from 241,880 tonnes in the corresponding period of last year. Import of refined oil (RBD palmolein) is rising and reported at 81,710 tonnes (4 per cent of the total oil imported) during the same period as compared with 27,930 tonnes (with a share of 2 per cent in total oil import) of last year. Crude oil is reported at 1,852,671 tonnes (96 per cent of the total oil imported) as against 1,401,071 tonnes for the same period last year. Import of palm oil is reported at 1,706,265 tonnes as compared with 1,073,562 tonnes a year ago. In the domestic market, prices of almost all edible oils have declined to 25 per cent since last one month. Thus, reducing the impact of the global spurt of 10 per cent in a span of five months. 

Exports of oil meal from India

during April-March 2007-08

(in tonnes)

Types of

Oil meals

Vietnam

South Korea

Japan

China

Soyabean meal

1445000

311800

739175

150500

Rapeseed meal

70523

460525

10700

143975

Rice bran meal

191755

-

-

-

Castor meal

-

255575

-

-

Groundnut meal

-

-

-

51825

Total

1708053

1032800

749875

346300

Source: Media

 

According to the data compiled by the Solvent Extractors’ Association (SEA), the overall oilmeal exports during the financial year 2007-08 has witnessed a rise of 5.25 per cent to 54,42,132 tonnes from 51,70,700 tonnes in the corresponding period of the last year. Oilmeal exports in March 2008 have risen by 13 per cent to 853,675 tonnes compared with 755,450 tonnes during the same period a year-ago following a jump in the shipment of soybean meal, rapeseed meal, castor meal and groundnut meal. Kandla port has emerged as the largest port for export of oil meals, reporting 3,239,675 tonnes (60 per cent), followed by Mumbai, which handled 978,202 tonnes (18 per cent), Bedi 735,975 tonnes (14 per cent), Vizag 270,975 tonnes (5 per cent), Kakinada 179,900 tonnes (3 per cent), Kolkata 30,830 tonnes (0.5 per cent) and Pipavav 6,575 tonnes (0.2 per cent).

 

The central government has asked National Agriculture Cooperative Marketing Federation of India (Nafed) to purchase 50,000 tonnes of potato from Uttar Pradesh at Rs 2.50 pre kg, as the prices have crashed down drastically owing to a bumper crop. The state government of Uttar Pradesh has agreed to purchase 50 per cent of the crop, while centre would purchase 25 per cent. Nafed would even intervene in West Bengal , if the state desired so. Production of potato in the country is estimated to be at 293.46 lakh tonnes in the crop season 2007-08 as compared with 270.20 lakh tonnes during the previous year. As potato prices were falling in most of the mandis, the sate government decided to implement MIS (market interference scheme) and deployed three of its agencies, viz., horticulture department, UP Agro limited and Pradeshik cooperative federation, to purchase one-lakh tonnes of potato directly from the farmers, but they failed achieve the target.

 

According to Karnataka Cashew Manufacturers’ Association (KCMA), the state has made a significant growth in cashew imports and exports, constituting more than 11 per cent of the total trade of the commodity in the year 2007-08. The cashew sector has been growing consistently at 15 to 20 per cent since last three years, in spite of the severe labour shortage in the state. As per the statistics report from New Mangalore Port, karnataka exported 11,139 tonnes of cashew kernels, and imported 69,850 tonnes of raw cashew nuts during 2007-08 against 10,529 tonnes of cashew kernels and 48,901 tonnes of raw cashew nuts traded last year, respectively. The total export of cashew kernel from the country during 2007-08, stood at 1.14 lakh tonnes as compared with 1.18 lakh tonnes of the previous year and import of raw cashew has stood at 6.05 lakh tonnes as against 5.86 lakh tonnes a year ago.

 

According to the estimates of the International Pepper Community (IPC) global production of pepper is expected to fall by 9,000-12,000 tonnes to 262,900 tonnes, including 45,100 tonnes of white pepper in 2008 as against that of 271,040 tonnes of last year. Output of pepper would fall in Vietnam to 86,000-100,000 tonnes. Indian pepper production is estimated to drop by 40,000-50,000 tonnes due to heavy summer showers. The average annual production of India is 55,000 tonnes. Malaysia is expected to produce 17,000 tonnes and all other producing countries like China , Sri Lanka , Cambodia , Thailand , Ecuador and Madagascar would have a total output of 42,000 tonnes. The output would be lower this year as compared with 2006 and 2007, indicating a shortage of spice during the latter half of the year.

 

The state government of Andhra Pradesh has issued an order, to ban fishing for two months this year, as against the usual 45 days before the onset of monsoon to enable the breeding of shrimp and other species, so that fisheries resources could be conserved. The imposition of ban has upset the local fishermen. So fishermen along with the associations have urged the state government to reduce the period of ban and provide them with a mone

 

Industry

A pick up in the index of industrial production has been seen during February 2008 as compared to February 2007. The growth in the index of industrial production during February 2008 at 8.6 is less than half that recorded in February 2007 (11.0 per cent). All the three major groups contributed for this pick up. As a result during the fiscal so far registered IIP index rose by 8.7 per cent as compared to 11.2 per cent last year. Mining sector and electricity sector grew by 7.5 per cent and 9.8 per cent during the month. The growth of manufacturing sector is at 8.6 per cent during February has been much below to that of 12.0 per cent recorded last February. Out of the 17 industries, two industries declined and eight industries registered double digit growth.. As per use-based classification, the sectoral growth rates in February 2008 over February 2007 are 7.3 per cent in basic goods industries, 10.4 per cent in capital goods and 8.2 per cent in intermediate goods. Consumer goods recorded an increase of 9.2 per cent.

 

Infrastructure

Riding on the back of good performance of coal, electricity and cement the index of six core infrastructure industries having a combined weight of 26.7 per cent in the index of industrial production with base 1993-94 registered an impressive growth of 8.7 per cent during February 2008 as compared to 7.6 per cent in February 2007. This impressive performance exhibited by  the  core industries in February 2008 resulting the core index registering a growth of 5.6 per cent during the fiscal so far as against 8.7 last year. All the six-core industries witnessed better performance during February 2008 compared to January 2008.. Thus refinery products, electricity, cement, steel and coal all contributed for the higher rate of growth.

 

Inflation

The annual rate of inflation calculated on a point-to-point basis, rose by 7.14 per cent for the week ended April 5,2008 as compared 6.44 per cent as on April 7,2007,2007.

Index of Primary Articles group rose by 0.4 per cent to 236.0 from 235.1 for the previous week. Food articles group rose by 0.6 per cent. Index of non-food articles declined by 0.1 per cent due to fall in prices of rape and mustard seed.

 

The index for the major group Fuel, Power, Light and Lubricants rose by 0.2 per cent to 342.0 due to higher prices of aviation turbine fuel.

Increase in the prices of many iron and steel items and food products pushed up the the

Manufactured products rose by 0.3 per cent  mainly due to higher prices of oil cakes and coconut oil.

 

The final WPI for all commodities had been revised upward from 219.4 to 218.1 for the week ended February 9,2008. As a result the rate of inflation calculated on a point-to-point basis stood at 4.98 per cent as compared to 4.35 per cent provisional.

 

Banking

Corporation Bank became the first public sector bank to launch National Electronic Funds Transfer (NEFT) through ATMs. This facility caters to the personal needs of individual debit cardholders, especially savings bank customers and will enable them to remit the required amounts within two hours. NEFT’s advantage is its interoperability between banks as the funds can be transferred to the beneficiaries’ accounts of any bank. Presently, 43,000 branches of scheduled commercial banks in India have NEFT facility. For instance, parents who hold CorpBank debit card can now remit money to their wards across the country almost instantaneously.

 

The RBI has announced a hike in bank’s cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points to 8 per cent. The hike would be effected in two phases of 25 basis points each, the first being in the fortnight beginning April 26 and the second on May 10. The CRR hike is expected to suck out Rs 18,500 crore from the system. CRR is the cash that banks maintain with the RBI as a percentage of their net deposits. 

 

Corporation Bank has launched its reverse mortgage loan scheme for senior citizens, called ‘Corp Shelter’. This scheme is available to borrowers of at least 60 years of age and married couples are also eligible as joint borrowers.

 

Mumbai-based Abhyudaya Co-operative Bank is likely to acquire three co-operative banks; Udipi-based Janta Co-operative Bank, Baroda-based, Shree Krishna Co-operative Bank and Ahmedabad-based Manekchowk Co-operative Bank. The acquisitions will be completed by end of June.

 

Financial Sector

Capital Markets

Primary Market

Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has sought clarifications from Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group on its proposed initial public offering (IPO) of Reliance Infratel, the telecom tower business arm. Clarifications have been sought on the company’s business operations, promoters and promoters group, scheme of arrangement and board of directors of Reliance Infratel. Reliance Infratel had been proposed to raise Rs 6,000 crore through the offer, with an issue of 8.91-crore shares, representing about 10.05 per cent equity in Reliance Infratel.                                                                                                                                

           

Secondary Market

With inflation slipping to 7.14 per cent for the week ending April 5 from the three-year high figure of 7.41 per cent in the previous week, key Indian equities indices managed to end the week on a positive note on Thursday. The 30-share Sensex of the Bombay stock exchange (BSE) ended at 16,481.20 points, surging 674 points or 4.26 per cent, while the S&P CNX Nifty of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) closed at 4,958.40 points gaining 181 points or 3.78 per cent. Following positive results posted by the IT giant Infosys, coupled with some positive news flow from the global Markets, Indian Markets have rallied for the entire three trading sessions in the week. The markets remain closed for trading on Friday on account of ‘Mahavir Jayanti’. Among the sectoral indices of BSE , IT was the highest gainer with 13 per cent followed by Teck with 9 per cent.

 

The BSE Small-Cap index gained 449.93 points or 5.56 per cent to 8,531.36.  Midcap stocks from banking, automobile, engineering, infrastructure, technology and fertiliser sectors surged ahead of large cap stocks on renewed buying interest at lower levels. TVS Motors was the top gainer among auto stocks, rising 15.3 per cent on account of short covering. Among the finance sector stocks, Kotak Mahindra Bank (up 12.5 per cent), IFCI (up 15.1 per cent) and Development Credit Bank (up 24.2 per cent) were outperformers on the creation of fresh long positions. Cement sector stocks were battered last week, with Ambuja Cement, Shree Cement , India Cements, ACC and UltraTech Cement declining around two per cent following fresh built-up in short positions.

 

Foreign institutional investors (FII) outflow in April 2008 totaled Rs 288.10 crore (till 15 April 2008). FII outflow in calendar year 2008 totaled Rs 11,720.90 crore (till 15 April 2008). Mutual funds (MF)s were net buyers of shares worth Rs 5 crore in this month, till 16 April 2008.

 

On April 16, 2008, SEBI decided to allow mutual funds to sell government securities contracted for purchase in the DVP-III mode. The SEBI board approved net settlement in government securities by mutual funds according to the guidelines issued by the RBI and also their participation in the when issued market. Under the net settlement, it is possible to sell debt market securities without actually giving delivery provided the transaction is guaranteed by Clearing Corp of India .  Taking a step forward towards development of the domestic debt market, the SEBI brought mutual funds (MFs) on a par with primary debt dealers, banks and insurance companies.

 

Short-selling in the equities market, which is to start from April 21, may be a slow

starter, with major domestic institutions like insurance companies and banks staying away from it. According to Section 6 of the Banking Regulation Act and the Securities Contract Regulation Act, banks are not allowed to short-sell. It will require an amendment to the Act if banks were to short-sell and RBI is not in favour of this. Even for lending and borrowing of equities to facilitate delivery-based short-selling, banks will require a separate provision from RBI. The Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (Irda) too is not in favour of insurance companies short-selling equities.  Irda is of the view that insurance companies cannot short-sell in the equity market as it amounts to speculation and the Act does not permit speculation with policyholders’ money.  However, it is in the process of framing guidelines for insurance companies to engage in lending and borrowing of stocks to earn on the idle portfolio.   

 

On April 17,2008, SEBI allowed institutional clients in the cash segment of the equity market to maintain their margin in the form of approved securities.  These approved securities cover any instrument under the Securities Contract and Regulation Act (SCRA). The market regulator has directed the stock exchanges to issue necessary guidelines to operationalise this.  Currently, the retail segment only pays the margin for both the cash and the derivative segments. Institutions only pay margin for the derivative segment. Margin payment by the institutions will be implemented from April 21, 2008. In a major relief, SEBI has permitted them to maintain their entire margin in the form of approved securities. SEBI had earlier asked institutional investors to deposit margins for trades carried out by them in the cash segment. The SEBI decision comes into effect from April 21. Institutional investors and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) in particular were opposed to the SEBI idea of levying margins on institutional trades in the cash segment. But the regulator’s argument was that when it was creating a level playing field by allowing FIIs and institutional investors to short-sell in line with retail shareholders, they should also cough up margins as paid by the retail shareholders. Earlier, SEBI has been expected to allow the deposit of at least 50 per cent of the securities held by institutional investors as margins against the exposure in the cash segment.

 

To prevent misuse of client collateral, SEBI has reiterated the need for brokers to maintain proper records of such collaterals.  SEBI has also directed brokers to issue a daily statement of collateral utilisation to the clients. The statement shall include details of collateral deposited, collateral utilised and collateral status (available balance/due from the client) with break-up in terms of cash, fixed deposit receipts (FDRs), bank guarantee and securities.  The market watchdog has also directed the brokers to produce records during inspections. These records will include the receipt of collateral from the client, the acknowledgement issued to the client on receipt of the collateral, client authorisation for deposit of the collateral with the exchange/clearing house, records of deposit of the collateral with exchange/clearing house, records of return of the collateral to the client and credit of corporate action benefits (issue of dividends, etc) to the client. 

 

Derivatives

The open interest in Nifty May futures stood at 100 lakh shares at the weekly close, up from 50 lakh shares last week. The Nifty May series contracts traded at a premium of five points over the Nifty April futures compared to a discount of two points, indicating the rollover of long positions. The rollovers in key Nifty stocks remained lukewarm, with Reliance Industries (8.8 per cent) and ICICI Bank (17.4 per cent) witnessed poor rollovers. The Nifty PCR declined to 1.17 from 1.25, indicating fresh call writing and short-covering in put options. The 4900 Put options OI rose by 150 per cent last week, indicating this as an immediate support level for the Nifty. Open interest in futures and options contracts on a stock is capped at 20 per cent of the free-float holding.

 

Government Securities Market

Primary Market

Under Market Stabilisation Scheme (MSS), RBI auctioned 6.57 per cent 2011, for the notified amounts of Rs.3,000 crore at the cut-off yields of 8.08 per cent on April 16, 2008.

 

On April 16, 2008, RBI auctioned 91-day and 182-day T-bills for the notified amounts of Rs.5,500 crore (out of which Rs.5,000 crore under MSS),and Rs.3,000 crore(out of which Rs.2,500 crore under MSS), respectively. The cut-off yields for 91-day and 182-day T-bills were 7.44 per cent and 7.60 per cent respectively.  

 

RBI increased the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points to 8.0 per cent in two stages i.e. 7.75 per cent effective from April 26, 2008 and 8.00 per cent effective from May 10, 2008.

 

Secondary Market

Inter bank call rates ended at 5.26-6.0 per cent, above the previous close of 4.53 – 5.54 per cent.  Bond yields momentum remained northward bound in thin trading during the week as weak sentiment overhung the markets. The weakness in the markets largely emanated from Reserve Bank of India ’s (RBI) signals in favour of a tight money regime. That came out in the form of a hike in cash reserve ratio or CRR. The hike by 50 basis points in two stages would become fully effective from May 10 this year and push the ratio to 8 per cent or to the same level it was till May 2001. The impact of the RBI’s message was evident from the low turnout at the weekend Liquidity Adjustment Facility. The recourse to the reverse repurchase window at the auction was only Rs 7,045 crore from 10 bidders. Trade volumes remained low during the week. Average daily trade volume was about Rs 2,600 crore.

        

Bond Market

Tata Power Company Ltd tapped the market by issuing bonds to mobilise Rs 300 crore by offering 10 per cent with a step-up of 10 bps for 10 years through book building. The bond has been rated AA by crisil and icra.

NABARD tapped the market by the issuance of NCD by offering 9.25 per cent with a step-up of 20 bps through book building for 3 years with put and call at the end of 2nd year for an amount of Rs 200 crore.  The bond has been rated AAA by crisil and care.

Kotak Mahindra Prime Ltd is tapping the market by the issuance of  bonds by offering 10.40 per cent for 126 monhts for an amount of Rs 25 crore.  The bond has been rated AA by crisil and icra.

SEBI is preparing a slew of major initiatives to kickstart the moribund corporate bond market, and will put out a detailed notification on the matter soon. SEBI and the RBI are also on the verge of an agreement on starting repos in corporate bonds. Major changes are also proposed in the corporate bond market to ensure robust trading and settlement. SEBI had earlier written to the apex bank seeking permission to start corporate bond repos. Among the conditions set by RBI were large volumes, straight-through processing, a robust clearing & settlement system and delivery versus payment mechanism. The SEBI notification will, apart from simplifying the procedure for corporate bond issuances by listed firms, also insist on them appointing debenture trustees. It will also mandate a transparent clearing & settlement system for such trading.

 

Foreign Exchange Market

Rupee maintained almost at the same level as the previous weekend at a steady exchange rate of Rs 39.94. The Rupee moved between Rs.39.94 and Rs.39.96 during the week. Overnight forward premia though remained firm at 2.82 per cent as a result of the arbitrage flows. Premia for one, three, six and 12 months also firmed to 2.10 per cent (2 per cent), 2.30 per cent (2.10 per cent) and 1.70 per cent (1.58 per cent) respectively.

 

Commodities Futures derivatives

The commodity market regulator Forward Markets Commission (FMC) may cap the single domestic entity ownership below 26 per cent to avoid dominant control by any single owner. The cap is 5 per cent in stock exchanges but there is no such limit at present in commodity bourses. According to sources, this will result in strategic participation by investors, who will exit for a better valuation. The single entity limit for stock exchanges cannot be replicated for commodity exchanges since they are in the early stages of development.

 

In line with a slew of fiscal measures taken by the government to check inflation, both the RBI and the FMC have got into action. In an attempt to curb hoarding of essential commodities, RBI may reduce the period of cash credit facility given by banks to companies and commodity traders. Under the proposed changes, the cash credit facility period may be cut to 15-30 days for essential and sensitive commodities. Meanwhile, FMC has already alerted commodity exchanges to report quotes and trading patterns of illiquid contracts on the futures market. As a long-term measure, FMC has suggested to the RBI that commodity exchanges are the ideal platform for trading in currency futures. RBI is in the process of introducing trading in currency futures in India . FMC has already approached the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) to allow mutual funds to trade in commodities, a move that could deepen the commodities market.  SEBI, in turn, has assured FMC that the matter could be looked into once the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2008, is passed. 

 

Traders are likely to get partial relief on the commodities transaction tax (CTT) proposed in the Budget. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is understood to have forwarded the proposal to his advisory council headed by C Rangarajan to review the tax. Brokers were quite unhappy with the tax as it is expected to impact liquidity and market-making, which are a must for a futures market. According to experts, the imposition of CTT, will make Indian exchanges the most expensive ones in the world in terms of transaction cost.  On London Metal Exchange, for example, the cost of transaction of a base metals forward contract is 5 paise to Rs 1.12 per lakh, while on the local commodity exchanges (MCX, NCDEX, NMCE), if CTT is imposed, it will cost Rs 19.25 per lakh.   

 

A long-awaited report on the impact of futures trading on agricultural commodity prices is likely to be submitted next week. The report, prepared by a committee headed by Planning Commission Member Abhijit Sen, has been circulated among its four members. The report, prepared by a committee headed by Planning Commission Member Abhijit Sen, has been circulated among its four members. The report is eagerly awaited, especially in light of recent concerns over the impact of futures trade on commodity prices. While there are reports that the government may ban futures trade in all agricultural commodities, the committee is unlikely to make such a suggestion, because its mandate was to study only the impact of futures on prices.

 

Insurance 

The Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (Irda) has penalised some state-owned general and a few private insurance companies for flouting norms. Irda has penalised some insurers up to Rs 5 lakh for not being able to meet the mandatory social sector obligations. Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance was penalised under Section of 102(b) of the Insurance Act, 1938 for opening offices without the permission of the regulator. Bajaj Allianz General Insurance was fined for violating the Irda Advertisement Regulations and Reliance General Insurance was fined for violating the provisions of Section 102 of the Act. Reliance was also asked to pay Rs 1.62 lakh for submitting late an application for the renewal of registration.

 

Corporate Sector

Bharti Retail, which has tied up with the world’s largest retailer, the US-based Wal Mart has launched its convenience stores in Ludhiana , marking the company’s foray into organized retailing.

 

State-owned Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals (GACL) has signed an agreement with Dow Europe GmbH to set up a 50:50 joint venture (JV) for manufacturing 2,00,000 tonne per annum (TPA) of chlorinated organics at Dahej (Gujarat). The JV will invest Rs 600 crore on the project.

 

Ultra Tech Cement, an Aditya Birla group company, is setting up a greenfield project at Mahuva, Bhavnagar district of Gujarat at an investment of Rs 3,000 crore. The company has earmarked about 2,500 acres of land for the Mahuva project. The cement project will have a capacity to produce 10,000 tonnes of cement daily.

 

The V N Dhoot-promoted Videcon Group is venturing into the wholesale cash & Carry business this fiscal. A separate division is planned to set up 60 Bolld Cash & Carry stores at an investment of Rs 2,000 crore over the next three years.

 

The construction division of Larsen & Toubro (L&T) has secured a Rs 2,000 crore order from Bombay Dyeing for development at the latter’s Textile Mills & Spring Mills complexes at Worli and Wadala in Mumbai.

 

Information Technology

Infosys consolidated profit after tax (PAT) increased by 9.2 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y) to touch Rs 1,249 crore. Its revenue went up by 20.4 per cent y-o-y to touch Rs 4,542 crore.

 

Zensar Technologies, the software wing of the RPG Group, is keenly looking towards Europe for an acquisition.

 

Telecom

Despite the government’s claims of an acute shortage of spectrum for GSM mobile services, the Department of Telecommunications (DoT) has cleared the release of 22 MHz to new telecom licences in Tamil Nadu. With this move, Tamil Nadu (including Chennai) will have over ten players. The state has about 20 million subscribers and accounts for over 10 per cent of the country’s GSM market. Venugopal Dhoot-promoted Datacom Solutions, Aditya Birla group company Idea Cellular, real-estate giant Unitech group and Mumbai-based Swan Telecom and the BPL group company Loop Telecom are being allocated 4.4 MHz of spectrum each to start operations.

 

Qualcomm, the global developer of wireless technologies and data solutions, will soon invest in Indian wireless communications and semiconductor start-up companies through its arm Qualcomm Ventures.

 

Macroeconomic Indicators

Table 1 : Index Numbers of Industrial Production (1993-94 =100)

Table 2 : Production in Infrastructure Industries (Physical Output Series)

Table 3: Procurment, Offtake and Stock of foodgrains

Table 4: Index Numbers of  Wholesale Prices (1993-94 = 100)

Table 5 : Cost of Living Indices

Table 6 : Budgetary Position of Government of India

Table 7 : Government Borrowing Programmes and Performance

Table 8 : Scheduled Commercial Banks - Business in India  

Table 9 : Money Stock : components and Sources

Table 10 : Reserve Money : Components and Sources

Table 11 : Average Daily Turnover in Call Money Market

Table 12 : Assistance Sanctioned and Disbursed by All-India Financial Institutions

Table 13 : Capital Market

Table 14 : Foreign Trade

Table 15 : India's Overall Balance of Payments

Table 16 : Foreign Investment Inflows  
Table 17 : Foreign Collaboration Approvals (Route-Wise)
Table 18 : Year-Wise (Route-Wise) Actual Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI/NRI)

Table 19 : NRI Deposits - Outstandings

Table 20 : Foreign Exchange Reserves

Table 21 : Indices REER and NEER of the Indian Rupee

Table 22 : Turnover in Foreign Exchange Market  
Table 23 : India's Template on International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity [As reported under the IMFs special data dissemination standards (SDDS)
Table 24 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Government Securities Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 25 : Inter-Catasegory Distribution of All Types of Trade in Government Securities Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 
Table 26 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Total Forex Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 27 : Inter-Category Distribution of Total Foreign Exchange Transactions Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 

 

Memorandum Items

CSO's Quarterly Estimates of GDP  

GDP at Factor Cost by Economic Activity

India's Overall Balance of Payments  

*These statistics and the accompanying review are a product arising from the work undertaken under the joint ICICI research centre.org-EPWRF Data Base Project.

LIST OF WEEKLY THEMES


 

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