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Current Economic Statistics and Review For the Week 
Ended July 19, 2008 (29th Weekly Report of 2008)

 

Theme of the week:

 

Issue and Management of Currency by Reserve Bank of India
Measures Regarding Torn and Mutilated Notes, Distribution of Coins and Various

Organizational Arrangements for Note Issue - IV *  

1.Introduction

 

Currency Management is a central banking function, which has a high degree of public credibility in India . It mainly involves issue and distribution of notes, issuing clean note to public and taking adequate measures to prevent forgeries. Our previous three notes dealt in detail with all the above subjects. In this note, it is proposed to give a brief idea about the RBI’s measures with regard to torn and mutilated notes and their exchange, distribution of coins on behalf of government, and other organisatonal matters 

2.Legal Backing for Note Isssue

The RBI has the power to do all the needful under the Reserve Bank of India Act 1934.

Preample of the Act vests the power for note issue with the RBI and Section 3 of the Act gives it powers for currency management.

RBI is the sole authority for the issue of currency in India in terms of Section 22 of the RBI Act 1934.

Section 38 of the Act prevents central government from putting into circulation rupee coins and small coins except through the Reserve  Bank.

Section 27 of the Act prevents the Bank from reissue of bank notes, which are torn, defaced or excessively spoiled.

Section 28 of the Act RBI prevents any person to recover from the central government or the Bank, the value of any lost, stolen, torn, mutilated or imperfect currency note of the Government of India or bank note as a matter of right.

Section 58 of the Act gives the Central Board of the RBI powers to make regulations consistent with this Act to provide for all matters for which provision is necessary or convenient for the   purpose of giving effect to the provision of this Act.

3. Exchange of Mutilated Notes

                The RBI is prevented from putting into circulation of torn, defaced or excessively soiled notes into circulation by the Act under Section 27 of RBI Act 1934,At the same time, Section 28 of the Act prevents any person to get value of a torn and mutilated note as a matter of right as explained above. However, the RBI may refund the value of such notes as a matter grace, under the circumstances enumerated in the Note Refund Rules to mitigate the inconvenience to the public. Accordingly the RBI, under Section 27 of the Act read with Section 58, framed RBI (Note Refund) Rules.

Given below are the important provisions of the RBI (Note Refund) Rules.

Rule 2: Definitions

Bank means the Reserve Bank of India constituted by the RBI Act, 1934.

Bank note means any note issued by the RBI, but does not include a Government note.

Essential features mean the features which are necessary for the identification of a note namely;

(i)                  the name of the issuing authority in Hindi or English, i.e., Reserve Bank of India or Government of India;

(ii)                the guarantee clause in Hindi or English;

(iii)               the promise clause in Hindi or English;

(iv)              the signature in Hindi or English;

(v)                the Ashoka Pillar emblem or the Mahatma Gandhi portrait; and

(vi)              the water mark of the Ashoka Pillar emblem or the Mahatma Gandhi portrait.

Essential features of a currency note have been enumerated with a view to making the application of Rule 9 easier. Definition should be read with Rules 9(1)(a) and 9(2)(a). If any one of the Hindi or the English versions of an essential feature is slightly damaged, but the other version is intact, the essential feature in question shall be deemed to be available on the note. In the case of watermark, minor damage should be ignored and in applying the rules, if a major portion of the watermark is identifiable, the watermark may be treated as being available.

Rule 3: Presentation and disposal of claims

A claim in respect of any note may be presented to the Issue Department of any office or any branch of the Bank . Currently public sector banks and designated branches of other banks having currency chests to accept and exchange mutilated notes are permitted to entertain claims.

Rule 4: Right to call for information or to hold enquiries

The prescribed officer can call for any information or hold any inquiry relating to any claim presented under these rules.

Rule 5: General Provisions

            A claim in respect of a note, which is alleged to have been stolen, shall not be entertained.

            Similarly, if the concerned officer is satisfied that a mutilated note presented to him is one which appears to have been cancelled at any office of the RBI or claim on which appears to have already been paid under these rules, may reject the claim on such note after making enquiries under Rule 4.

            A claim in respect of a note – which cannot be identified with certainty by the officer as a genuine note for which the RBI is liable under the Act or

which in the opinion of the officer has been made imperfect or has been mutilated, with a view to making it appear to be of a higher denomination, or has been deliberately cut, torn, defaced, altered or dealt with in any other manner, not necessarily by the claimants, with a view to establishing false claim under these rules otherwise to defraud the RBI or public, or 

            which carries any extrinsic words or visible representations intended to convey or capable of conveying any message of a political character, or

            which has been imported into India by the claimant from any place outside India , Bhutan and Nepal in contravention of the provision of the law, or

            in respect of which value is payable by some other authority, or

in relation to which any information requested by the officer is not furnished with in 3 months

In all the above cases the claim will be rejected.

Rule 7: Imperfect Notes

An Imperfect Note means any currency note, which is wholly or partially obliterated, altered or undecipherable but does not include a mutilated note. The value of such note can be paid if the prescribed officer is satisfied that it is a genuine note from the available and decipherable printed matter of the note. This rule is applicable only to notes, which appear entire but are wholly or partially obliterated. Eg.  Washed notes

Rule 9: Mutilated Note

Mutilated Note means a note of which portion is missing or which is composed of pieces.

Presently note in two pieces having number(s) intact  is classified as a soiled note

Rule 9.1: The value of a mutilated note of a denomination of one thousand rupees or less, on which the number is printed at one place only (mainly Re.1, Rs.2 and Rs.5 ) , may be paid, if –

a)      the note presented is in one or two pieces, all features , even if partially , are present and complete undivided number is available on one piece.

b)      the note is in one piece or in more than one piece, complete undivided number is available in one piece, and the piece on which full number is available is not less than half the are of the note

c)      the note is in pieces, major portion of the number is available in an undivided area on one of the pieces and all the pieces belong to the same note.

Before rejecting the claim of a particular note these three rules are applied one after another.

Claim will be rejected in the following circumstances

(i)                  only one piece is presented and it is of an area less than half the area of a note Rule 9(1)(b)

(ii)                note in pieces and major portion of the number is not identifiable in an undivided area on one of the pieces Rule 9(1)(c)

(iii)               note is in pieces and none of the pieces cannot be identified as belonging to the same note  Rule 9(1)(c)

(iv)              note is in pieces and the pieces can be identified as belonging to the same note, but the pieces presented together form an area less than half the area of the note Rule 9(1)(c).

Rule 9 (2): The value of a mutilated note of a denomination of one thousand rupees or less, on which the number is printed at two places, only (mainly Rs.10, 20,50,100,500 and 1000), may be paid, if –

(a)    the note presented is not more than  two pieces, all features  are present and both the pieces can be identified as belonging to the same note and complete number can be identified in an undivided area at each of the two pieces at which it is printed

(b)   note is in one piece or in more than one piece, major portion of the number is available at both the places on one undivided piece, and the piece is not less than three-fourth the area of the note.

(c)    note is in pieces, major portion of the number is available in an undivided area at both the places even if in two separate pieces and all the pieces taken together form not less than half the area of the note.

Before rejecting the claim of a particular note these three rules are applied one after another.

Rule 9 (3): Half the face value of a mutilated bank note of a denomination of one thousand rupees or less on which the number is printed at two places may be paid, if the piece, or one of the pieces presented, has an undivided area which is not less than half the area of the note and a major portion of the number can also be identified on such piece at least at one of the places at which it is printed.

It has been found that there has been a drastic decline in the exchange under note refund rule in recent period. This decline is interalia due to RBI’s decision to redefine a note in 2 pieces as a soiled note which was hither to treated as mutilated note for exchange across counters of the issue office and bank branches.

4. Issue of the Rupee Notes and Coins and Small Coin

Statutory provisions governing issue of coins are laid down in the Indian Coinage Act 1906 and the coins are issued by Central Government. Though the one rupee coins /notes and subsidiary coins are issued by the government, they are put into circulation by government under the proviso of Section 38 of the RBI Act 1934 only through the RBI, thereby keeping the inviolability of the RBI as the sole authority for the issue of coins and notes.

            The currency of India consists of one rupee notes and coins and small (subsidiary) coins both issued by Government of India and the currency notes issued by the RBI. The minting of Rupee coins is governed by the Coinage Act 1906, while the rupee note is issued under the Currency Ordinance, 1940. Small coins, that is, coins of value less than one rupee, are also issued under the provisions of the Coinage Act.

            System of decimal coinage was introduced on April1, 1957, with the rupee continuing to be the monetary unit of the currency equivalent to 100 paise. The subsidiary coins are in the denominations of 1,2,3,5,10, 20,25 and 50 paise. Prior to this a rupee is divided into 16 annas or an anna into 12 pies (192 pies in all). Government of India is responsible for minting and supply of coins to the RBI. Bank acts as the agent of central government for distribution, issue and handling of the coins or for withdrawing and remitting them back to government as may be necessary. Government of India is required to supply to the RBI coins on demand to enable the later to provide facilitates for exchanging notes into coins. If government fails to meet the requirement, the RBI will be released from its obligation to supply coins to the public. Coins are not liabilities of the RBI. In fact one rupee coins can be held in issue department as eligible assets. But subsidiary coins cannot be kept as asset of the issue department. However, both Re coin and small coins can be kept as asset in Banking department.

The RBI has set up small coin depots/sub depots along with currency chest to store small coins for exchange. The coins in depot are the property of the Government of India and any transaction are debited or credited to the government account as the case may be.

As on June 30, 2007 there are 4,042 small coin depots/sub-depots along the length and breadth of the country. On that date the value of small coins was Rs.1,367  crore . With a view to supplementing the efforts of the banking network in distribution of coins, the RBI, at time sought the help of post offices, state run transport etc.

Table 1: Denomination-Wise Coin Circulation

End-Mar

Small Coins

Re. 1

Rs.2

Rs.5

Total

No of pieces in Million

2001

49667

16956

4070

3088

73781

 

(67.3)

(23.0)

(5.5)

(4.2)

(100.0)

2004

54102

20565

6272

5071

86013

2005

54051

17896

6449

5238

83631

2006

54115

18730

6684

5289

84918

2007

54227

22878

7441

5761

90357

 

(60.0)

(25.3)

(8.2)

(6.4)

(100.0)

Value in Rs. crore

2001

1188

1696

814

1544

5242

 

(22.7)

(32.4)

(15.5)

(29.5)

(100.0)

2004

1353

2057

1255

2536

7201

2005

1353

1790

1290

2619

7052

2006

1357

1873

1337

2645

7212

2007

1367

2288

1486

2881

8021

 

(17.0)

(28.5)

(18.5)

(35.9)

(100.0)

Note: Figures in brackets are percent to total

Source: RBI (2007), RBI Annual Report 2006-07

The denomination wise number of coins and value of coins are depicted in Table 1. It can be seen from there that there is fall in small coins which consists mainly of 1,2,3,5,10,20,25 and 50 paise both in volume and value mainly because of no demand of coins of small denominations such as 5,10,20 paise. Consequently, it has been decided to phase out such coins from circulation. Banks have been directed to accept and remit these coins to government mint, as there was a reverse flow of coins. Further, in response to complains from public regarding non-acceptance of coins at bank branches the RBI advised all banks to accept coins of all denominations and also made arrangements with government of India mint to take back coins in excess of public demand.  .

Offices of the Reserve Bank have been accepting coins in bulk quantity by weight for the sake of convenience of the public and bank branches. Banks have been directed to implement this measure. Polythene pouches are being made available at some of the bank branches to pack 100 coins for quick and smooth service to the public.

5. Growth of ATMs and Demand for Higher Denomination Banknotes

Ever since the first automated teller machine (ATM) was introduced in the late 1960s, the usage of ATM has grown exponentially. The cash dispenser and the ATMs have gradually become the electronic face of banking. It is estimated that there are 49 billion cash withdrawals worldwide through ATMs in a year.

Foreign banks in India were the first to introduce experimental ATMs in 1988. Usage picked up in the 1990s. Although a number of services are offered through fully functional ATMs, about 98 per cent people use the ATM primarily for withdrawing cash. Banks have devised competitive strategies around the ATMs, recognising that ATMs can be a potent source of value added service to consumers through access to banking services at any time and at a large number of outlets, thereby increasing customer convenience as well as cost effectiveness in banking functions.

With the increase in the usage of ATMs, a shift has taken place towards stocking higher denomination banknotes - particularly Rs.100 and Rs.500 denominations - as banks do not find it commercially viable to stock the machines with all denominations of banknotes. Lower denomination banknotes run out sooner and increase both capital cost and operating costs. The Reserve Bank has accordingly been facing an increasing demand for fresh banknotes in Rs.500 and Rs.100 denominations. In the context of the increased demand for ATM-fit banknotes, emphasis has been laid on banks using desktop sorters to salvage good quality banknotes

6.Computerization of Currency Management

The Reserve Bank has taken up the task of putting in place an Integrated Computerized Currency Operations and Management System (ICCOMS) in the issue department of all regional offices and in the central office. Computerization will cover issue accounting, resource planning and distribution of currency, cash department operations, note exchange counters in Issue department, claims section, currency chest reporting and management information systems in the Regional and Central Offices.  The project also includes computerization and networking of the currency chests with the Reserve Bank’s offices to facilitate prompt, efficient and error-free reporting and accounting of the currency chest transactions and seamless flow of information between issue department and the central office in a secured manner with proactive monitoring.

All offices of the Reserve Bank commenced 'live-run' on the Currency Chest Reporting System (CCRS) and the Chest Accounting Module (CAM) of ICCOMS-ID component. Once these two components are completed, the Currency Management Information System (CMIS) Module at the Department of Currency Management (DCM) at the Central Office of the Reserve Bank will be taken up for implementation, the testing for which has already begun.

It is expected that the IT initiatives taken by the banks for computerisation of branch operations coupled with the advances in the communication facilities in the country will provide the necessary environment for successful implementation of the system across all banks and all over the country.

The progress of the system is being closely monitored. Parallel run has started in Belapur and Mumbai offices. Workshops have already been conducted for all offices to provide a first hand knowledge of the Currency Chest Reporting System (CCRS). The CCRS module is being rolled out parallel in phases in all Issue Offices and is expected to be completed in all offices by August 2006. All modules pertaining to ICCOMS are likely to be completed by September 2006. Thereafter, the MIS module for Department of Currency Management (DCM) shall be implemented. The entire project is expected to be in place and operational by December 2006.

The Reserve Bank has taken up the task of putting in place an Integrated Computer ised Currency Operations and Management System (ICCOMS) with a view to ushering in greater operational efficiency, improved customer service and providing decision support tools for policy making in the area of currency management. The project includes computerisation and networking of the currency chests with the Reserve Bank’s offices to facilitate prompt, efficient and error-free reporting and accounting of the currency chest transactions in a secure manner. The system will provide a uniform computing platform across all the Regional Offices for transaction processing, accounting and management information systems relating to currency. It would lead to migration from the existing computer systems used for the Issue accounting functions.

7. Automation in Currency Chests

Banks have been advised to provide, in a time-bound manner, note sorting machines of appropriate capacity at currency chest branches for proper sorting of banknotes and identification of suspect banknotes. These note sorting machines will help: (i) mitigate the circulation of counterfeit banknotes through the banking channel; (ii) ensure that only non-issuable banknotes are sent to the Reserve Bank while re-issuable banknotes are sent to the public; and (iii) facilitate smooth processing of banknotes in the Reserve Bank. Out of a total of 4,428 currency chests, 4,292 currency chests are maintained by various banks and rest are with State Treasury Offices (STOs) and the Reserve Bank. Of the 4,292 currency chests maintained by the banks, 2,027 currency chests have so far been equipped with note sorting machines and orders have been placed in respect of 2,087 currency chests. The position is being monitored in the remaining 178 currency chests.

Out of the banks having less than 100 currency chests, 12 public sector banks and 17 private sector banks have mechanised their currency chests fully. The Reserve Bank is closely monitoring the progress made by various banks.

8. Currency Link on the Reserve Bank Website

The Reserve Bank has set up a 'Currency Link', in its website, which covers various aspects related to Indian currency and coinage, images and security features of contemporary banknotes in Mahatma Gandhi series, frequently asked questions (FAQs) and press releases on currency issue. The Master Circular on note exchange facility has been placed on the Reserve Bank website for wider dissemination of information among the public.

The Reserve Bank has taken up the task of establishing a Monetary Museum in Mumbai with display and archival facilities of contemporary and ancient monetary artifacts and coins for preserving and educating the public about the currency history in India . The work of fabrication and installation of the Museum has been entrusted to the National Institute of Design, Ahmedabad, who have prepared the design layout for the Museum. The website for the proposed Monetary Museum has now been made a part of the Reserve Bank website.

9.Reserve Bank Monetary Museum

The President of India Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam inaugurated the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Museum on November 18, 2004. The Reserve Bank’s Monetary Museum aims at documenting, preserving and presenting India ’s monetary heritage. The Museum was opened to the public from January 1, 2005. The Museum is the first of its kind in the country and aims at depicting the history of currency and the evolution of money in India . The Museum exhibits collections of Indian coinage, paper currency as well as financial instruments and curiosities down the ages. The exhibits on display have been selected so as to give a feel of the objects that have served as money at various points of time. The main exhibit sections of the Museum relate to concepts, ideas and curiosities; coinage; from coins to banknotes and advent of banking in India ; paper currency; financial instruments; the Reserve Bank’s functions; and currency management.

 

The entire display has been divided into self-contained thematic modules. The coinage section spans a period going back from the early issues of punched marked coins in the sixth century B.C. to the contemporary Republic of India coins. The notes on display date from the early nineteenth century and consist of notes issued by private and semi-government banks, the Government of India and the Reserve Bank. The section on Financial Instruments depicts hundies, cheques and promissory notes, used in India . The Museum also houses portraits of Governors of the Reserve Bank.

10. Brief Note on Star Series Banknotes

Genuine banknotes bear a distinctive serial number along with a prefix. The prefix consists of a numeral and a letter depending upon the banknote denomination. Banknotes up to Rs.20 denomination have two numerals and one alphabet as prefix while banknotes of Rs.50 and above denominations have one numeral and two alphabets as prefix. Fresh banknotes issued by the Reserve Bank, at present, are serially numbered. The notes are issued in packets containing 100 pieces. In the existing system, the banknotes/packets with defects related to printing, numbering and wrong cuts are replaced at press level with good re-numbered (same number) banknotes to maintain the sequential numbering of banknotes in a packet. This procedure involves additional time/cost and manual intervention.

Adoption of star series concept would imply that a fresh banknote packet which, at present, contains banknotes numbered from 1 to 100 may contain 100 pieces that are not serially numbered from 1 to 100. The packet would still contain 100 pieces but one or more pieces in the packet may have a different number containing the star series notes. This system would help in streamlining procedures and reducing manpower deployed in replacement activity.

Star series banknotes, to begin with, will be issued in Rs.10, Rs.20 and Rs.50 denominations and will look exactly like the existing banknotes in the Mahatma Gandhi series but will have an additional character viz., * (Star) in the number panel between the prefix and the serial number. The bands of the fresh note packets containing the star series numbered note/s will clearly indicate the presence of such banknotes in the packets. The packets with star series notes will, as usual, have 100 pieces but not in serial order. The quantitative correctness of these packets can be verified with the help of note counting machines provided at the counters by banks. It may be mentioned that the serially numbered banknotes are available only in fresh banknote packets. The majority of the public/users of cash receive re-issuable banknotes, which are not serially numbered. Star series banknotes will be legal tender. Adequate publicity in Hindi, English and regional languages through print/electronic media is being given to this effect.

11. Customer Service

Efforts were continued to provide timely and efficient customer service not only at the Reserve Bank Offices but also at bank branches. The Reserve Bank stepped up efforts to improve customer services in the issue of coins, acceptance of coins from public and exchange of soiled and mutilated notes. The Reserve Bank introduced a single window customer service at its Issue Offices under which coins and notes of all denominations are either issued or accepted at one counter. Similarly, mutilated notes are accepted in a Drop Box (even beyond normal banking hours) without any limit. The Reserve Bank continue to reiterate its directions to all scheduled commercial banks to issue coins and, accept coins and soiled banknotes in transactions or for exchange without any restriction. Adequate availability of coins in circulation was thus ensured. Offices where demand for coins has picked up were advised to arrange for coin camps at identified locations in consultation with banks. The Reserve Bank also revised the Citizens’ Charter and placed the same on its website.

The Regional Offices of the Reserve Bank took several initiatives for distribution of coins by installing coin vending machines in the banking hall of the Issue Departments as also by encouraging banks in their jurisdiction to install such machines in their premises. The Regional Offices continued with the practice of sending coin bags to city centres to distribute coins directly to the public.

A noteworthy development in this regard in 2003-04 was the constitution of a Committee on Procedures and Performance Audit on Public Services (Chairman: Shri S.S. Tarapore) to study, inter alia, services relating to individuals (non-business) on currency management. The recommendations of the Committee on Procedures and Performance Audit on Public Services (CPPAPS) have been accepted for implementation.

Committee on Procedures and Performance Audit on Public Services

The major recommendations of the Committee, which have been accepted by the Reserve Bank, are:

Transparency in currency management;

Early introduction of Rs.10 coin;

Phasing out of Rs.5 note totally;

Currency Chest Agreement to be revised to incorporate a provision for monetary penalty for non-compliance with the Reserve Bank’s instructions;

A Systems Study of Banking Hall arrangements in the Mumbai Office of the Reserve Bank to be commissioned with the help of a specialised agency to resolve the bottlenecks in the smooth flow of transactions;

Suitable measures to separate location/time for services to money changers and other individuals;

Citizens’ Charter for Currency Exchange Facilities be made available to customers visiting the Banking

Halls of the Reserve Bank offices and bank branches;

Authorised bank branches to exhibit prominently a notice that soiled/mutilated currency notes are freely exchanged at the bank branch;

Reserve Bank Note Refund Rules to be written in easily understandable language;

The practice of pasting of mutilated notes at the time of tendering for exchange should be reviewed by the Reserve Bank; and

Stringent action to be taken against violation of instructions by banks on exchanging soiled/ mutilated notes.

All Issue offices have implemented the major recommendations of the Committee on Procedures and Performance Audit on Public Services (Chairman: Shri S.S. Tarapore) on services relating to individuals on currency management.

* This note has been prepared by R.Krishnaswamy

 

References:

1 GOI (1980), The Reserve Bank of India Act 1934 (Act No.2 of 1934)

2 RBI (1980), RBI (Note Refund) Rules, 1975 (as amended up to 1980)

3 RBI (1983), RBI Functions and Working

4 RBI (2004),‘Committee on Procedures and Performance Audit on Public Services’, May.

5 RBI (2007), RBI Annual Reports 2006-07 and previous issues

* This not has been prepared by R.Krishnaswamy

 

Highlights of  Current Economic Scene

AGRICULTURE  

Sowing of paddy in the on-going kharif season has risen by 23 per cent to 14.88 million hectares as on July 17, 2008 as against 12.1 million hectares in the same period last year. This is mainly due to increase in area under coverage in the states like Uttar Pradesh from 14.54 lakh hectares to 36.41lakh hectares, Bihar (7.23 to 9.1) and Chhattisgarh (17.29 to 21.48). The coverage under oilseed has also increased marginally to 10.1 million hectares as against 9.9 million hectares a year ago. Among oilseeds, soyabean acreage has increased to about 6.5 million hectares as against 5.4 million hectares last year. However, area under groundnut has declined to 2.69 million hectares as compared with 3.04 million hectares in the same period last year. Acreage under pulses has remained unchanged at 4.19 million hectares as against 4.18 million hectares a year ago. The coverage under cotton and sugar has hit badly due to abnormal monsoon in certain parts of the country. Sown area under cotton has dipped to 5.80 million hectares as against 6.9 million hectares in the corresponding period last year, with major crisis being noticed in Maharashtra due to shortage of rainfall. Similarly, sugarcane acreage declined to 4.31 million hectares as compared with 5.28 million hectares in the year-ago period.

All India Fair Price Shop Dealers’ Federation (AIFPSDF) has requested Union Minister of Agriculture to raise allotments of wheat for Public Distribution System over and above what is being currently allotted under the Targeted Public Distribution System (TPDS) for the states. This request has been made in the wake of the newspaper reports recently quoting Mr Pawar saying that the Centre is contemplating to release 6 million tonnes of wheat in the open market through the state governments.

Five new sugar mills in Uttar Pradesh are likely to begin crushing in 2008-09 season taking the total number of sugar mills functioning in the state would to 137 from 132. However, these new sugar mills are slated to close down from October 2008 once the crushing gets over. The leading sugar producers of the state, namely, Birla and Balrampur groups are setting up these sugar mills. This year, the state has recorded the substantial plunge in sugarcane acreage and production due to litigation over cane payment and seasonal demand supply fluctuations. The total sugarcane acreage for 2008-09 has been estimated at 2.25 million hectares, down form last year’s 2.5 million hectares. The average sugarcane yield in the state is about 56 tonnes per hectare and by this average the total production in 2008-09 crushing season is estimated at 126 million tonnes as against 160 million tonnes last year.

 

Table2.3: Imports of various oil during

Nov-Oct 2007-08

(in tonnes)

Year

Refined

Oil

Crude Palm

Oil

Soyabean

(degummed)

Crude Kernal

Palm Oil

Total

Nov

30,014

314,611

-

1,700

347,320

Dec

12,019

253,923

7,500

-

276,782

Jan

5,999

366,353

83,750

1,499

457,601

Feb

23,283

322,576

81,634

1,499

430,992

Mar

10,395

355,559

55,232

500

421,686

Apr

11,257

295,874

-

1,498

309,629

May

19,386

265,945

7,000

-

302,345

June

92,846

334,816

120,030

2,509

550,201

Sources: SEA

According to Solvent Extractors Association (SEA), imports of edible oil and non-edible oil in India have jumped by 12 per cent during eight months of the oil year (November - October) 2007-08 ended on June 30, 2008. Vegetable oil imports in the country has increased to 35 million tonnes as compared with 31 million tonnes during the same period a year ago, during the same period..  Overall shipments of edible oil and non edible oil so far during the current oil year (November 2007-October 2008) have been higher by 13 per cent, at 30 million tonnes as against 27 million tonnes and 5 per cent at 4,70,567 tonnes as against 4,50185 tonnes last year, respectively. The imports of vanaspati that had registered the record of 250,000 - 300,000 tonne through official and illegal imports through Sri Lanka last year, is likely to shrink this year to 50,000 tonnes as import duty on crude edible oil has been brought down to `nil’ thereby, avoiding illegal imports. Imports had slowdown, during April - May 2008, as a result pipelines were dried up, owing to which imports were undertaken heavily in the month of June to 593,730 tonnes as compared to 590,552 tonnes in June 2007. The main reason for the rise in imports were lean crushing season and rise in demand from the middle-income group driven by increase in their income levels. The import is likely to be around 550,000 to 600,000 tonnes per month for next 3 to 4 months, untill new kharif oilseed crops is available for crushing.

 

According to Soyabean Processors Association of India, soyameal exports from the country are likely to breach 50,00,000 tonnes mark this season, surging by 45 per cent from last year, on the back of strong demands from overseas countries such as China , Japan and Indonesia . In value terms, exports would be around Rs 7,000 crore during this season. Initially, the target for exports of soyameal was fixed at 47,00,000 tonnes which is expected to be achieved easily, so it has been reset at 51,00,000 tonnes for the period (October- September 2007-08). Soyameal exports in October 2007 to June 2008 have already touched 43,22,000 tonnes as against 31,79,000 tonnes in the corresponding period of the last season, It is expected that during the period July-September 2008, exports of soyameal would be about 250,000 tonnes per month. Up to May 2008, country has exported Rs 5,917 crore worth of soyameal as against Rs 3,619 crore in the entire season of 2006-07.

 

Traders and Industrial Official have reiterated that poor monsoon in Maharashtra has forced farmers to resow the crop and has raised concerns over prospects of a record oilseed output. Of the total area under soyabean, nearly around 20-25 per cent is expected to be resown, as most of the seeds have dried up due to lack of water.  Maharashtra is second largest soybean growing state in the country. Soyabean production in the state this year is estimated to be at 4 million tonnes as against 3.2 million tonnes last year. India produced 9.99 million tonnes of soybean last year, of which Madhya Pradesh alone produced over 5 million tonnes from 4.7 million hectares farmland. Area under soybean cultivation in Maharashtra is projected to increase by 15 per cent this kharif season (Jun-Sep), as farmers got higher returns for their produce last year. Maharashtra , Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh are the main oilseed producing states, which have been affected by irregular monsoon showers. If there is no rain in the near future, the output is expected to decrease.

 

Potato production in West Bengal this year is pegged at 88,00,000 tonnes, an increase of almost 25 per cent over last years' crop of 70,00,000 tonnes. The local requirement of potato is close to 40 lakh metric tonne. So, West Bengal Cold Storage Association has asked Indian railway for some special concessions for bulk transport of potato crop to southern states like Kerala and Andhara Pradesh, as the state is facing an oversupply of potatoes, this year. Further, association has demanded the withdrawal of rebooking system for long distance and special discount on the booking rate.

 

Erratic rainfalls in the coffee-growing areas of Karnataka are likely to affect the crop in 2008-09. Lack of rains and low moisture level has not only made these areas dry but also has made the crop vulnerable to leaf rust disease and white stem borer (WSB) attacks. Water table and other non-coffee farming activities in the state are also likely to get affected. If these regions do not get rainfall then it may result in failure to meet the post blossom estimates of 293,000 tonnes. The International Coffee Organisation (ICO) has estimated that the global production in 2008-09 would be around 128 million bags as compared with 118 million bags in 2007-08. Consumption during 2007 is estimated to be around 122.7 million bags and likely to remain unchanged in 2008.

 

Agricultural and Export Development Authority (APEDA) would place traceability system for pomegranate, mango and other organic products by the end of the financial year 2009, enabling importers to trace the origin and level of pesticide residue in Indian farm products. This system was introduced in 2006 for grapes after European Union raised concerns over the level of pesticides in Indian grapes. Under the pilot grapenet (internet based Residue traceability software system, for monitoring fresh grapes exported from India to the European Union), have covered 40,000 farmers from Maharashtra .

 

According to the national executive member of Mango Growers Association, early monsoon in Uttar Pradesh has not only damaged the Dusssheri mango crop but has also changed the shape of the traditional Dussheri besides changing its colour to black. This fruit has failed to meet their export commitments to oversea countries like Gulf , Malaysia , Singapore and Hong Kong . The export orders were for 10 lakh tonnes this year but mango growers have been able to meet only 30 per cent of the order. In the wholesale market, Dussheri mango has been sold at Rs 6 to 8 per kg, which is lowest since last five years, due to poor quality of the produce.

Indigenous ammonium sulphate has been brought under the subsidy (concession) scheme with an effect from July 1, 2008. Under this scheme the maximum retail price (MRP) of this fertiliser would be at Rs 10,350 per tonne. Before this notification, ammonium sulphate was ruling around Rs 19,000 per tonne at market level. Under the subsidy scheme triple super phosphate (TSP) from decontrolled phosphatic and potassic fertilisers would have an MRP of Rs 7,460 per tonne from April 1, 2008. Monthly concession for indigenous and imported TSP would be based on the average of low and high f.o.b. prices of TSP published in the Fertiliser Market Bulletin (FBM) plus the freight for the previous month or the actual weighted average of the landed price for the month under consideration, whichever is lower.

 

According to Abare, Australia’s independent agriculture and research economics agency, global coarse grain production is likely to be around 1.1 billion tonnes in 2008-09, even though corn production is estimated to decline by 15 million tonnes (mt) to 775 million tonnes. Corn accounts for over 70 per cent of the world coarse grain production. The decline in corn production would offset by 8 million tonnes of increase in barley production, the second major coarse grain.  Production of barely is projected to be 142 million tonnes during 2008-09.The areas under corn in the US is forecast to decline by 7 per cent to 41 million hectares in 2008-09. Despite this decline, the largest area would be covered under corn in the US . There would be upward pressure on global coarse grain prices during 2008-09 (September-August) owing to strong demand for coarse grains, especially for corn as feedstock for ethanol production. Corn prices are forecast to increase by US $11 per tonne to an average US $225 per tonne f.o.b Gulf . Consumption of global coarse grains is likely to remain constant at 1.1 billion tonnes. Though demand for livestock feed is projected to fall, it could be offset by rise in demand for industrial purposes, such as ethanol production.

Industry

Index of Industrial Production (IIP) with base 1993-94 for the month of May 2008 registered a growth of 3.8% higher as compared to the level in the month of May 2007. The cumulative growth for the period April-May 2008-09 stands at 5.0% over the corresponding period of the pervious year.

The Mining, Manufacturing and Electricity sectors for the month of May 2008 registered growth rates of 5.2%, 3.9% and 2.0%, respectively, as compared to May 2007. The cumulative growth during April-May, 2008-09 over the corresponding period of 2007-08 in the three sectors have been 5.6%, 5.3% and 1.7% respectively, which moved the overall growth in the General Index to 5.0%.

In terms of industries, as many as eleven (11) out of the seventeen (17) industry groups (as per 2-digit NIC-1987) have shown positive growth during the month of May 2008 as compared to the corresponding month of the previous year. The industry group ‘Beverages, Tobacco and Related Products’ have shown the highest growth of 31.1%, followed by 12.3% in ‘Transport Equipment and Parts’ and 9.5% in ‘Basic Chemicals & Chemical Products (except products of Petroleum & Coal)’. On the other hand, the industry group ‘Wood and Wood Products; Furniture and Fixtures’ have shown a negative growth of 30.7% followed by 10.4% in ‘Rubber, Plastic, Petroleum and Coal Products’ and 9.0% in ‘Jute and Other Vegetables Fibre Textile (except Cotton)’.

As per Use-based classification, the Sectoral growth rates in May 2008 over May 2007 are 3.0% in Basic goods, 2.5% in Capital goods and 1.2% in Intermediate goods. The Consumer durables and Consumer non-durables have recorded growth of 4.4% and 8.1% respectively, with the overall growth in Consumer goods being 7.2%.

Infrastructure

The Index of Six core-infrastructure industries having a combined weight of 26.7 per cent in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) (base 1993-94) registered a growth of 3.5% (provisional) in May 2008 compared to a rise of 7.8 % in May 2007.  During April-May 2008-09, the growth of 3.5% (provisional) was almost half to that of 6.9% during the corresponding period of the previous year.

Crude Oil production (weight of 4.17% in the IIP) registered a growth of 3.2% (provisional) in May 2008 compared to a negative growth rate of 1.6% in May 2007. The Crude Oil production registered a growth of 2.1% (provisional) during April-May 2008-09 as against a decline of 0.1% during the same period of 2007-08.

Growth in Petroleum refinery production  (weight of 2.00% in the IIP) at 0.1% (provisional) in May 2008 is miniscule compared to growth of 14.9% in May 2007. The Petroleum refinery production registered a growth of 2.1% (provisional) during April-May 2008-09 compared to 15.0% during the same period of 2007-08.

Impressive growth of 8.3 per cent in coal (weight of 3.2% in the IIP) in May 2008 compared to growth rate 0.5% in May 2007 has been the only silver lining in an otherwise bleak performance.. Coal production grew by 9.3% (provisional) during April-May 2008-09 compared to an increase of 0.5% during the same period of 2007-08. 

Electricity generation (weight of 10.17% in the IIP) registered a growth of 2.0% (provisional) in May 2008 compared to a growth rate 9.3% in May 2007. Electricity generation grew by 1.7% (provisional) during April-March 2008-09 compared to 9.0% during the same period of 2007-08.

Cement production (weight of 1.99% in the IIP) registered a growth of 3.8% (provisional) in May 2008 compared to 9.9% in May 2007. Cement Production grew by 5.4% (provisional) during April-March 2008-09 compared to an increase of 7.8% during the same period of 2007-08.

Finished (carbon) Steel production (weight of 5.13% in the IIP) registered a growth of 5.2% (provisional) in May 2008 compared to 8.4% (estimated) in May 2007. Finished (carbon) Steel production grew by 4.5% (provisional) during April-May 2008-09 compared to an increase of 5.6% during the same period of 2007-08.

 

Inflation

The annual rate of inflation, calculated on point to point basis, stood at 11.91 percent for the week ended 05/07/2008 to 4.61 percent as on 07/07/2007) i.e. a year ago.  

The index of primary articles, major group primary articles declined by 0.1 percent to 246.1 (Provisional) from 246.4 (Provisional) for the previous week mainly due to due to lower prices of fruits & vegetables (1%). However, the prices of tea (2%) and maize, masur and moong (1 % each) moved up.  

The index fuel,power,light and lubricants  rose by 0.5 percent to 376.3(Provisional) from 374.4 (Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of naphtha (8%), light diesel oil (7%), furnace oil (6%), aviation turbine fuel (5%) and bitumen (2%). However, the prices of liquefied petroleum gas (5%) declined. 

The price index of manufactured products increased by 0.3 percent to 205.4(Provisional) from 204.8(Provisional) for the previous week.

 The index for 'Food Products' group declined by 0.5 percent to 211.2 (Provisional) from 211.3 (Provisional) for the previous week due to lower prices of bran (all kinds) (6%) and salt and oil cakes (1% each).  However, the prices of rice bran oil and maida (2% each) and cotton seed oil, atta, coconut oil, imported edible oil and gingelly oil (1% each) moved up.

The index for 'Textiles' group rose by 0.1 percent to 139.8 (Provisional) from 139.6 (Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of hessian cloth and hessian & sacking bags (2% each) and texturised yarn (1%). 

The index for 'Paper & Paper Products' group rose by 0.1 percent to 199.5(Provisional) from 199.4 (Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of printing paper white (1%).

The index for 'Chemicals & Chemical Products' group rose by 0.5 percent to 222.1(Provisional) from 221.0(Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of purified terephthalic acid (pta) (13%), soda ash (sodium carbonate) (6%), benzene (5%), acid(all kinds) (4%) and p.v.c. resins(3%). However, the prices of liquid chlorine and caustic soda (sodium hydroxide)(1%each) declined. 

The index for 'Basic Metals Alloys & Metal Products' group rose by 0.7 percent to 298.8 (Provisional) from 296.6(Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of steel ingots (plain carbon) (21%), bright bars (10%), basic pig iron and foundry pig iron (5% each), bars & rods (2%) and steel sheets, plates & strips and ms bars & rounds (1% each). However, the prices of other iron steel (8%), lead ingots ( 3%) and  zinc ingots (1%) declined.

The index for 'Machinery & Machine Tools' group rose by 0.3 percent to 174.7(Provisional) from 174.1(Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of material handling equipment (24%), roller bearings (9 %) and ball bearings (2%).  

The index for 'Transport Equipment & Parts' group rose by 0.1 percent to 174.0 (Provisional) from 173.9 (Provisional) for the previous week due to higher prices of other automobile spare parts(1%). The final wholesale price index for 'All Commodities’ (Base:1993-94=100) stood at 230.6 as compared to 229.0 (Provisional) and annual rate of inflation based on final index, calculated on point to point basis, stood at 8.57 percent as compared to 7.82 percent (Provisional).

 

Banking

Bank of Maharashtra is exploring options to raise around Rs 500 crore. The bank is looking at various options, including a follow-on public offer.

The RBI has allowed urban co-operative banks to issue preference shares and raise long term deposits with maturity not less than five years to raise funds to comply with capital adequacy norms. The perpetual non-cumulative preference shares will be treated as Tier-I capital, while the deposits would be treated as lower Tier-II capital.

Financial Sector

Capital Markets

Primary Market

The initial public offering (IPO) of Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) is slated for launch during the first half of August, braving the turbulent market conditions. According to Mr Joseph Massey, Joint Managing Director, MCX, the decision on the exact date for the IPO launch will be taken early on July fourth week. MCX, which received the Securities and Exchange Board of India’s (SEBI) approval on May 15 and has to tap the market before August 15, after which the SEBI approval will expire.

Vishal Information Technologies, a company in the field of ITES/BPO services and a subsidiary of Tutis Information Technologies, entered the capital markets on July 21with an IPO of 27.9 lakh equity shares. The price band has been fixed between Rs 140 and Rs 150 an equity share of Rs 10 each. The issue size is Rs 39.06 crore at the lower end of the price band and Rs 41.85 crore at the upper end. The issue will close on July 24.

On July 14, 2008, KSK Energy Ventures debut on the stock exchanges was below its issue price; it closed down 17.06 per cent or Rs 40.95 at Rs 199.05 against its issue price of Rs 240 on the NSE. On the BSE too, it closed below its issue price at Rs 190.50, at a discount of 20 per cent.

Secondary Market

The domestic stock indices oscillated during the week by touching a new low in the current financial year and yet closing on a strong position. The BSE Sensex dipped to 12576 points on July 16 but then gained over 1,000 points to reach 13,635 in the last two trading sessions as it expected a favourable outcome at the confidence vote in the parliament. Similarly, the NSE Nifty was up by 1.07 per cent after it closed on 4092.25 points as it bounced from an intra-day low of 3790. The Defty also up 1.04 per cent as the rupee weakened a little. This has been a relief for the markets as equities lost out heavily at the beginning of the week on political uncertainty, rising crude oil prices and inflation. 

Among the sectoral indices of BSE, IT and metal were the worst performers with more than 8 per cent decline, over the week due to the fears of US slowdown and expectations of higher interest rates. Among the gainers, oil & gas and capital goods earned 3.89 per cent and 3.45 per cent, respectively.

An intense selling of equities in the domestic markets by foreign instutional investors (FIIs) and unwinding of participatory notes has resulted in windfall gains for the Maharashtra government as well as the Centre.  While the stock markets have crashed over the past six months the stamp duty and securities transaction tax (STT) has shot up dramatically due a heavy selling of equities of over Rs 30,000 crore by investors since the start of this calender year.

 

Table-1: Total STT collection (in crore)

April-June 2008

1623

April-June 2007

1341

Growth (y-o-y)

21.03

2007- 08

8577

2008- 09 target

9000

Growth

4.93

Total Stamp duty collection (in crore)

April-June 2008

118.56

April-June 2007

87.93

Growth (y-o-y)

34.83

Jan-March 2008

109.29

Growth (q-o-q)

8.48

Growth in per cent

Source: Business Standard

 The Maharashtra government collected Rs 118.56 crore stamp duty during April-June this year, compared to Rs 87.93 crore in the corresponding period last year, representing an increase of 34.83 per cent. Compared to the collections of Rs 109.29 crore, the quarter-on-quarter increase is estimated at around 8.5 per cent. The state government's mop up from stamp duty during October-December 2007 was estimated at Rs 189.60 crore after Sebi asked for unwinding of participatory notes held by foreign investors. In the last five quarters, this has been the highest quarterly collection.  While fourth quarter numbers were unavailable, finance ministry estimates revealed that STT collections between April and June this year rose 21 percent to Rs 1,623, compared to Rs 1,351 crore during the first quarter last year (Table1).

The pace of growth was, however, slowed down from nearly 85 per cent registered during the last two financial years. During 2007-08, when the stock markets were booming, the Centre mopped up Rs 8,577 crore as STT, compared to Rs 4,648 crore in the previous fiscal. For the current financial year, the finance ministry is targeting a 5 per cent increase to Rs 9,000 crore. While an official said that the number was finalised in February, when the meltdown had just started, the fall in share prices is partly responsible for the lower growth target.

 

Derivatives

Derivatives volumes rosed on July 18, 2008, as futures and options (F&O) recorded over Rs 50,000 crore trading. At the same time, cash volumes were on the low side of normal. This combination of high F&O and low cash volume usually means high volatility. Nifty future traded in a narrow range of 3800-4300 during the week due to some recovery on Thursday and Friday. The Nifty July future closed at 4077.65, with a gain of 1.4 per cent over its previous week’s close. The discount narrowed down further to 14.6 points, mainly driven by the unwinding of short positions. After hitting the low of 3760 intra-week, the Nifty July future recovered quite smartly, backed by higher volumes. After moving in a narrow range in the last couple of weeks, the Nifty July future faces minor resistance at 4140-50 and a major one at 4400.

Many background signals are bearish despite recovery in the Nifty over the last three sessions. Other broader indices did not move up. The August Nifty saw open interest (OI) expand by over 34 lakhs (OI rose 10 per cent on Friday including 5 lakh in July Nifty). OI expansion and carryover of that order suggests optimists are in the game as well. The Nifty option put-call ratios (PCR) are in the normal zone rather than at extremes. There has been put build up and calls have been cashed but the overall PCR (in terms of OI) is 1.24, while the July PCR is 1.15 and non-July contracts are 1.4. About 23 per cent of OI is in December 2008 contracts or beyond. Again, that argues long-term interest, which is inconsistent with total bearishness. Implied volatilities (IV) are ruling firm above 40 per cent. The puts IV is hovering around 46 per cent and the calls IV at 44 per cent. The firmness in implied volatility of puts and calls indicates that the market could be heading for a volatile period.

The NSE Volatility index (VIX) jumped to 49.77 – the level which it did not touch since January 28 crash. In fact, on January 28, the index closed at 54.4 – the highest so far in this month. This indicates panic setting into the market. The VIX, which generally reflects the fear among market participants, is a measure of market’s expectation of volatility over the near term. It may be recalled that the reading of VIX reached almost 45 in 1998 as the LTCM (Long-term Capital Management) crisis exploded. It took a few months for the investor’s fears to abate and the VIX to return to below 20. The World Trade Centre bombing also made the VIX climb above 45, as the investors’ fear level reached the zenith.

Government Securities Market

Primary Market

On July 16, 2008, Resserve Bank of India (RBI) auctioned 91-day and 364-day treasury bills (T-bills) for the notified amounts of Rs.3,000 crore (out of which Rs.2,500 crore under MSS) and Rs.2,000 crore (out of which Rs.1,000 crore under MSS), respectively. The cut-off yields for 91-day and 364-day T-bills were 9.11 per cent and 9.45 per cent, respectively.

Secondary Market

Inter bank call rates remained elevated but steady while a CRR hike taken effect on July 05 and another has been due on July 19. The call rates hovered around 9 per cent during the week. At the LAF, RBI lent an average of Rs.33,584 crore through the repo window and mopped up Rs 5 crore through the reverse repo window, which has been a solitary bid. The 10-year benchmark yield plunged to 9.09 per cent from close to 9.5 per cent along with the drop in crude oil prices. The yield jumped to 9.47 per cent initially owing to the disappointing Fitch report that lowered India ’s domestic ratings outlook to negative from stable citing deteriorating public finances. Meanwhile, finance minister P Chidambaram soothed sentiment saying that there were signs of monetary policy decisions taking effect on inflation. Late in the week, lowerthan-expected WPI inflation rate also helped the attitude.

Bond Market

Exim Bank tapped the market by issuing bonds to mobilise Rs 50 crore by offering 10.75 per cent for 3 years with put and call at the end of 18 months. The bond has been rated AAA by Icra.

Rural Electrification Corp Ltd tapped the market by issuance of bonds by offering 10.75 per cent for 5 years to mobilise Rs 250 crore. The bond has been rated AAA by Fitch and Care.

Housing Development Finance Corp Ltd tapped the market by issuance of bonds by offering 11.15 per cent for 3 years to mobilise Rs 250 crore. The bond has been rated AAA by Crisil.

Foreign Exchange Market

The rupee appreciated to 42.76 from 42.88 per dollar; it dipped midweek to a low of Rs 43.23. The rupee droped to a one-week low on July 15, 2008, after Fitch Ratings downgraded the local currency outlook and rising global oil prices highlighted worsening underlying economic conditions. The partially convertible rupee ended at Rs 43.23, 0.7 per cent weaker than previous days close of Rs 42.92. The domestic investment grade credit rating looked under threat after the move. The rupee rebounded after oil prices started to decline rapidly mid-week. Forward premia were choppy during the week before ending lower. The six-month annualised ended at 4.78 per cent from 5.18 per cent.  

Corporate have recorded fresh losses on foreign exchange derivatives, due to sudden, 7-per cent depreciation of the rupee in the quarter ended June 2008, with much of the fall coming in May. After HCL Technologies announced that it will suffer forex losses of $65-75 million (nearly Rs 278-322 crore) for the quarter ended June 30, 2008, the other three companies also      saw taking a hit on forex derivatives. Bangalore-based biotech company Biocon saw its net profits decline by 72 per cent for the quarter ended June 2008, a forex loss of Rs 6 crore and a mark-to-market provision of Rs 26 crore for its exposures to forex derivatives.  IT major Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) reported a forex loss of Rs 75.30 crore for the same period, which partly resulted in its net profits growing slower at 7 per cent year-on-year to Rs 1,291 crore. MindTree also posted a loss for the quarter, as it reported a net loss of $3 million (Rs 12.9 crore) even as rupee revenues grew 9 per cent quarter-on-quarter. 

The Sebi would allow only select stock exchanges to offer currency futures and the selected exchanges would have to comply with the eligibility criteria drafted by the regulator. According to a senior official, the market regulator is scheduled to hold its board meeting in mid-August and it expects to roll out this scheme in the next month. A standing technical committee of RBI and Sebi has submitted a report on exchange traded currency futures on May 29. Sebi has subsequently discussed the report once in its board meeting on June 20. NSE and MCX have already applied to Sebi for starting exchange trade currency futures platform on their exchanges. The RBI-Sebi panel has said in its report that an existing or a new exchange recognised by the market regulator can set up currency futures segment after obtaining the market regulator’s approval. The exchange should further have a minimum net worth of Rs 100 crore and online surveillance capability to monitor positions, prices and volumes in a real time environment. The report also said that initially currency future contracts would be allowed only on Indian Rupee-US Dollar, and foreign institutional investors, and non-resident Indians would not be permitted to participate in these futures.

Commodities Futures derivatives

 Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) increased the special margin on all net long positions of mentha oil contracts to 17.5 percent from 7.5 percent with effect from July 15, 2008. According to the exchange circular, the margin increase is a risk management measure. MCX imposed a 7.5 percent special margin on July 13, 2008.

The most-active domestic corn August futures fell on July 16, 2008 after the farm minister Sharad Pawar said that India expects a good harvest of kharif, or summer-sown, corn. The August futures were also dragged by profit booking after gaining about 6 percent in last four sessions. As per analysts, the futures rose in the last four sessions after the trade ministry relaxed a July 3 export ban order, which may lead to some more exports.

The Ministry of Consumer Affairs has given the approval to the proposal of Indiabulls and MMTC to set up the country's fourth national-level commodity exchange to facilitate trade in commodities across all sectors. The exchange has been proposed to be set up in Gurgaon on the outskirts of the national capital. Earlier, commodity market regulator Forward Markets Commission (FMC) has recommended approval for the proposal to set up a new commodity futures exchange. FMC has sought clarification on the proposed shareholding pattern and registration of new company for the venture. MMTC is the country’s largest international trading house with an annual trading turnover of $4 billion, while Indiabulls is a leading financial services conglomerate with $4 billion in market cap.

The MCX, promoter of the recently launched country's first energy exchange (IEX) is all set to introduce more crude derivative futures to enable better management of price risks. According to Joseph Massey, MD and CEO of MCX, the exchange, plans to leverage on positive signals inspite of the weak market sentiments, which is shortly going to launch its IPO.

According to industry officials and analysts, prices of essential commodities are soaring in the local spot and futures market as deficient rains in half the country delayed sowing, spurring fears of lower production.

Despite the government’s ban on futures trading on eight agricultural commodities and downturn in stock market, the turnover on the country’s biggest commodity exchange MCX witnessed a record turnover of more than Rs 28,000 crore on July 15, 2008 against the previous highest turnover of Rs 27,740 crore on March 5. The average daily turnover of MCX is in the range of Rs 15,000 crore to Rs 17,000 crore.

FMC is in the process of formulating new guidelines for upgradation of regional commodity exchanges. The new guidelines will facilitate existing regional exchanges to upgrade or change status from regional to national exchanges. The Forward Contract Regulation Act (FCRA) is being amended to facilitate upgradation of regional exchanges. According FMC chairman B C Khatua the FCRA would be taken up in the next parliamentary session.

Insurance

Max India has offered the US-based New York Life International to raise its stake in their insurance joint venture Max New York Life to 49 per cent subject to regulatory permission. Max India has restructured its joint venture agreement whereby the foreign partner has been given the option of increasing its shareholding in the venture to 49 per cent. As per the existing guidelines, a foreign entity cannot hold more than 26 per cent stake in an insurance venture in India . Max New York Life Insurance is a 74:26 per cent joint venture between Max India and New York Life International. The option of increasing stake is available to the foreign partner for a period of 8 years from the date of amended joint venture agreement.

Corporate Sector

Continental Automotive Company, a part of € 26.4 billion Continental Corporation, supplier of automotive components, announced plans to invest Rs 100 crore over the next two years to expand its plant in India .

Vinod Mittal-led Ispat Industries is all set to get Latua iron ore mine in Jharkhand for the proposed 2.8 million tonnes steel plant in the state, with the government giving the necessary approval.

The Siemens Energy division has bagged a Rs 200 crore order from Ceylon Electricity Board, Sri Lanka ’s state power supply utility, for upgradation of Colombo ’s medium-voltage distribution network. The deal is a part of the Colombo city electricity distribution development project.

Leading tyre cord manufacturer SRF is going to acquire South Africa-based Industex Technical Textiles, a belting fabric firm.

BEML, public-sector mining equipment company, has bagged an export order worth Rs 35 crore from African countries.

Sterlite Technologies, providing power transmission conductors, optical fibres and telecommunication cables, bagged three contracts worth $15.5 million (around 66 crore) from infrastructure firms in Africa (Nigeria, Uganda and Algeria) and Asia (Bangladesh). Sterlite has been chosen as the sole manufacturer and supplier of power conductors for the contracts.

IFGL Refractories, manufacturer of specialised refractories, has announced the acquisition of Hofmann Group of Companies through a SPV named IFGL GmbH, a 100 per cent subsidiary of Monocon International Refractories of UK.

External Sector

Exports during May 2008 had been US $ 13782 million as against US $ 12210 million in May 2007 registering a growth of 12.9 per cent. As against this Imports was valued at US $ 24548 million as against US$ 19313 million recording a growth of 27.1 per cent.

In rupee terms, while export increased by 16.6 per cent , import flared up by 31.3 per cent.As a result trade deficit was estimated at US $ 10766 in May 2008 million higher than the deficit at US $ 7103 million during May 2007Oil imports were estimated during May 2008 at US$ 8465 million  and non-oil imports at US $ 16083 million was 50.8 per cent and 17.4 per cent higher than that in last year

Telecom

Swam Telecom, which has received licences to operate mobile phone services in 13 circles out of the 22 telecom circles in India , is in talks with foreign companies for diluting 26 per cent of its equity for around $470 million.

GSM major Bharti Airtel’s services continued to be partly disrupted in Mumbai for around two days, following a fire that broke out at the company’s Lower Parel office in Central Mumbai . The disaster recovery services were implemented and calls rerouted, which has resulted in 90 per cent network services being functional. The fire disrupted around 20 per cent of the company’s total subscriber base of around 2.5 million in the city, with users unable to make or receive calls.

BSNL is planning to invest around Rs 5,000 crore in its WiMax project. The company aims to roll out wireless broadband connectivity through WiMax technology commercially. It is also planning to set up 50,000 IT-enabled kiosks called common services centre (CSCs) running on WiMax technology, across the country.

 

Information Technolgoy

The IT-BPO industry is becoming increasingly alert on fake bio-datas. India ’s largest IT services provider, TCS has recently asked close to 20 employees at its Kolkata centre to leave after the company, during the background verification, found that these employees have used fudged resumes to get jobs.

 

   

Macroeconomic Indicators

Table 1 : Index Numbers of Industrial Production (1993-94 =100)

Table 2 : Production in Infrastructure Industries (Physical Output Series)

Table 3: Procurment, Offtake and Stock of foodgrains

Table 4: Index Numbers of  Wholesale Prices (1993-94 = 100)

Table 5 : Cost of Living Indices

Table 6 : Budgetary Position of Government of India

Table 7 : Government Borrowing Programmes and Performance

Table 8 : Scheduled Commercial Banks - Business in India  

Table 9 : Money Stock : components and Sources

Table 10 : Reserve Money : Components and Sources

Table 11 : Average Daily Turnover in Call Money Market

Table 12 : Assistance Sanctioned and Disbursed by All-India Financial Institutions

Table 13 : Capital Market

Table 14 : Foreign Trade

Table 15 : India's Overall Balance of Payments

Table 16 : Foreign Investment Inflows  
Table 17 : Foreign Collaboration Approvals (Route-Wise)
Table 18 : Year-Wise (Route-Wise) Actual Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI/NRI)

Table 19 : NRI Deposits - Outstandings

Table 20 : Foreign Exchange Reserves

Table 21 : Indices REER and NEER of the Indian Rupee

Table 22 : Turnover in Foreign Exchange Market  
Table 23 : India's Template on International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity [As reported under the IMFs special data dissemination standards (SDDS)
Table 24 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Government Securities Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 25 : Inter-Catasegory Distribution of All Types of Trade in Government Securities Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 
Table 26 : Settlement Volume and Netting Factor for Total Forex Transactions Settled at CCIL - Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Basis.
Table 27 : Inter-Category Distribution of Total Foreign Exchange Transactions Settled at CCIL (With Market Share in Respective Trade Types) 

 

Memorandum Items

CSO's Quarterly Estimates of GDP  

GDP at Factor Cost by Economic Activity

India's Overall Balance of Payments  

*These statistics and the accompanying review are a product arising from the work undertaken under the joint ICICI research centre.org-EPWRF Data Base Project.

LIST OF WEEKLY THEMES


 

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